@HighLeverageBB Unless we know its velocity vector when it hit the roof, we can’t claim where it would have landed. Even if the ball didn’t have much spin.
@HighLeverageBB This proves nothing. Exit velocity + launch angle ≠ complete trajectory. You also need spray angle, spin rate, spin axis and the actual velocity vector before it hit the roof.
@ChanceCopperpot@MatthewMKE98 Same here. The rule is the rule. And we all know what happened tonight is not unprecedented but… It’s still a dumb rule. And easily fixable. Ah well.
@ChanceCopperpot@MatthewMKE98 100% The rule needs to change. Put a line up there. We do it on walls, around stands, etc. Are the guys supposed to be pinball wizards as well?
@MatthewMKE98 And your exact 105/49 sample is four balls this season. Four. To determine where France’s ball was actually headed, you need its tracked trajectory before it hit the roof.
@MatthewMKE98 That stat proves 105 mph at 49° is very unlikely to be a home run. It doesn’t prove this ball wasn’t. EV + launch angle don’t define a complete trajectory. Spray angle, spin, spin axis, drag and atmospheric conditions affect carry.
@allthingschels5@BigmoneyF@NationPadres You’re confusing vertical velocity with horizontal velocity. At the apex, vertical velocity reaches zero. Horizontal velocity doesn’t. The ball doesn’t suddenly fall straight down.Unless you know its velocity vector when it hit the roof, you can’t claim where it would have landed
@allthingschels5@NationPadres Nobody is saying it’s rigged. But France’s ball presents an unusual problem: the roof interrupted the trajectory before the ball completed its natural flight. The statcast system therefore has less observed flight from which to extrapolate the landing point and could be wrong.
@NationPadres There should be a line painted on those stupid roofs at every stadium to indicate whether a ball should be a HR or not. We do it with walls like the Green Monster. Why not the roof???
This is baseball! Balls go high and long! Change the rule. Call it the Ty France HR Rule.