I don’t think Elon actually plans for SpaceX to be a neocloud long-term
I think he’s rushing to build as much compute as possible right now bc it can be paid for by other companies within 6-9 months at current spot prices
Then, in 2 years from now as pricing begins to stabilize he can re route that same compute to Grok, FSD, robotaxis and humanoids as they scale up
So all that compute he’ll need in a couple years is just getting paid for by other companies now
And the most interesting thing from this is right now he builds a GW for $30-$45B (with Vera Rubin) and then rents it for $50B/year
Once he re routes that compute to his products, he’ll generate upwards of $100B+/GW, which is the current return for companies like OpenAI and Anthropic
Obviously there’s risk if the demand for compute subsides in the short-term, before his other products scale, but I think it’s an incredibly smart move that’s going to pay off massively
For that reason, $SPCX has become a core asset in my portfolio. You can see my entire real-time portfolio here: https://t.co/NyRpAKYOwu
Business cycle approach to equity sectors... mid-cycle favors TMT...
If you think we're late cycle, go with Real Estate, Staples, Energy, Utes
'Business cycle approach to equity sectors' from Fidelity
The initial response to this article has been incredible.
The S&P 500 is now <1% away from a record high but 206 of its components are down over -30%.
Never in history has this happened before.
It's the "Bear-Bull Market Paradox." Bookmark this.
THIS HAS MARKED EVERY MAJOR BUYING & SELLING OPPORTUNITY SINCE 1990
Dot-Com Crash.
Global Financial Crisis.
COVID Crash.
2022 Bear Market.
2025 Tariff Selloff.
The $VIX is Wall Street’s fear gauge.
If you trade $SPY or $QQQ, you need to understand it.
VIX below 20: TRIM / REDUCE RISK
VIX 20–30: HOLD
VIX 30–40: START BUYING
VIX above 40: BUY THE PANIC
RIGHT NOW: VIX 14.25
We’re in the low-volatility zone.
Let winners run, but don’t chase. Trim extended positions and keep cash ready for the next volatility spike.
Buy when others are fearful. Sell when they are greedy.
📺Inflation Is Out Of The Way – Now The Market Has Room To Run
Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow growth stock investors
@TedHZhang notes that the market remains firmly in an uptrend under the four coveted Green Arrows in our Trend Gauge, and right now there’s not much to dislike.
With CPI coming in line and PPI cooler, inflation has cleared a major hurdle.
Treasury #yields are retreating, $VIX has dropped to around 14 and new 150-day lows, and the indexes are breaking out.
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$SPX is at all-time highs. $QQQ is breaking a major downtrend line and pushing out of a cup-with-handle style setup. $RSP is at all-time highs, mid-caps $MDY are making new highs, and small-caps $IWM have also reached all-time highs before slipping slightly back into their range.
That breadth matters. This isn’t simply a handful of mega-cap stocks carrying the market.
The Mag 7 $MAGS is also building a large base that looks like it could eventually get going, while the Dow $DIA continues to flag around its 8 EMA.
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This could be considered roughly week two of the new rally.
These uptrends can typically last 6–12 weeks, which means there could potentially be another four or more weeks of favorable trading ahead.
That would line up well with seasonality potentially becoming more challenging into September and October ahead of the midterms.
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The macro backdrop is helping.
The dollar $DXY has broken below its potential uptrend and is trading under the 8, 21 and 50-day moving averages.
Meanwhile, cooler PPI and in-line CPI pushed Treasury yields lower and bonds higher. $TLT $BND
Fed expectations have also become less hawkish, with the probability of another rate hike falling to roughly 34% and the probability of a hold rising to 66%.
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There are still reasons to remain disciplined.
NAAIM exposure jumped from the 80s to around 95, showing that active managers have quickly increased equity exposure.
That can persist for weeks in a strong market, but it’s a reason to become a little more cautious rather than complacent.
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Outside equities, $GLD has rallied into its 200-day moving average, but it remains in a Stage 4 structure.
A rally into the 200-day doesn’t automatically mean a new uptrend.
$SLV is also still below key weekly moving averages, while $IBIT remains below its important short- and intermediate-term averages.
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One of the biggest individual-stock developments came from $SNDK after its investor day and positive commentary around long-term memory and NAND demand.
#SNDK surged roughly 13.7%, reclaimed the 8/21-day moving averages, and broke its downtrend line on volume.
$MU strengthened as well, although it continues to battle its declining 50-day moving average.
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$RBRK also broke out of a massive base into new all-time highs. After two straight weeks higher, some consolidation would be completely normal.
We bought $RBRK in both our portfolios.
Other changes: we added $UPRO and $TQQQ on the index breakouts, while $TWLO was also bought in Turbotection.
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Bottom line: inflation is out of the way, yields are retreating, volatility is extremely low, breadth is expanding, and the major indexes are breaking out.
If this rally follows the typical 6–12 week pattern, the market may still have several weeks of room to run before tougher fall seasonality becomes the bigger concern.
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Watch this Short video where @TedHZhang breaks it all down in detail 🔽
WHAT I DO EVERY WEEKEND THAT HELPED ME MAKE MY FIRST $1,000,000 TRADING.
I’m doing it again right now trying to set up another $25,000 week.
Before Monday, I scan the money flows:
$SMH - Semiconductors
$DRAM - Memory
$EUV - Photonics
$IGV - Software
$CIBR - Cybersecurity
$WGMI - HPC
$DTCR - Data Centers
$BOTZ - Robotics
$ARKX - Space
$NLR - Nuclear
$QTUM - Quantum
$XLF - Financials
$XLV - Healthcare
$XLE - Energy
$IWM - Small Caps
Then I ask:
What is making new highs?
What is holding the 8/21 trend?
What is outperforming $SPY and $QQQ?
Where is money quietly rotating?
Then I find the strongest stocks inside the strongest ETFs.
I don’t wake up Monday searching for random trades.
I already know exactly where I’m looking.
Do this before Monday.
🇺🇸 SpaceX just bought Cursor outright.
The entire Cursor team is now inside SpaceXAI, tasked with making Grok faster, sharper, and more dangerous: across Grok, Grok Build, Grok Bot, the API, and everything else they’re building.
One of the strongest coding tools in AI is getting strapped to a rocket.
The coding race is upgrading.
Source: @Cursor_AI, @spacexai, @SpaceX / Writer: Val
New filing for NHL hockey ETFs from VolShares, which will track the performance of 32 dif teams (eg the Boston Bruins ETF) which will be based on how the team does (eg wins, losses in reg season and playoffs) using a special team index calc that has futures contract on it. Wow. Good catch from Jeff who has some more deets below incl link to filing..
This chart took the real yield on my "solar panel array as a true TIPS real-yielding LT bond" trade up significantly.
If investors think this is going to continue, one strategy to mitigate it is sell your LT bond portfolio & use the proceeds to buy a solar panel array.
Shares of $SPCX are coming into the expected level of supply in the145-150 zone.
I would be very careful with new purchases up here and start to think hard about taking some profits or raising stops
🔴⚓️VWAP from all time high
🔵⚓️VWAP from IPO
WSJ is now reporting that Leopold’s $400M investment went into Source Foundry, a semiconductor equipment startup recently valued at $5 Billion.
The company plans to build machines, equipment and software for AI chip manufacturing, with the goal of competing with $ASML.
1/ $SPX Gamma Update
SPX has shifted into a positive gamma regime with Net GEX at +$1.39B and 30D IV at just 12.57%.
Dealers are now long gamma, a backdrop that typically favors mean reversion, lower realized volatility, and range-bound trading.
1/ What is Gamma Exposure (GEX) and why do traders watch it?
GEX helps explain how market maker hedging can influence price action.
By tracking dealer positioning, traders can better understand where markets may stay range-bound, or where volatility could expand.
🚨| ¿ENTIENDES LO QUE ESTE TIPO ACABA DE FILTRAR?
polymarket tiene el “us recession by end of 2026” en 13%. hace dos meses estaba casi en 30%.
algo cambió. y no fue un dato suelto, fue que la gente empezó a entender el juego completo en vez de reaccionar a cada titular.
ray dalio acaba de soltar 42 minutos explicando ese juego entero: cómo se mueve la deuda, por qué las crisis se repiten siempre igual, y cómo piensan los grandes cuando todos los demás entran en pánico. gratis. sin vender nada. sin letra pequeña.
la parte que nadie cuenta: dalio lleva repitiendo esto en foros de wall street desde hace años y casi nadie fuera de ese círculo lo escuchaba. lo que cambió no fue el mensaje, fue el formato. lo metió en 42 minutos que cualquiera puede ver justo cuando el mercado empezó a moverse en la dirección que él ya llevaba explicando.
si ese 13% se mantiene bajo, no va a ser porque la economía esté resuelta. va a ser porque una parte de la gente entendió el ciclo antes de que llegara, mientras el resto sigue esperando el titular para enterarse.
la pregunta no es si dalio tiene razón. es cuántos van a ver la clase antes de que ese número vuelva a moverse.
AI-exposed companies are delivering unprecedented earnings.
S&P 500 companies are beating earnings estimates by an average of +27% so far in Q2 2026, on track for the strongest quarter in decades.
Nasdaq 100 firms are exceeding expectations by more than double that margin, at +55%.
The Bloomberg AI Value Chain index is beating expectations by an even larger amount, at +71%.
This index includes chipmakers, cloud and data center operators, memory and hardware suppliers, networking equipment makers, and power infrastructure companies supporting AI.
The AI boom is backed by extraordinary earnings results.