The bottom is going to be in when nobody expects it to be in.
Not when everyone is waiting for "one more leg down."
The best opportunities don't feel obvious when they're happening.
What, you think you're going to perfectly call the exact $BTC bottom?
You think you're getting the perfect entry, at the perfect price, on the perfect candle?
Quit living in fantasy land, you bonehead.
If bottoms were easy to predict, everyone would be rich.
You're not going to nail the bottom.
You're not going to catch the exact wick.
You're not going to magically buy the precise price that gets posted on charts six months later.
And most importantly, you're not that guy, pal.
Truth is, neither am I. The difference? I'm humble enough to admit that.
But there's one thing I'll never f*ck up on,
When I believe the opportunity is there, I put my money where my mouth is.
While everyone else is waiting for confirmation, waiting for perfection, waiting for a price that may never come... I'm building the position.
Because fortunes aren't made by people who perfectly time bottoms.
They're made by people who have the conviction to act when everyone else is too scared to.
At some point, $BTC is going to front run major HTF liquidity.
Just like the market front ran the 140K liquidity above, it can do the exact same thing on the downside, leaving many in complete disbelief.
I'm not saying we won't sweep below 60K, but it's something worth considering. Markets have a habit of front running the levels everyone is focused on.
Because if this particular liquidity below 60K gets grabbed, there's a very good chance the next major pool that forms between July and September never gets filled, marking the macro bottom.
Worth noting.
Das ist bemerkenswert!
Die Bitcoin Sell-side Risk Ratio hat erstmals seit dem letzten Zyklus wieder ein rotes Signal geliefert.
Beim Rückgang auf 60.000 US-Dollar war der Wert aller Coins im Verlust größer als der Wert aller Coins im Gewinn. Mit anderen Worten: Der Markt stand zu dem Zeitpunkt unter erheblichem Stress.
Historisch waren genau solche Phasen jedoch oft die Momente, in denen die Mehrheit kapituliert hat, während langfristige Investoren begonnen haben zu akkumulieren.
Die Stimmung ist schlecht. Die Unsicherheit ist hoch.
Viele erwarten noch deutlich tiefere Kurse.
Genau deshalb lohnt es sich, genauer hinzuschauen.
Ob das bereits der finale Tiefpunkt ist, weiß niemand.
Aber die On-Chain-Daten zeigen, dass Bitcoin inzwischen wieder in einer Zone angekommen ist, die in früheren Zyklen eher für Akkumulation als für Euphorie stand.
Die größte Chance fühlt sich selten komfortabel an. 📉➡️📈
You literally have miners capitulating, a signal that has historically marked the perfect time to accumulate.
There isn't a clearer sign to start accumulating $BTC
@KryptoWolfGER Dann widersprichst du dir gerade aber selbst, da du von Angst am Bärenmarkt Boden sprichst aber gleichzeitig sagst, dass man alle Emotionen dabei raus lassen sollte. Widerspruch.
I'm not betting against a chart like this.
I'm sticking with my 2x long position and accepting the risk.
Either we see a 50% drop and my position is liquidated, or I ride a 150% move to the upside.
Those are odds I'm willing to take... $BTC
@KryptoWolfGER Das ist irgendein Random. Davon findet man immer welche. Aber wenn ich durch Twitter swipe sehe ich mehr Leute die tiefere Kurse prognostizieren als anders herum. Das gibt mir das Gefühl, dass es für die Marktteilnehmer zu einfach wäre.
Observing the 6 month chart, $BTC usually prints 2 red 6 month candles before continuing higher.
The current 6 month candle closes in July, 25 days from now.
So, based on this theory, the next 6 month candle should be green, meaning the move down we're seeing right now could actually be the capitulation candle.
Because we topped earlier in this bull cycle (October), Q4 sellers were front run.
If that's the case, it's reasonable to assume Q4 buyers will get front run as well.
@KryptoFynn Ich glaube nicht, dass das so einfach wird. Ich wette dagegen, es wird nicht so tief gehen. Du brauchst auch ein Kontra in deinen Kommentaren :)