Daniel Wattenberg

Author, "Decatur's Wake"

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@EricLDaugh What was he waiting for?

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@nataliegwinters Have you checked whether Wendy Sherman reported her husband’s Chicom ties to security authorities as legally required for cleared employees?

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

Bit of an overstatement to insinuate that Harvey Weinstein was Bill Clinton’s “best” friend, isn’t it?

I do wonder, though, what George — so scrupulous in his deference to legislative authority — would have made of LD’s assumption that our constitutional republic, with its carefully apportioned, mutually limiting powers and federal structure, is “ruled” by the presidency.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

Saint Anthony has turned out to be a Bond villain. There really should be a challenge to his preemptive pardon, if only to force legal discovery and gain visibility into the questionable process behind his blanket exemption from accountability.

https://t.co/iMxzBvWRuq

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

What a terrible idea. We tried this once before, with MJ. Wiz have the most promising young roster of any team in the NBA not named the Spurs. Why disrupt the emerging team chemistry and further clog pathways to playing time for young core just to reunite a tandem that didn't exactly set the league on fire in LA even when they were still in their late primes?

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

Are these guys fascist putschists? Or Best Buy sales associates?

[CBS News @CBSNews]

Masked marchers representing the white nationalist and fascist group Patriot Front arrived in Washington, D.C. on Saturday amid celebrations for America's 250th anniversary. Part of the group was seen boarding the Eastern Market Metro stop heading toward the National Mall.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

Gripping story of ambition, self-invention,
failure, redemption — and the faint outlines of an emerging sense of American rootedness, identity and social fluidity distinct from the Old World social stratification of the colonists’ English overlords. Saw it on the 4th here in DC, and the (admittedly small) theater was sold out except for the front row. If a movie like this is selling out in Georgetown, of all places, I suspect Angel Studios has a word of mouth hit on its hands.

[Young George Washington @washingtonmovie]

The untold story of #YoungWashington 🇺🇸
In theaters July 3, Independence Day Weekend. Celebrate America's 250th. Get your tickets at https://t.co/qWDZqW7bXB 🎟️
@AngelStudiosInc @watchonwonder @JonErwin13 @KelseyGrammer @andyserkis @Jonno_Davies @joelsmallbone @DoughtyAngus

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@CBSNews Those aren’t putschists. They’re Best Buy sales associates.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@PeterDiamandis My dad was much the same for
much the same reason.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@alexanderv82413 @bethanyshondark https://t.co/ti38ZvxDm8 Maybe because she understood how a credible claim might be substantiated.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@barttels2 @JamesRosenTV @TPCarney Having worked for a time early in my journalistic career for one R. Emmett Tyrrell … I better sit this one out.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@JohnMcNichols1 @MeghanMcCain @60Minutes I had the same thought, John. Bari Weiss is a centrist Democrat. A better comp for Rachel Maddow would be Laura Ingraham or Sean Hannity.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@Opus61856 Don’t know what you mean. Sorry.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

Columnist builds column around proposition that Trump has crashed below his presumed "floor" of 40% approval.

His evidence for this proposition?

"The RealClearPolitics average of Trump approval polls," he notes, "puts him at 39.8% (with a disapproval of 58.1%)."

An average approval rating of 40% across major polls, you see, proves that Trump has sunk beneath his floor 0f 40%.

Sure, buddy. Whatever.

FTA:

“Low ceiling, high floor.”

That was the conventional wisdom about Trump throughout his first term and in the beginning of his second term.

The pollster Ipsos made exactly that claim in October, suggesting that while Trump would never be loved by a significant majority of the country, he had a “floor” that was just higher than 40%. Bad events (such as the government shutdown) didn’t seem to drive down his approval ratings, Ipsos noted. At that point, about 44% of the country approved of his job performance, and since his 100-day honeymoon period ended, that number hadn’t wandered more than a point from 45%.

This year, though, Trump has fallen through the presumed floor.

The RealClearPolitics average of Trump approval polls puts him at 39.8% (with a disapproval of 58.1%).

https://t.co/AgdlnGq4wf

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@JamesRosenTV @TPCarney Nah, I think you get a pass if you’re a Smith. When your name’s that common, the differentiating initial is more practical expedient than pompous affectation.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@Opus61856 My post made a point about logical truth, not about statistics, let alone Trump or MAGA:

Major premise: Trump’s floor is 40%.

Minor premise: Trump’s current approval average is 40%.

Conclusion: Trump has not fallen below his stipulated floor.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@BenMullin A “reporter” who wears French cuffs on the job. Need I say more?

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@poorlyreasoned I would say negative conservative perceptions of Joe Manchin maxed out at something like “mild
“exasperation.

[Daniel Wattenberg @danwattenberg]

@HowardKurtz Here’s how: Replace Pelley and any other residual “famous faces” with Nick Shirley, Douglas Murray, Sharyl Attkisson, Matt Taibbi, Andy Ngo, and Michael Shellenberger.

You’re welcome, Howie.