Delighted that my paper is out in @ElectoralStdies! I look at the effectiveness of traditional campaigning (door knocking, leaflets etc.) in the lead-up to the Brexit referendum, using @BESResearch data. https://t.co/4VJJVW1V9g
(3) There were some differences according to partisan identity. Notably, the Leave campaign was most successful when trying to persuade voters who weren't Conservative / Labour partisans.
Thread below on my student @MJacobsHarukawa's paper showing that campaign ads can be made more effective on avg by ML-based micro-targeting. May not seem surprising, but not previously shown. Next up: whether this is worrying, and if so what to do about it.
Ref:
"Time off please. Now captain, I want you to go and talk to your team about their discipline...
Also, whilst you're in a huddle doing what I asked you to do, I will restart play without warning".
🤷♂️ #WALvENG
50 countries. 17 languages. 1.2 million people.
The results are in of our #PeoplesClimateVote - the largest survey of public opinion on #ClimateChange ever conducted. Read more and explore the findings now: https://t.co/9s64aEletP
#Mission1Point5
What do #Europeans consider the top personal benefit they get out of their country's #EU membership? We asked in @EuropeanMoments / @eupinions poll.
28%: freedom to travel
20%: opportunity to live, work & study abroad
13%: peace & external security
👉https://t.co/O5L96gsuX5 👇
Check out our new @BESResearch blog. We show that individual level volatility (vote switching) went *down* in 2019 in response, we argue, to the impact of Brexit on the realignment of British electoral behaviour. Details here:
Here we find Conservative losses to 'undecided' (mainly), these losses are explained by competence judgements of government's handling of the covid crisis, they are primarily among voters who supported Cons for first time in Dec. https://t.co/K6orSrp2k1
Exciting day for @BESResearch and @NuffieldCollege Elections Unit. New data (wave 20 BES internet panel) and new analysis: https://t.co/K6orSrp2k1. See https://t.co/h6dx5PqJbj for my new blog w/Geoff Evans + @DanSnow96 and new analysis too by @jon_mellon @PoliSciJack @caprosser
Bloody hell. Asked a fairly reasonable question in the Commons, Matt Hancock replies: “I will not have this divisive language. I will not have it.”
You will not have Parliamentary scrutiny? Then you may be in the wrong job, sir.