My dear followers.
NEVER be scared of red days.
Even if you're DOWN, markets are DESIGNED to go up.
I promise you, you will change your life if you can handle your emotions.
1. Retirement inflows (401K's, IRA's, pension funds)
2. Corporate buy backs
3. Passive investing from millions of people around the world
4. TAX incentives for those that contribute regularly
Money is ALWAYS flowing into the markets rain or shine.
Stay INVESTED early and OFTEN.
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#Satcom #SpaceTech #Semiconductors #DefenseTech
Helping you understand why names like $MU, $SIVE, and $AAOI are down sharply today:
Paradis Macro Report [June 9]:
-> Iran war, yields/rates, and upcoming macro catalysts.
Iran shot down U.S. Apache helicopter today while patrolling over the Strait of Hormuz.
A confirmed US strike on Iran would:
Spike oil = Hit risk appetite = Worsen equity weakness.
Today, we already saw some violent factor rotation:
Momentum/growth -> Value/defensive
Highlighted by:
- $QQQ: -4.2% intraday
- $SPY: -2.7% intraday
- $DJI: flat
So, a very fearful / risk-off market right now, as seen by high growth names like $IREN, $AXTI and $LITE being down >10% today.
Yields have also jumped after the June 5 payrolls beat (US 10Y: 4.54%). Meaning that Fed futures are now pricing in a rate hike by end of yr.
Basically:
Higher real yields = valuation compression for long-duration growth/AI names.
(Long-duration because the value in AI equities sit in cash-flows years out)
Ultimately, all this favours value/financials over AI growth names, which are all unwinding simultaneously right now.
But directionally, AI supercycle names will all continue higher in the long-run, driven by huge hyperscaler capex.
In terms of upcoming macro catalysts:
1. US May CPI [Jun 10]:
A hot print (>4.2% headline) hardens the "Fed can't cut / may hike" narrative.
= yields up, $ up, more pressure on AI/growth multiples.
A soft core surprise would be the relief valve for chips.
= relief rally in AI names.
2. $ORCL Earnings [Jun 10]:
Strong RPO/capex execution = bullish for the entire AI supply chain (HBM, optical, packaging, networking).
3. FOMC [Jun 16-17]:
The statement language (does it drop the easing bias / call labour "solid" vs "moderating") and the dots will reset the Y/E hike vs cut debate.
A hawkish hold / hike-signaling dots = pressure on AI supercycle names.
Any dovish surprise = relief for AI supercycle names.
---
For inexperienced investors, I have advised countless times to avoid risky instruments such as options/leverage. Right now, with the current macro backdrop, stick to normal shares.
Personally, I have slowed down most dip-buying to let this macro uncertainty wash through.
This is where people should be buying!! Stocks are trading at a discount today.
And why? Iran war.
Will that last forever? No
Will semi stocks not make new ATHs? No
Is this time to be buying? Yes
Do I go all in now? No
DCA in, staggerred entry. We could go ever lower before higher. But long term thesis is still intact. I bought $AAOI today at $180. Granted I could've entered now below 170. But can I time the market? No. But I'm not gonna care about the $10 difference when AAOI hits $300
If anyone's curious on today's buys:
1. $GOOGL @ $362
2. $MU @ $900 (pre-market)
3. $SNDK @ $1,592 (pre-market)
4. $RKLB @ $113
5. $MRVL @ $276 (overnight)
6. $NOW @ $115
8. $INTC @ $100 (pre-market - very lucky timing in advance of $GOOGL TPU order announcement)
All are existing positions that I DCA'd on.
Also DCA'd on some other random names not on my mega-list like Infineon.
Tomorrow's priorities:
- SK hynix + Kioxia - obviously
- $SIVE + $NBIS - if they open down
- $CIEN - doing DD on their $2B covertible notes. Dip looks like an extreme overreaction imo.
---
Might not make this a frequent thing since I usually place quite a high volume of trades daily.
I also don't see the value this adds lol. But I keep getting asked to do something like this / a portfolio breakdown.
Also another new position today $XFAB on Euronext.
Looked at it a few months ago and more recently when it spiked to €16 but did not want to buy the spike. I Paid €10.5 today.
Thrilled to have crossed over 50,000 followers last week!
I have personally matched that total with a £50,000 donation to Action for Children.
They do fantastic work supporting vulnerable kids in the UK, helping them live happy and fulfilling childhoods.
As many you know, I personally support three key areas:
1. Youth homelessness
2. Child welfare & protection
3. Men's mental health
So far, together, we have supported 1 & 2.
Next time, we'll donate to one of my core mental health charities in the UK. Maybe at 75,000 followers, if I get there!
(DMs open for anyone struggling btw)
Thank you all for the support. It genuinely means a lot to me!
Stock Ratings [June 7th]:
On current AI sector crash. Explanations below.
Strong Buy:
$GOOGL
$MU
$SNDK
SK Hynix
Buy:
$AMZN
$AEHR
$AAOI
$CIEN
$COHR
$CRDO
$DELL
$FN
$FORM
$GLW
$JBL
$LITE
$MDB
$MRVL
$MSFT
$NBIS
$NOW
$NVDA
$RDDT
$RKLB
$SIVE
Hold:
$ARM
$ASML
$AVGO
$AXTI
$BE
$META
$MTSI
$PLTR
$SOFI
Avoid:
$CBRS
$CRWV
$ETH
$HIMS
$IBIT / $BTC
$IREN
$MELI
$SNAP
$TSLA
$SPCX (SpaceX) IPO
---
Thoughts:
Strong Buy:
GOOGL - $85B raise is dilutive but they actually have ROI on their capex. Tbh, they'll probably always be a Strong Buy for me. Just the cleanest AI ROI among all the megacaps.
MU / SNDK / SK Hynix - If you're not bullish on memory, then idk for you.
Buy:
AMZN - Mainly for AWS reacceleration + Trainium. But some tension comparing AWS growth (+17%) vs Azure (+31%). Feel like custom silicon + distribution combo is durable even if growth rate lags a bit.
AEHR - H2 ramp in WLBI/PLBI systems coming, anchored by "significant" follow-on Sonoma order from lead hyperscale customer. Just need to wait a bit esp. for rev to inflect. But AI ASIC burb in is mandatory as device power goes up.
AAOI - Q3 capacity ramp (via facility expansion in Texas) toward 650k+ 800G/1.6T units/mth. Capacity coming online is the catalyst imo along w/ already known laser bottleneck + Made in US premiums.
CIEN - Just a high quality biz that got pounded last week (-22%). Beat + raise earnings, but stock dropping this much is an overreaction. CEO even said demand is "structural, multi year and AI-driven" shown by AI-driven DCI being their fastest growing part of the order book as new long-haul routes get built for latency and bandwidth.
COHR - upcoming CPO ramp (Nvidia spectrum-x) will speed things up, these prices will look cheap when we look back imo.
CRDO - Personally bought a ton last week post-earnings drop. Like Ciena, v. high quality compounding hold through the whole AI supercycle. Crazy high margins. Obviously compete w/ Marvell/Broadcom on SerDes, but also need to factor in the 1.6T switch replacement cycle into late 2026.
DELL - Trump effect. I've learnt my lesson and will listen to him next time.
FN - v. low drama way to ride transceiver demand + iPronics sipho line for cpo. New datacom wins also extending into next FY, although some Nvidia conc. risks. Put them in Buy just to be generous as was unsure tbh.
FORM - Important for HBM, adv packaging and CPO for higher yields. Foundry test intensity only set to increase w/ production.
GLW - Lead glass core substrates which are an advanced packaging bottleneck. LTP w/ Nvidia to expand US optical manufacturing for AI infra too.
JBL - Stock has done nothing for a month, but earnings coming up could be a nice catalyst for a push higher from their DC infra segment growing + outpacing drag from legacy mobility/ev exposure / margin mix.
LITE - CPO ramp + Nvidia qualification like Coherent.
MDB - AI is not replacing them. Imo they win vs. bolt on vector stores since their architecture is so simple.
MRVL - going to $1T according to Jensen. Underlying business is solid though esp. w/ Celestial acquisition for photonics. SPY inclusion last week too is a big positive.
MSFT - Current valuations are a joke tbh, markets probs punishing some margin compression. Rev +18%, Azure +40%, AI run rate +123%. So, v. clear enterprise monetisation path. Will be buying next week in retirement account.
NBIS - Best neocloud by far. They're a $100B biz vs. ~$57B currently. Jensen: "Nebius will take care of you."
NOW - AI is not replacing them. No enterprise CEO/CTO is dumb enough to offboard them at this point.
NVDA - Same as Microsoft. Been buying this whole time, but am now even more confused at current cheap valuations.
RDDT - AI is not replacing them. Cash printer. ARPUs improving also in legacy segments like international.
RKLB - #2 in commercial launch after SpaceX + their IPO should re-rate the entire space comp set where RKLB is the main liquid proxy. Unbelievable earnings also, just executing so well rn.
SIVE - everyone on X knows at this point?
Hold:
ARM - current valuation prices in flawless execution imo. But their IP is growing in DC CPUs e.g. Nvidia grace, AWS Graviton etc.
ASML - Elon said yesterday: "ASML should be treasured and supported. It is arguably the greatest company in Europe." - I agree. Also Terafab fireside chat next week High-NA EUV is the next leg, locking in the roadmap through the decade. Could also be a "Buy" for more risk averse people.
AVGO - CEO didn't raise >$100B FY27 target + flagged that Google will multi-source. Current AI mix is also diluting margins slightly. Just needed a pullback before the thesis starts working again.
AXTI - InP substrate bottleneck, crucial for AI buildout rn. Could also buy rn, just a slow dca since they've run up a ton already + raise completed ($632M) to 2x InP capacity.
BE - SOFC winner imo (Ceres 2nd). Don't think it's a buy just yet due to some valuation vs. profitability gaps.
META - hold based on capital allocation mainly. Market seems wary of the ROI on their AI capex hence the continuous dips. Also potential raise to fund capex like Google too - once that digests, I'll personally look to buy.
MTSI - Big fan of their investment into $IQE since it de-risks operations a lot, but just think COHR/LITE are better options for 800G/1.6T transition.
PLTR - Relatively poor Risk:Reward at current multiples.
SOFI - rate sensitivity. Loan book + credit performance carry macro risk which caps conviction rn. Some positives though w/ young + growing member base. Would need to look at credit trends + Fed path in June FOMC to re-assess.
Avoid:
CBRS - avoid at current prices. Would want it to come down closer to ~$40B mc before I look to dca. Would love to hold since they own genuinely unique tech.
CRWV / IREN - Financing for both is a mess...debt/dilution. Nebius are just a better multi yr neocloud.
HIMS - Forced out of higher margin GLP1s into lower margin braded GLPs from Novo/Lilly. Feel like their moat was to do w/ regulatory arbitrage on compounding. With that gone, it's a customer acquisition + churn biz buying branded drugs at lower margin.
IBIT / BTC - Macro setup is hostile. Higher rates for longer (10Y ~4.54%, 30Y >5%) raise opportunity cost. Pure liquidity/risk appetite instrument + both are tight rn.
ETH - same as bitcoin.
MELI - personally a little confused - either a hold/avoid. Seeing some margin compression via their credit book growing faster than revenues. Talks of margin recovery next year, at which point the stock could re-rate.
SNAP - Absolute worst social media app + CEO is a weirdo. Platform keeps losing share to Meta/Tiktok.
TSLA - Huge competition from other EV makers shown by production > deliveries volumes. Humanoids will be their next key growth driver, just a little while away.
SPCX (SpaceX) IPO: I never personally participate in IPOs + SpaceX specifically is way too overvalued for me. Will be going long eventually though. Rough ballpark would be ~$1.5T if it gets there post IPO.
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Just for very high level notes at current stock prices (NFA).
I'm personally staying long despite the current macro backdrop, mainly in AI supercycle names e.g. memory, semis etc.
But then you also have great companies at depressed prices, mainly in SaaS which I'm DCA'ing currently.
I don't hold positions in all of these names. This is just a subset that overlaps my "Close Tracking" list + X's favourite names.
In Taipei, CEO $NVDA Jensen Huang says $MU is the biggest bottleneck in AI.
Elon Musk and $DELL agrees with him. Trump even said to buy $MU stock.
Here's 4 obvious plays to buy & hold:
1. $MU — Only US-listed HBM chip maker. AI servers need it to think.
Buy zone: $600–$650
Post-ATH pullback, earnings catalyst June 24.
2. $DRAM — One ETF, full memory supply chain exposure globally.
Buy zone: $40–$45 | Instant + SK Hynix + $MU basket at discount.
3. $WDC — Powers AI data center storage. Every server needs hard drives.
Buy zone: $380–$400 | 3x YTD run, now cooling off near key support.
4. $SNDK — Pure-play NAND. Datacenter revenue up 645% year-over-year.
Buy zone: $900–$1,000 | 25% below ATH, next earnings could rip.
♻️ RESHARE this post and write 1 comment, I'll DM you my exact call option for 1000% gain (buy and hold)
The AI supercycle is in year 3 of 15. You didn't miss it.
You'd make millions by knowing whats coming and buying dips until 2030+
Pay attention, we just finished Phase 1 2023-2025
chips · memory · connectivity
$NVDA → Designs the GPUs every AI model trains and runs on.
$MU → Makes high-bandwidth memory inside every AI server.
$COHR → Moves data at light speed between GPUs optically.
$MRVL → Custom silicon connecting every chip in a hyperscaler's cluster.
$AVGO → Builds Google's, Meta's, and Apple's custom AI chips quietly.
$AMD → Only credible GPU rival to NVDA for AI training.
PHASE 2 — The grid gets built (2026–2027)
power · cooling · networking
$IREN → AI-native data centers built to scale compute and power.
$WULF → Energy-efficient infrastructure hosting the world's most power-hungry AI workloads.
$VRT → Cooling and power systems keeping AI data centers running.
$ETN → Electrical gear powering every hyperscale AI facility being built.
$CEG → Nuclear energy feeding AI's insatiable around-the-clock power demands.
$ANET → High-speed switches moving massive AI workloads across GPU networks.
$GEV → Gas turbines physically delivering power to data centers.
$SMCI → Liquid-cooled GPU server racks — pick-and-shovel for AI density.
PHASE 3 — The massive bottleneck (2027–2029)
materials · space · autonomy
$MP → Mines rare earth materials used in AI hardware and defense.
$USAR → Domestic minerals securing U.S. AI manufacturing independence.
$ASTS → Satellites delivering AI connectivity to every corner of Earth.
$RKLB → Low-cost rockets launching satellites powering AI communication networks.
$KTOS → AI-driven autonomous weapons systems entering mass military deployment now.
$TSLA → Leads real-world AI through robotics, autonomy, and manufacturing.
$SYM → AI-powered warehouse robots automating global logistics at scale.
$ALAB → Chip packaging bottleneck — critical past 100K GPU nodes.
$PLTR → Software turning AI compute into defense and enterprise decisions.
PHASE 4 — Full automation (2030+)
platforms · agents · quantum
$MSFT → Deploys AI agents across every enterprise software product it sells.
$GOOGL → Controls AI search, cloud, and consumer distribution globally.
$META → AI assistants across 3 billion users in social and commerce.
$CRM → AI agents inside enterprise sales — 150K customer moat.
$NOW → AI workflow OS for Fortune 500 enterprises.
Quantum
$IONQ $RGTI $QUBT — next-gen compute unlocking exponential AI breakthroughs.
♻️ RESHARE this post and make 1 comment, I'll share when to add these stocks in June.
$XFAB (~$1.4B mkt cap) sits at the intersection of multiple powerful trends:
• Photonics upside via photonixFAB + Nokia/Nvidia validation (CPO volume potential H2 2027)
• Explosive core growth: SiC wafer shipments +195% YoY and strong auto/industrial recovery
• Valuation support: Trading near/at book value + EU sovereignty tailwinds
Nokia’s $NOK parallel $4B+ US commitment (new photonic fab in San Jose on top of Infinera) + Nvidia’s $NVDA $1B investment strengthens the entire ecosystem.
Early innings on a de-risked European photonics play?
DYOR. Not financial advice. #Semiconductors #Investing #AI
CEO $TSLA Elon Musk tweeted “Gamestonk!!” and $GME spiked 400%
Right now, he is saying $MU is the most important company in AI,
not $NVDA
not $AMD
not $GOOG
not $NOW
Perfect price to buy $MU is under $700 then hold until 2030. https://t.co/eCB27rGQaM