CyclesFan

I don't have a Telegram account and don't sell newsletters.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$SOXX is going to break the July low. The next intermediate term low is due at the next 16-17 week cycle low that is due in November. The cycle from November 2025 to March 2026 was longer due to the Iran war and it may be longer again if there's another Iran war in November.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$USOIL - Crude oil continued its rally this week and at this point it's probably headed back to the 115-120 range. The rally will end only if Trump announces some deal with Iran after the mid term elections, instead of resuming the strikes on Iran.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$TLT has confirmed that it made an intermediate term low by closing the week above the 10 week MA. When it made intermediate term lows in October 2022 and October 2023 it rallied $18 into its next intermediate term high. A repeat of that would take it to around 94.43 this time.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

@tradingstonk3 Bitcoin's cycle points to a low on November 23-27.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$Silver has broken the July low and closed the week at 53.89. There's a 81-84 trading day cycle that goes back to the April 2025 low. This cycle indicates that the next intermediate term low, which will also be the low for 2026, is due on November 11 plus minus 2 trading days.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$Gold - After being resilient last week it resumed its decline this week and closed the week at 3996. At this point it's obvious that it will at least retest the June low, but more likely break it in November. The target is the lower BB that is currently at 3906.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

@Bay_Area_Sam We will get there but only in November.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$QQQ - So far it's holding above the support at 700. In order to bounce to the top of the range(728) it would have to trade above 715(gap). Next week, there's still a chance that instead of a bounce we will see a washout to 680 which is near the 200 day MA, and only then bounce.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$AVGO - Price is less than 5% away from the 100 week MA, a key long term moving average which it last hit at the April 2025 low. I expect it to bottom there and then we'll see if it's able to make a new ATH in 2027 or a bear market is already underway.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$BTC - The close above the 20 DMA on Wednesday was reversed yesterday, so a new high for Q4 will probably not happen anytime soon. Notice that it hasn't closed below the lower BB since June, so a close below the lower BB will confirm that a decline into late November is underway.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$MU - It's doing better than I expected. While SOXX basically hit its 200 day MA yesterday Micron was nowhere near doing that. If it made short term low yesterday, which is a big if, it could bounce to the 100 day MA that's currently at 973 in early November.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

While tech is suffering, with $SPX it's business as usual. It has not even broken the monthly pivot at 7647. As I noted on Sunday with regards to the disconnection between QQQ and SOX, this even bigger disconnection between SPX and SOX is similar to past action from late 1995.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$QQQ was demolished today and has almost reached the horizontal support at 700. I think it's likely to bottom here and have a big bounce off 700 but if it closes below 700, the next downside target would be the monthly support at 681. We'll find out tomorrow.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

@ComicDaveSmith Dave "I'm a little bitch" Smith. Shut the fuck up.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$META - Today's action has confirmed that it made an intermediate term top on Sep 24. The next support is gap support at 638 but it's probably headed lower into the 2nd half of November. Overall, it's a continuation of the price mess of the last 52 weeks. no clear pattern here.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$SPCX - Another gap up bites the dust. If it doesn't fill today's gap down there will be a potential Island reversal.
https://t.co/kT5vbr4Qpv

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$SPCX opened the day with the biggest gap up since it started trading on June 12. Until now it has left behind only 2 daily gaps: on June 16, the day of the all time high, and on August 4. Both gaps were filled the following day. Will this time be different?

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$SOXX has broken the September low. The next downside target is either the 200 day MA at 471 or the July low at 464. After hitting the target range(464-471) we're likely to see a bounce into the mid term elections on November 3.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

@DonDurrett @TheMorder37 @savinfamily The rally into the January top was parabolic so I have no idea what "breaking down" means in that context. Going into the 1980 top it rallied from 365 to 873 in 3 months. You know when it broke below 365? In February 1982, 2 years after the top.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

@GoldnGuitars The 4YCL is in. You don't have to be a genius to figure it out.

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$QQQ was up 1.06% today but closed below the 50 day MA. Even if it closes above the 50 day MA tomorrow it would still be a counter trend bounce and the next upside target would be the 20 day MA. On other hand, if it reverses lower tomorrow the next downside target would be 700.