Bitcoin: This Is Where We Bottom
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$SOL
Solana is slowly entering the area where I'm starting to pay attention for the next cycle.
Last bear market, SOL topped around $260 and eventually bottomed near $8.
Most people quote the full 97% drawdown, but that number was heavily distorted by the FTX collapse and subsequent estate liquidations.
Before that event, SOL had already lost roughly 90% of its value.
That's the ballpark I think is more relevant.
This cycle, SOL topped around $295, and at current prices, it's already down roughly 77%.
If you apply the same drawdown compression we've seen across BTC and ETH over multiple bear markets, then an 80-85% correction feels like a reasonable baseline.
That would put SOL somewhere in the $45-60 region.
Coincidentally, that's also where the lower acceptance cloud likely sits for the cycle bottom based on predictive maths.
That's the area I care most about.
Historically, every meaningful accumulation opportunity in SOL has come from that region and below.
Last cycle, price first touched the lower cloude line around $17 before the FTX liquidation event forced a temporary overshoot to $8.
And the reality is that nobody spent the next cycle regretting purchases made at $17.
The question this time is whether that support holds without a forced seller distorting the chart.
If it doesn't hold, then I think the weekly support just above $50 becomes the obvious golden opportunity to buy.
That's where my interest starts increasing significantly, and not because I think SOL can't go lower.
But because the risk-reward starts becoming difficult to ignore.
Personally, I'm not interested in chasing it here at $68.
Give me the lower cloud. Give me a flush below $60.
Then let the market build a base.
That's where I'd start executing accumulation for the next cycle.
Great work from @Leonard_Aster
Its time
for context, $aster is doing roughly 25% of $HYPE's perp volume and around 20% of its OI while sitting at roughly 10% of the market cap
if (WHEN) $aster reaches 50% of HYPE's current market cap, you're looking at $3+ $ASTER
Holy moly... $ASTER is going DEFLATIONARY.
We've just seen a massive change to @Aster_DEX' tokenomics, which will see 99% of platform fees used to buy back the $ASTER token.
The treasury will then burn the same amount again!
The bought-back $ASTER will go directly to stakers and the burn will continue until there are only 3 billion $ASTER tokens.
Could this change the trajectory of the token is 2026?
Community, $Aster Stakers and Hodlers, we have heard your feedback and I'm proud to announce one of the biggest tokenomics upgrade yet:
- Automatic, fully transparent daily buybacks with 99% of platform fees verifiable on Aster Chain
- 100% of the buybacks are used to fuel boosted rewards for stakers
- We are burning the same amount of tokens (99% of the fee income) with the goal of reducing supply to 3B
- 100% of the fund received for spot permissionless listing goes to buyback and adds to rewards for stakers
The team will continue to improve our product with the goal of generate more value for our users, capture and distribute that value to $Aster holder. Stay tuned for more product upgrade.
Aster coded.
⚡️ UPDATE: Aster upgrades its $ASTER tokenomics.
99% of platform fees will now be used for buybacks, matched by an equal burn from reserves as supply targets 3B.
GM ASTER Family!
Perpetual DEXs are likely to be one of the biggest narratives in crypto over the coming years.
Keep accumulating as much $ASTER as you can, one day we’ll look back and realize that buying it at these levels was a gift.
$10 $ASTER is coming 🥷
$BTC
This range successfully played everyone's emotions.
This was quite literally a picture-perfect distribution structure by BTC.
Buying Climax.
Automatic reaction.
Signs of Weakness
Upthrust.
Upthrust After Distribution.
Last Point of Supply.
The exact same market structures described Richard Wyckoff back in the early 1900s.
Human behaviour hasn't changed in 100 years. But every cycle, content creators somehow convince the masses that this time is different.
Study these two images carefully.
Don't be fooled next time.
$ASTER continues to show serious strength.
Despite broader market weakness, ASTER is defending its key accumulation zone around $0.62 while buyers continue absorbing supply. Volume remains elevated, unlock pressure has been dramatically reduced, and the chart is building a textbook base for the next leg higher.
The longer it consolidates above support, the more explosive the breakout could be.
$1+ isn’t a matter of if, it’s a matter of when.
Back from Istanbul Blockchain Week. First Aster meetup in Turkey, shout out to the local community that organized the entire event. We met so many amazing projects and people. It is great to finally put faces to many of the names that we see daily in the community,
This won't be the last. Looking forward to many more community-led events around the world
One thing was clear from every conversation: people want to trade more of the real world on-chain, and have more say in what gets traded.
That's the vision we're building around. The venue for frontier assets, with the experience traders expect from a CEX and the transparency of on-chain infrastructure.
Here is a glimpse of what that looks like over the coming months.
- RWAs go deeper than market listings. We're integrating tokenized assets into the system itself.
- Prediction markets and event contracts. Elections, macro data, sports, tech launches, traded on-chain.
- We're working toward a future where adding new assets becomes significantly more permissionless. The validator securing the network by staking and validating blocks help decide what get listed, both spot and futures.
- LIQUIDITY. A lot of direct feedback here, you're right, we have lots of room to improve on this. A new liquidity program is coming, deeper books and tighter spreads across the whole DEX. This program will be structural, not a short-term incentive campaign. Expect deeper orderbooks in coming weeks.
Same goal as day one. More soon. Thanks Türkiye. Aster Coded
The amount of FUD around $Aster honestly makes me even more bullish.
Nobody wastes time attacking irrelevant projects.
The strongest narratives always get doubted the hardest before they run.
While people cry, panic, and spread fear, $Aster keeps building:
• RWA integration • Prediction markets • On-chain trading innovation • Growing ecosystem
Most people will fade it now and buy back higher later.
Seen this movie too many times.
@ArdiNSC I’m fine with it. Trade between the bands. Keep stacking as well. If it keeps this up while btc is mooning then I’ll have a problem. But now is not the time