IRResistible CAGRs🍁

Hunting maximum reward with minimum risk.
Value is what's worth more in the future.

Rambler at:
Advice

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

For the next time I forget, there is no price too low for value stocks and no price too high for growth stocks.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

@MAraucana Nothing from Hormuz but the US trade disruption sounded like it was delayed some shipments from Europe that were waiting on boats to fill up that took longer.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Anecdotally, heard from COO of small industrial company today: last year was 💩 due to tariffs, Q1 2026 record...
Current status: heart attack from timeline slipping and out of control backlog...

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

@atelicinvest Yeah, bunch of stuff where I'm like 'irr could be pretty good from here... that keeps sucking' and see a number of other stuff where flat for 5-10 years seems like a reasonable expectation.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Market is extremely bifurcated.

Some stuff extremely expensive and ripping... Some decent stuff +50% off highs

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Interesting groups

[JaguarAnalytics @JaguarAnalytics]

There is a theme here ...

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Not today, trading volume seems to have fallen off a bit recently

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Maybe... Maybe not.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

@acorn_capital No idea what you're talking about 🤔

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Kinda feels like too many people are up too much on that one insurance company that sucked for 20 years

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Lot of weird random financial-y things getting smoked recently.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

The thing has radically lagged many auto peers whose returns and valuations would put it $20+

But figuring out the 'why would that change now' is beyond me... Aside from maybe sentiment catches up at some point 🤷

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

@Moradat It stops for the same reason anything else would stop... When people see something that makes them reevaluate, or the sentiment changes.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

If Action grows ~4% ("sequentially") in Q2, the implied multiple
NAV 31.50
P/NAV 0.7
Action implied run rate EV/EBITDA ~13.6x
Action Forward EV/EBITDA ~11.8x
Forward P/E ~16x
Growth rate +15%

Maybe someday the multiple stops going down... Maybe not.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

@Moradat The buyback has done virtually nothing to change the price imo... But that's something impossible to prove either way.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Remember when everyone was raising money to buy more Bitcoin because there was/would be a Bitcoin shortage.

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

@maxwellhouse99 Probably need margin compliant stocks... I'm still confused as to why this is any different from a margin account

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Unusable trash

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Now I see why they needed the added $50B...

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Looks like Linamar hit round number resistance this morning at 1.0x book

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

@lol_kikko Seems that way from one perspective

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Possibly interesting

[IRResistible CAGRs🍁 @deepvalueco]

Wow 3i didn't get nuked into the close today... For once

Oh well, there's always tomorrow