Moonbear Jones

just a delusional dreamer beginning to believe.
might grow something legendary some day...might have already planted the seed.

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

The fight is won or lost far away from witnesses - behind the lines, in the gym, and out there on the road, long before I dance under those lights.

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

Been watching & drawing the same thing since Feb.
Prepared for relief back to $69K soon, followed by continuation to rounding bottom.
https://t.co/pzDT0kRS1j
https://t.co/nmc73d88oz

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

If history rhymes, the buying opportunity of a lifetime will be in the high 30s in August this year.

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

@Aina_Ai2 “Think Senior” = license to burn more credits for the same task.

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

@MarioNawfal

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

Don't Ovethink it...

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

If you were an immortal vampire, and you made a million dollars a day since Pompeii was founded 2700 years ago,
You would be just barely ahead of Musky as wealthiest man, and you wouldn’t quite have a trillion yet.

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

If history rhymes, the buying opportunity of a lifetime will be in the high 30s in August this year.

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

$69K on 4/20…

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

@Kekius_Sage Looks like there could be some primitive Morse Code around the spiral there

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

https://t.co/Qbsk7ngHrB

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

Conclusion:
Step 1: Assume rejection is likely
Step 2: Don’t assume duration
Duration depends on what breaks, not that it breaks.
Step 3: Watch behavior after rejection
Fast reclaim == Bullish fakeout
Chop below == Medium bear
Cascade + no bounce == Long bear risk

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

Could we be on the precipice of another bear?
Let's dive in to the similarities to the last time we stared into the abyss.

[Moonbear Jones @cryptostunad]

Among the failed first tests:
Prolonged bear (12–24 mo)~30–40%
Medium drawdown (3–9 mo chop/down)~40–50%
Sharp flush → recovery~15–25%