Here is a slide on Ontario's ICU capacity. If #COVID19 cases tip over our ICU capacity, the mortality rate is likely to shoot upwards. I would guess this model is from @BeateSander@DrKaliBarrett and the team at @CovidMc
WATCH LIVE:
@CBCNews has learned Ontario's projections will show: had province not put in place measures, #COVID19 death toll would have been 6000 in April alone.
Unless Ontario imposes even stricter measures today, 1600 people will die in April alone.
https://t.co/4H8qxdqELE
NEW: Chief of @PublicHealthON Dr Peter Donnelly just said that 67 #COVID19 deaths have occurred in Ontario. But based on information gathered from public health units *yesterday*. there were 81 deaths. Hard to explain that discrepancy.
https://t.co/4H8qxdqELE
@CBCNews 6000 deaths in April had Ontario taken no action
1600 deaths based on current projection
200 deaths in April if strong action taken now
Here's the slide from the province, based on work by epidemiologists at @UofT_dlsph, being presented by @SteiniBrown#COVID19
BREAKING: Ontario will have to add another 900 ICU beds to cope with the expected rise in #COVID19 patients even in a best case scenario, according to provincial projections. (I expect the source of this work is from @covid19mc team)
#BREAKING: Ontario forecasting 3,000 to 15,000 deaths with public health measures in place, 100,000 deaths without public health measures. https://t.co/l4eib5Mksb