Curland Wave

Professional investor, trader, industrial engineer, data scientist, BI director, entrepreneur & founder.

I love family time, money, helping others, and surfing

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

Why do I, and a lot of other analysts that I respect, think there is more downside in the Crypto Market?

I'll explain ONE of the simplest ways I see it.

I'm marking on a Yellow box a -55% to -72% retracement range from Bitcoin's cycle top. Meaning, if the price gets into the box, the price has already retraced at least -55%.

Average retracement from previous cycle tops is -82%

In 2014, it was -87%
In 2018, it was -82%
In 2022, it was -77%
In 2026, a -72% based on a 5% decline in retracements, sounds reasonable.

I think -72% could be the maximum retracement BTC could perform this bear market.

There are a lot of angles I analysed for the minimum retracement I think possible (-55%), and I won't go into details there, but if price enters that range, I'll start DCAing aggressively.

The range is between 59k USD and 35k USD.

As an investor, I'm always prepared if I'm wrong, and the probability, even if small, that the bottom is already in at 60.2k, could be confirmed if BTC goes above 82k and holds for a couple of weeks. Then I can start thinking about pivoting.

Hope this post helps someone.

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

@DiscussingFilm best commercial ever!!!

[Lorkirs Jaspe @Lorkirs]

DIOS habla de diferentes maneras en medio de las calamidades.

Fortaleza Venezuela 🙏🏻🇻🇪

[Kradle @kradleai]

Fable 5 lies 96% of the time.

We were surprised by it's skill... 🧵

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

@benjamincowen The first cross has not marked the bottom. As Ben mentioned previously, unless a major liquidation event occurs in June, the probabilities suggest that a lower low may occur later this year. This is a great chart

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

@elonmusk I asked Grok to explain this to me, and now I can honestly say it sounds amazing! Congrats!

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

@GamewithDave Pitfall

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

How wrong I was

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

S&P entered the weekly GC and bounced at the middle line. Historically, Ones entered the weekly GC; it ended up going below it the 90% of the time. At this stage, I'm favoring shorts here over new all-time highs

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

To put things in perspective:

If the United States owned all the gold in the world and sold it at today’s market price, it still wouldn’t be enough to pay off its current national debt.

That’s how insane the numbers have gotten.

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

X is so bullish that it's making me wonder if we're close to a local top

[Collin Rugg @CollinRugg]

NEW: Seattle man gets beaten up by a local in Hawaii after he threw a massive rock at a monk seal.

The man was seen getting pummelled by a local after throwing a rock at the seal on Maui.

The man who took matters into his own hands has been awarded a letter of recognition by Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa.

"Our attorney over here wants to make it clear we don’t condone violence, but we did make a letter of recognition for Mr. Ambassador of Aloha," he said.

The 37-year-old tourist is facing fines of up to $50,000 and jail time.

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

@Rothmus Is this a joke?

[LBOrderPulse @lborderpulse]

Please help support my youtube channel and join the membership to see more levels of targets -> https://t.co/4xh073lN3h

#BTC #hyblock #liquidation #heatmap #Bitcoin #btcusdt #Crypto #cryptocurrency

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

Hahaha

[Brian Armstrong @brian_armstrong]

“people didn't used to be able to send money on evenings or weekends”

[Brandon Tatum @TheOfficerTatum]

Drop your take on the reality of the Moon landing
🌑🚀

Did we land? Was it faked? 👇🏾

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

But we've not bottomed yet, so we still have a long run for the next Top

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

Next BTC Cycle Top should be no less than 167k

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Grok will never go to therapy. Never.

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

@benjamincowen Wow, there are so much hate responses. Chill people, chill

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

And we have entered again.

Be save.

[Curland Wave @CurlandWave]

The Last time the S&P 500 entered the GC 1W, it experienced a -19% retracement for 224 days.

It has entered again.

Be safe.