⚽️ The Complete Guide to World Cup Prediction Markets
A thread 🧵👇
1/ The 2026 FIFA World Cup isn't just the biggest sporting event on the planet.
It's also becoming one of the largest prediction market events ever.
Billions of dollars are expected to be traded on World Cup outcomes.
Here's everything you need to know. 👇
Quarterfinals are coming.
Eight teams remain. Four matches decide who moves one step closer to the final.
France vs Morocco
Spain vs Belgium
Norway vs England
Argentina vs Switzerland
Follow the bracket, matchups and World Cup markets on https://t.co/NRDlVcpvvl
https://t.co/zh2OD6XuwG
#WorldCup2026 #Quarterfinals
32 teams entered the knockout stage.
16 remain.
The Round of 16 starts today.
Eight matchups. Four rounds left. One champion.
The bracket is set. Follow every matchup, team path and market from here:
https://t.co/henCvXXLKl
#WorldCup2026#PredictionMarkets
4/4 For supported onchain markets, move from research to action with order books, trading access, positions, open orders, TWAP and trade history.
Global stocks. One onchain view.
https://t.co/bEhm6YA9Y5
Stocks are now live on https://t.co/IbCSAxiRK4.
Explore equities across 12 global markets.
Screen by market cap, sector and performance, compare price and volume across supported venues — including Hyperliquid, Binance, OKX and dStock — and open a single stock view for charts, fundamentals, order books and access to available onchain markets.
3/4 Open any stock for a deeper view.
Track price, volume, market cap, fundamentals, financials, charts and news — then compare liquidity across Hyperliquid, Binance, OKX and dStock.
Knockout stage starts today.
One loss. You're out.
Everything changes when elimination
is on the table — including the odds.
Three matches today:
🇧🇷 Brazil vs 🇯🇵 Japan — 57.5%
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇵🇾 Paraguay — 72.5%
🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇲🇦 Morocco — 42.5%
Which upset are you pricing in?
https://t.co/zh2OD6XuwG
Most traders look at one market at a time.
But World Cup prediction markets are fragmented across different venues, liquidity conditions, and user flows.
A better workflow is simple:
Compare the market.
Check the probability move.
Watch the position flow.
Then decide whether there is a trade.
That is the workflow https://t.co/K7B991y3kU is built for.
#PredictionMarkets #WorldCup
⚽️ Scotland vs Brazil — kicks off in 7h
Brazil at 74.5%.
Not 88.5% like their last match.
Not 90%.
The market is less certain about
Brazil this tournament than we expected.
Scotland at 9.5% —
but someone always wins at 9%.
https://t.co/henCvXXLKl
⚽️ France vs Iraq — kicks off in 9h
90.5% chance France wins.
We've seen 91.5% fail.
We've seen 88.5% deliver.
Where does 90.5% land?
Live odds 👇
https://t.co/henCvXXLKl
⚽️ Brazil vs Haiti — kicks off in 9h
Market says Brazil wins: 88.5%
Last time we saw odds this high?
Spain at 91.5%.
You know what happened.
88.5% is not 100%.
https://t.co/henCvXXLKl
⚽️ Mexico vs Korea Republic — kicks off in 13h
This one matters. Group stage finale.
Market says:
🇲🇽 Mexico: 47.5%
👊Draw: 29.5%
🇰🇷 Korea Republic: 24.5%
Closest odds we've seen all tournament.
Markets don't know who advances either.
https://t.co/henCvXXLKl
The market gave Spain a 91.5% chance to beat Cape Verde.
They drew.
This is exactly why prediction markets exist — not to predict the future, but to price uncertainty.
Even a 91.5% favorite can fail to win.
That's not a bug. That's the game.
Live odds for every World Cup match 👇
https://t.co/zh2OD6Y2me
⚽️ Spain vs Cape Verde — kicks off in 2h
Market says:
🇪🇸 Spain: 91.5%
Draw: 6%
🇨🇻 Cape Verde: 2.5%
This is about as close to a sure thing as prediction markets get.
The question isn't who wins.
It's whether 91.5% is even enough.
Live odds 👇
https://t.co/henCvXXLKl