NASA just officially unveiled their master plan for a permanent Moon Base at the lunar South Pole
This is not just about flags and footprints. NASA is moving to establish an enduring, sustained human presence, and they are heavily relying on commercial innovators to build it
The roadmap is highly aggressive:
• Phase 1: Heavy robotic missions and commercial payload deliveries
• Phase 2: Semi-permanent infrastructure, including fission surface power and lunar drones
• Phase 3: A sustained, permanent human outpost
The most important takeaway is NASA explicitly stated this base is the ultimate proving ground to prepare humanity for missions to Mars
While legacy aerospace companies are still struggling to reliably get a small capsule to the ISS, NASA is setting the stage for massive lunar infrastructure....which is exactly the kind of heavy-lift planetary deployment SpaceX’s Starship was designed for
The multi-planetary economy is officially kicking off
Today I made a bullshit options trade. This is a good beginning, but I just wanted to make more money. I waited for the price to rise higher and sold it too late, so it became less money. This is an experience that told me don’t expect more, just fine is okay.
Today’s stock market really dropped, just like I said yesterday. I made some money buying put options. I still think the market may continue falling later on, so if you’re planning to invest in stocks, you may want to wait for a better opportunity.
Today's stock market was down. I think it will go down tomorrow and thereafter, but Nvidia's stock will still rise because it plays the main role in the AI story.
If you don't have a goal so meaningful it makes other people's opinions irrelevant, you will lose control of your life. You will adopt the goals assigned to you by your parents, peers, or society.
想让一件事发生,就为它准备好所有条件,并为之努力💪。我觉得这符合第一性原理!
If you want something to happen, prepare all the conditions for it and work hard toward it💪. I think this aligns with first principles.
Investment Journal | Today
The market continued last week’s rally today, but momentum clearly weakened. Most stocks posted only modest gains, especially large-cap tech, suggesting consolidation rather than strong upside follow-through.
Trades today:
• Long crypto-related assets
• Long Oracle (ORCL)
• Short QQQ
• Short Micron (MU)
• Short CRWV
Rationale:
Bitcoin and Ethereum both showed intraday spikes followed by pullbacks. I view this as a short-term pause, with potential for a rebound, which could support selective opportunities in crypto-related names.
Oracle stands out to me as a potential rebound candidate. Despite being part of the AI cycle, it has seen a sharp pullback. If the AI trade continues, Oracle is likely to bounce and may act as a bellwether for the sector.
On the short side, I see signs of weakening momentum at market highs.
QQQ looks extended, while MU and CRWV have rallied aggressively. CRWV, in particular, has been largely unaffected by recent pullbacks and continues to make new highs. After a +20% move following a media interview last Friday, I view the stock as a rebound rather than a true trend reversal — making it a reasonable short candidate.
Overall view:
The rebound is still intact, but the trend is weakening. This feels like a market for selective, structural trades rather than broad-based upside.
That’s today’s journal.
Investment Journal | Dec 18 (Thu)
U.S. stocks surged today after the release of last month’s inflation data, nearly erasing yesterday’s losses. Market sentiment improved sharply.
Another key event was the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike. With the decision now official, yen-related uncertainty has largely been priced in.
Portfolio update:
Long TSLA and GOOGL positions from yesterday performed well today. However, a 3x leveraged short on semiconductors weighed on performance during the rebound. Thanks to options gains on TSLA and GOOGL, the portfolio finished the day net positive.
Market view:
Despite today’s strong rally, I’m leaning bearish short term. With major news already priced in and stocks up sharply, risk appears to be rebuilding.
My expectation for tomorrow is either a gap-up followed by selling, or a push higher that fades into a pullback.
While bulls still hold a slight edge due to today’s momentum, the market looks more like a choppy, range-bound environment with a bearish bias rather than a clear uptrend.
That’s today’s journal.
Investment Journal | Dec 17 (Wed)
The market today was clearly dominated by bears, with broad sell-offs across most stocks.
Micron (MU):
After earnings, MU surged in after-hours. The market is pricing in future demand rather than just current results. As a classic “picks-and-shovels” play in the AI cycle, memory demand is front-loaded. Even if some AI projects don’t fully materialize, the chips will still be absorbed elsewhere.
MU still has long-term potential, though much of the upside this year has already been priced in.
Tesla (TSLA):
After hitting an all-time high yesterday, TSLA pulled back ~4% with the broader market. I see this as a solid short-term buying opportunity. Tesla’s leadership in autonomous driving remains unquestioned.
Google’s $100B AI investment is a major catalyst for the entire AI and self-driving ecosystem, which indirectly supports TSLA’s valuation.
Google (GOOGL):
GOOGL’s recent decline looks like a healthy technical pullback after an extended rally. While many stocks were consolidating earlier, Google kept pushing higher. I believe this pullback is close to ending — the next phase for Google may just be beginning.
Trades:
Focused on TSLA and GOOGL options today, with hedging in place.
Reminder: don’t obsess over catching the exact bottom — it’s rarely achievable.
That’s today’s journal