@Mattplayerprops There you go again @Mattplayerprops kicking ass and taking names for what feels like about the 10th day in a row haha appreciate it dude!!!
I promised that if GOLD hits $5,300 this week,
I will give away 1 oz gold bars (~$5,279) to 3 people.
So as promised I will be giving away
$5,279 to 3 person today.
Rules: Like, Retweet, and Comment โGoldโ ๐
I share proof and Grok will pick the winner (must follow and have DMs open).
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Jaime Jaquez over 14.5 points
$50 to someone who COMMENTS and LIKES when we cash this! ๐ฐ
Let me know if you're tailing ๐ฅ
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisโฌ๏ธ
Jaime gets a very strong matchup and a nice situation as well tonight vs the Kings. We know Sacramento is not great defensively, they rank 27th in defensive rating (still tied for 24th in their last 10 games). SAC is allowing 120.5 ppg which is the 4th most in the league and their opponents shoot an efficient 49.2% on FG's (2nd highest).
Kings have actually done a good job of limiting 3's this season, they give up tied for the 5th fewest made 3's. Specifically in the last 10 games they allow the fewest made 3's in the NBA. This is actually great for Jaime in comparison to his teammates, because he is really not a shooter and instead relies on driving to the rim. Jaquez takes just 14.3% of his total shots from 3-PT range.
The way the Kings play defense, they stick to shooters for the most part as shown by allowing the 8th fewest spot up possessions. This leads to opponents having alot of 1v1 opportunities to drive and get down hill to the rim and SAC lack rim protection.
They are giving up 55.8 paint ppg on the season which ranks 2nd most in the NBA to go along with tied for the most made FG inside of 8 feet. This is ideal for Jaime who scores 68.3% of his points in the paint and takes 67.9% of his shots from inside 8 feet.
Herro is out, the rest of the rotation is healthy. In these situations Jaime avg 27.1 mins which does include 3 huge blowouts.
Specifically with Herro out and the rest of the rotation players in when facing non top 12 defenses, Jaquez avg 16.2 ppg going for 17+ in 4/5. He put up 20 and 21 pts against the best paint scoring matchups in this sample.
With Davion, Bam, Powell, Wiggins, Ware in and Herro out vs bottom half paint defenses, Jaime is over in 4/5 averaging 17.8 ppg. He always had an excellent game going for 27 pts on 27 FG+FT attempts in 35 mins vs SAC in December.
This line is too low for the matchup especially with Herro being out. We've seen similar style bigger body driving wings do great vs SAC: Avdija 30 pts, Kyshawn George 15 pts, OG 15 pts (foul trouble & blowout), Butler 15 pts in 22 mins, Naji Marshall 15 pts.
This is widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, best like currently -105 on MGM and Hard Rock.
#NBA #GamblingX #PlayerProps
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Giannis Antetokounmpo over 10.5 rebounds
200+โค for ANOTHER PLAY
$50 to someone who ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing ๐ฅ
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisโฌ๏ธ
Giannis gets a sneaky excellent spot tonight against the Timberwolves for this specific spot. We see Rudy Gobert is OUT for Minnesota here which obviously is huge and significantly hurts their rebounding.
This should mean alot of small ball lineups of Randle and Naz at the 4/5 spots, both are much worse on the glass in comparison to Rudy. On the season the Wolves have allowed 43.9 rebounds per game which ranks in the middle of the pack, this is with Gobert playing every single game.
When we look back to last season when he missed time due to injury from February 13th to March 7th, the Timberwolves took a major hit on the boards as expected. In this stretch which was 10 games, we saw MIN allowed 49.0 rebounds per game which ranked 4th most during that time period.
Some big rebounding games from opponents in that stretch: Bam 13, Miles Bridges 9, Bol Bol 11, KD 10, Kessler 13, Collins 12, FIlipowski 13, LeBron 17, Luka 13, Hartenstein 12 and 9, Sengun 13, Jabari Smith 9, Chet 12.
In what should be the starting lineup tonight, they have no real offensive rebound threat like Rudy is (avg nearly 4 offensive rebs per game). This should lead to more uncontested defensive rebs for Giannis that are just not challenged for.
Another key here is that Anthony Edwards is also out, we should expect the offense for MIN to take a hit in terms of scoring/efficiency which could just lead to more reb chances for MIL & Giannis.
It's also great that Giannis is no longer on any strict minute limit, he played 31-33 minutes in his last 4 games. This is key because in 9 games with 26+ mins vs bottom half reb teams (what MIN will be without Gobert), Giannis avg 12.0 rebs in 32 mins going over in 7/9.
He's also been used more in small ball center lineups lately which should boost his rebound rate. Bucks could be even more willing to play those Giannis at center lineups in this game vs smaller Wolves sinve Gobert is out.
Widely available on many DFS apps and sportsbooks. Best line currently -125 on Fanatics and MGM. Also -128 on Pinnacle, Bovada, BetOnlime. -130 at FD, 365, HR, Thescore.
If you read this far and appreciate my free plays and analysis, drop a ๐ฐ in the comments for a chance at a FREE Month VIP
#NBA #GamblingTwitter
@Matthewp07 LFG dude!!! Thank you again Matt!
Cmon ppl, you see what heโs all about by now,, what the heck is going onโฆ Matt has almost 65k followers and we canโt get him over 500 likes for the chance at someone getting a year, on him!!!