Deena Mousa

Research & grantmaking @coeff_giving • Leave me anonymous feedback:

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

We've gotten used to technology being democratizing but, unfortunately, it seems unlikely AI will be a leapfrog miracle story.

New post out now on why -

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

On 1) I think the driver of the convergence is a little hard to pin down to the effects of the internet precisely. *A lot* of it was likely China's commodity demand, and some of the internet's second-order effects you mention were jobs enabled by the internet (like BPOs). For that same pattern to hold for AI, it would have to create a similar sort of job creation, which doesn't seem obviously likely to happen.

On 2) things could certainly get weird in a world of (true) AGI, but I think superintelligence makes this problem worse and not better for LMICs, given ownership of such a powerful technology in 1-2 countries.

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

We've gotten used to technology being democratizing but, unfortunately, it seems unlikely AI will be a leapfrog miracle story.

New post out now on why -

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

https://t.co/tydMQ8MCIe

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Happening now!

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Looking forward to speaking at UN Behavioral Science week about how to adopt AI models across global contexts.

If you’d like to tune in, it’ll be streamed here! https://t.co/5h4bdXjwut

@UN_BeSci @UN_Innovation

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

@owl_posting Congrats !!

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Looking forward to speaking at UN Behavioral Science week about how to adopt AI models across global contexts.

If you’d like to tune in, it’ll be streamed here! https://t.co/5h4bdXjwut

@UN_BeSci @UN_Innovation

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

@dunc_webb @ea_global Unfortunately not, but I may write something on this subject on Substack in the future!

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Sneak preview of my talk this afternoon @ea_global

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Spotting a a Waymo being driven by a human in NYC is always a little trippy on a few levels

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Featuring @joshgans @danbjork @davideoks @carolyn_sms @RyanReedHill

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Roundup of my favorite May reading: India's IT revenue and employment decoupled for the first time in 2 decades, ChatGPT's obsession with goblins is actually very human, and in countries with fewer than 1 doctor/10,000 people, the AI-and-jobs debate looks a *little* different

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

https://t.co/0DESjdIFP9

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Bigger question is whether the worrying actually helped prepare them for the 8% or just caused them to suffer twice (usually the latter which is closer to the actual reason anxiety is unhelpful)

[Brandon Luu, MD @BrandonLuuMD]

In a study of people with generalized anxiety disorder, only 8.6% of recorded worries actually happened.

The most common outcome: 0%. Not a single worry came true.

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Short term, universities will move to handwritten in-class exams, but soon that won't be enough. We'll need to put a stake in the ground re: what higher education is for.

To prepare you to complete economically-useful tasks, to teach you to think in a general sense? Neither?

[Andy Hall @ahall_research]

Going to see a lot more of these AI bans in universities. I understand the impulse but I think it’s a mistake.

https://t.co/nL9MqVpHGy

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

@DKThomp The window during which AI is sufficiently bad at video for this to be the moat is likely very short

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

“So, have you heard of Jevons paradox?”

[Miles Brundage @Miles_Brundage]

Saw a bunch of people in graduation gowns yesterday and resisted the urge to make a commencement speech about AI

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

@rSanti97 I heard it has its own beige microsite actually

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

@StefanFSchubert The potential economic effects are ambiguous enough, and have the potential to hit differently sectors enough, that this doesn’t feel satisfying. It’s important for policy to have some way of forming a belief about what the labor market and work will look like specifically.

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

@DKThomp The medium is the message…

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

https://t.co/sEk1FQsznU

[Deena Mousa @deenamousa]

Yes! AI Exposure is not displacement risk. Being more exposed to AI might mean a job is more likely than others to hire *more* people

[Benjamin Todd @ben_j_todd]

People are sharing stories about tech layoffs as evidence of "white collar bloodbath". But a bunch of stories doesn't tell us much.

What do the data say? 🧵