@LastMenPod For me, this is actually an argument for significantly deweighting future value more than ~8 weeks out. You just don’t know enough about what a team or their opponents are going to look like that far out.
@EaglesXsandOs If there was a major shift in coaching philosophy towards runs on 2pt conversions, and defenses started to account/prepare for that, could that have an impact on this analysis?
@tjmcaulay But then he curiously said “Stafford knew it”, when Stafford clearly didn’t know it, otherwise he wouldn’t have been losing his mind and trying to call a timeout.