If you’re seeing #牛来 everywhere today but still have no idea why it’s pumping, read this thread. Everything you need to know is here
0xBEEA1D618e533a387D941F58a7d4c9b7bD377777
And the next one is #牛来
Quite a few people have been asking me about this one today because the volume has been absolutely insane
So let’s break it down together
1. First, what is #牛来 actually about?
$牛来 is inspired by a Chinese animated movie called 《牛来》, which was released on August 5
The funny part is that the movie almost completely flopped when it first came out
During its first 9 days, it reportedly made only around 7,000 RMB at the box office, with just a few hundred people watching it
But ironically, that massive flop is exactly what made it go viral
People criticized the rough animation, stiff movements, and extremely abstract storyline. Clips started spreading across Chinese social media with people basically asking :
“How bad can this movie actually be?”
And that triggered a pretty crazy reverse-viral effect
People started going to see the movie not because it was getting great reviews, but because they wanted to experience for themselves just how bizarre it really was.
According to reports from August 15, the number of screenings went from almost nothing to hundreds and eventually more than 1,000, while box office revenue exploded within just 1–2 days
Updated data tonight even showed that total box office including presales had surpassed 1M RMB.
This is basically the perfect type of narrative for a memecoin :
Flop => becomes a meme => goes viral => people get curious => more people talk about it => it becomes even more viral
2. The second thing I like is the name itself: “牛来”
This part fits crypto surprisingly well
In Chinese :
牛 = bull
来 = come
So the community can easily turn $牛来 into :
“Bull comes”
Or more naturally :
“The bull is coming”
You have a movie called 牛来 going viral at exactly the same time crypto can turn its name into a bull market meme
The narrative is extremely simple
And when it comes to memecoins, sometimes the simplest narratives are the easiest ones to spread
3. But there’s another detail that caught my attention: its pair is QQQB
$牛来 isn’t paired with USDT or WBNB like a typical meme
Its main pool is paired with QQQB
QQQB essentially provides exposure to the Invesco QQQ / Nasdaq-100 through the tokenized stock / bStocks narrative
So you suddenly have this combination :
Chinese viral meme
> “Bull Comes”
> BSC
> bStocks / tokenized stocks
I don’t think QQQB is the main reason the token is running
The movie is still the main catalyst
But with tokenized stocks getting more attention lately, I think this is a pretty interesting extra angle
4. The tokenomics also have an interesting mechanism
$牛来 is a tax token
Whenever trades happen, part of the tax is accumulated as tokens inside the contract
Once the amount reaches a certain threshold, those tokens can be liquidated/swapped into QQQB through the main pool
The threshold isn’t completely fixed either , there’s a mechanism that adjusts it depending on market conditions
This obviously doesn’t suddenly turn $牛来 into a utility token
But at least the QQQB pair isn’t there purely for marketing. It’s directly connected to how the token’s tax mechanism works
5. So why has the chart been so strong?
I think the answer is pretty simple :
Attention is growing faster than the market cap
The movie only really started experiencing this reverse-viral moment over the past 1–2 days
Clips and memes are spreading across Chinese social media, theaters are adding more screenings, box office numbers are climbing quickly, and Chinese media has started covering the whole phenomenon
Meanwhile, crypto is beginning to front-run the story
Chinese traders/KOLs are starting to pay attention, and the narrative around the movie is now being converted into a memecoin narrative
We’ve seen this pattern plenty of times before :
real-world attention
→ social media
→ meme
→ crypto discovers it
→ liquidity follows attention
And $牛来 seems to be somewhere in the middle of that process right now
6. What are the next catalysts?
There are 4 things I’m watching
+ The most important one is still the movie itself
If box office numbers keep climbing, theaters continue adding screenings, and 牛来 stays hot across
Douyin/Weibo/search trends, then the token still has fuel behind the narrative
+ Second is Chinese CT
If bigger Chinese KOLs start talking about $牛来, I think that could be the most important crypto-native catalyst from here.
+ Third is listings
We’ve already started seeing some smaller exchange listings. If larger CEXs eventually pick it up, that could create another wave of attention and liquidity
+ And finally, narrative expansion.
If 牛来 starts generating more memes, derivative tokens, or develops into a broader cultural trend rather than remaining tied exclusively to the movie, the lifespan of the narrative could become much longer
7. But this is probably the most important part: I’m not chasing this chart
Looking at the chart, $牛来 basically went from almost zero to an ATH above ~$7M before pulling back toward ~$5M
That’s already an enormous move in a very short period of time
A good narrative doesn’t mean every price is a good entry
The area that becomes much more interesting to me is around $3–4M if the market gives us a proper correction
But there’s one important condition
If it reaches $2–3M, I’ll check whether the movie is still going viral, whether Chinese KOLs are still talking about it, and whether the volume is still there
Price going down while attention keeps growing = a dip worth watching
Price going down because the narrative is dying = completely different story
8. Finally, the bear case is pretty obvious
At the end of the day, this is still a pure memecoin
There’s no major product or roadmap that gives me enough reason to build a long-term thesis around it, and most of its current value depends on the attention surrounding 《牛来》
Cultural narratives like this can explode extremely quickly, but they can die just as fast
The chart has also already moved massively from the bottom, which means there are inevitably plenty of holders sitting on huge profits
That’s why I see $牛来 more as an attention trade than a long-term investment
To sum it up :
What makes $牛来 interesting to me isn’t just the chart
It’s the unusual intersection between something genuinely happening outside crypto and the market’s ability to meme it on-chain :
《牛来》 reverse-viral in China
→ “Bull Comes”
→ Chinese CT attention
→ BSC liquidity
→ QQQB / bStocks angle
At ~$7M, I don’t like chasing it
But if we get a proper washout toward the $2–3M area while the narrative in China continues getting stronger, I think this becomes one of the more interesting plays to keep a close eye on
With plays like this, don’t just watch the chart
Watch where the attention is going
0xBEEA1D618e533a387D941F58a7d4c9b7bD377777
Everyone is talking about $BBROKER, but not enough people actually understand what they’re betting on
This thread explains it
0xf1969F437Fe3C485468FB17B0d9861c24DCd7777
Overall, market volume doesn’t look that great today, but there are still a few tokens on $BSC that I think are worth paying attention to
And the first one is $BBROKER
To be fair, it has already made a pretty strong move, so I’m sure a lot of you already know about it. But after the correction, the chart has been ranging for quite a while, and I’ve had quite a few people asking whether the dip is still worth buying
I think it is, but what interests me more about $BBROKER is the narrative behind it.
So let’s break it down again
+ First: Meme × NFT × RWA
This is probably what I like most about $BBROKER.
Instead of being just another BSC meme, it combines three narratives at once:
> Meme => attention + trading volume
> NFT => utility + yield
> bStocks => RWA / tokenized stocks narrative
The concept behind bBroker Vault is also pretty easy to understand :
Burn $BBROKER => Mint NFT => NFT earns rewards + has a floor
Trading volume generates fees, and those fees are then routed into the Dividend Pool and Floor Pool
In simple terms, they’re trying to turn memecoin trading activity itself into cash flow that supports the NFT ecosystem
I think it’s a pretty easy narrative to understand and spread, and more importantly, it fits quite well with what’s getting attention on BSC right now
+ Second : It reminds me a lot of StonkBrokers
If you’ve been following me for a while, you probably know I’ve talked quite a lot about StonkBrokers on Robinhood Chain
And $BBROKER has a lot of similarities
Meme + NFT + yield + floor
The difference is that this concept is now being brought over to BSC with the addition of bStocks
That’s also why some people are looking at $BBROKER as a kind of “beta play” on StonkBrokers for BSC
I don’t necessarily think copying a model that has already worked is a bad thing
If the market has already shown that people like a certain mechanism, bringing that same model into another ecosystem with active liquidity can create a new narrative of its own
+ Third : bStocks / RWA is the part I’m watching the most
This is what gives $BBROKER a bit more depth in my opinion
RWA and tokenized stocks are gradually becoming a pretty interesting narrative on BSC
And instead of simply throwing “RWA” into the narrative for marketing, $BBROKER is trying to connect it directly to the Vault + NFT rewards through bStocks
So the thesis here isn’t simply :
“a memecoin with NFTs”
It’s more like :
Meme attention => trading volume => NFT utility => RWA rewards
If the market continues paying attention to tokenized stocks, $BBROKER could easily become a beta play for that narrative
+ Fourth : The flywheel is what will decide whether this can actually go further
This is the part I’ll be watching most closely
Volume goes up
→ more fees
→ Dividend Pool + Floor Pool grow
→ NFTs become more attractive
→ more people want to mint
→ more $BBROKER gets burned
→ narrative gets stronger.
If this loop actually starts working, $BBROKER becomes much more interesting than a meme that relies entirely on KOLs continuing to shill it
But obviously, it works both ways
Volume drops => rewards drop => floor growth slows => demand for minting drops
So for me, the biggest catalyst right now isn’t another KOL or another tweet pumping the price.
It’s volume + continued growth in NFT mints
If those two can maintain momentum, I think the narrative still has room to run
+ Finally : My view
I actually like the narrative behind $BBROKER
Not because it’s completely original, but because it combines several things the market is paying attention to right now :
BSC + Meme + NFT + RWA / Tokenized Stocks
More importantly, there’s an actual mechanism behind the narrative that makes it relatively easy to understand where the money flows
Of course, this is still an early beta play
If volume dies, the flywheel can die with it, so I definitely wouldn’t treat this as something you just buy and forget about
Looking at the chart, it already had a strong run, followed by a correction, and has now been ranging for a while
I think there’s still a chance we get another flush toward the 400–500K MC area
That’s where I’d be interested in starting to bid
Entry I’m watching: 400–500K MC
If it breaks below 300K, especially with volume drying up → I’m cutting the position
So overall, I’m not betting on $BBROKER simply because it’s another meme on BSC
My thesis is more about Meme × NFT × RWA being a pretty well-timed narrative, combined with a model that has already shown some traction through StonkBrokers
If volume comes back and the flywheel actually starts working, I think there could still be a lot more to talk about with $BBROKER
No need to FOMO here
Wait for the dip, watch the volume, and play this one safe
0xf1969F437Fe3C485468FB17B0d9861c24DCd7777
$PONS is recovering really strongly, but honestly, the price isn’t even what I’m paying the most attention to right now
What stands out to me more is how hard the team is still building
If you look at the entire Robinhood Chain ecosystem right now, I think $PONS is pretty clearly the #2 name, only behind $CASHCAT
And the recent updates only make this thesis more interesting
Pons has now :
> Surpassed $2.25B in total trading volume
> Had 280K+ tokens created
> Generated ~$14.7M in creator rewards
> Burned more than 27% of the $PONS supply
But what I like most recently is how aggressively Pons is expanding into RWA/tokenized stocks
They had already added pairs like SNDK, AMD, AMZN, MSFT, META, COIN, PLTR...
And today, another 7 pairs were added :
TTWO, RIVN, COST, DJT, MSTR, QQQ and RDDT
The team has also said there are plenty more coming
Some pairs like DJT and RIVN have even been short on liquidity due to demand, to the point where Ozzy had to directly call for LPs to add more liquidity
And it’s not just RWA. The core product is still getting constant updates too :
Better anti-snipe protection, CTO with a 3-day timelock, tax reflection, Uniswap Launches integration...
And most importantly, the $PONS buyback + burn mechanism is still running
Of course, Pons has more competition now. The arrival of https://t.co/yhIuRnJKVw has pushed its market share down to around 55–60%
But what matters is that even with stronger competition, Pons is still the #1 launchpad by volume
That’s what keeps me interested in $PONS
It’s no longer just another token riding the Robinhood Chain narrative
Behind $PONS is an actual platform with real volume, real creators, real revenue, constant product updates, and now an increasingly strong push into RWA/tokenized stocks
And that’s why my view from the previous post hasn’t really changed
$CASHCAT became the first Robinhood Chain native token to get listed on Robinhood
And if you ask me which token is sitting right behind $CASHCAT in the ecosystem right now, my answer is still $PONS
There’s been no confirmation of a listing, so of course this is still just a thesis
But with the way the team is building right now, if Robinhood does decide to pick another native token to list, I still don’t see a more logical candidate than $PONS
And even if the Robinhood listing never happens, I still think $PONS is a token worth keeping a close eye on
Because at the end of the day, a listing is just one catalyst
What makes me more bullish is that the team is actually building, and Pons is slowly carving out its own position within the Robinhood Chain ecosystem
0x39dbed3a2bd333467115de45665cc57f813c4571
$PACK is probably one of the most unique plays on the market right now
After actually sitting down and researching it, I realized there’s a lot more going on here than I initially thought
Quite a few people have also been DMing me asking for a deeper breakdown on $PACK and why it has been running so hard
So let’s dig into it together
+ First : the “Two Wolves” narrative
To understand $PACK, you first need to understand the narrative it’s playing into
On July 17, Vlad Tenev, CEO of Robinhood, posted :
“Why not both?”
alongside the “two wolves” image
The concept actually fits pretty well with the direction Robinhood has been moving in
One wolf represents the more serious financial side: RWA, tokenized stocks, NVDA, AAPL, MSFT,....
The other represents meme/degen culture: attention, community, speculation and retail
In simple terms :
TradFi + Degens
But instead of just taking that narrative and slapping it onto another memecoin, $PACK actually built the idea directly into the token’s structure
The founder describes it pretty simply :
“There are two wolves inside you
One wants NVDA · MU · MSFT · AAPL · AMD · SPCX
The other wants CASHCAT · THROBBIN · TENDIES · PONS
$PACK is both”
That was the first thing that caught my attention
+ Second : 10 liquidity pools
This is where $PACK starts getting very different from your average meme
Instead of launching with a normal PACK/ETH or PACK/USDC pool, $PACK has no native ETH/USD pair
Instead, it created 10 separate liquidity pools on Uniswap v4
There are :
+ 6 pools paired with tokenized stocks: NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMD, MU, SPCX...
+ 4 pools paired with memes: CASHCAT, THROBBIN, TENDIES, PONS...
So the “Two Wolves” concept isn’t just branding
Half of the liquidity network is connected to stocks
The other half is connected to memes
And $PACK sits right in the middle of both
This is also why if you open DexScreener and see one pair with only tens of thousands of dollars in liquidity, you shouldn’t immediately assume that represents the entire liquidity of $PACK
Its liquidity is spread across 10 different pools
+ Third : those 10 pools are permanently locked
This is another part I find pretty interesting
According to the design published by the founder :
> No owner
> No admin key
> No upgrades
> No function to withdraw liquidity
Basically, once the system was deployed, even the founder couldn’t simply pull the LP or change the mechanics
The anti-snipe rules were also hardcoded from the beginning :
> First hour : max 0.5% of supply per wallet
> Next 6 hours : max 2%
> After that: unrestricted
The founder even said :
“I can’t stop it either”
It’s basically an experiment that gets released into the wild and then left for the market to decide what happens next
+ Fourth : the flywheel is probably the part I find most interesting
$PACK has a 1% trading fee
But those fees don’t simply flow to the team
When someone buys $PACK, the fee collected in the paired token is used to buy more $PACK from the market and feed it back into liquidity
When someone sells $PACK, the fee collected in $PACK is permanently burned
So in simple terms, the more trading volume $PACK generates, the more fees the system collects. More fees mean more $PACK can be bought back/burned while liquidity gradually gets deeper. Deeper liquidity can then potentially attract more traders, more volume and more attention
So the loop is pretty easy to understand :
More trading => more fees => more $PACK buybacks/burns => deeper liquidity => potentially more volume and attention
There’s also a Harvest mechanism every 12 hours
Anyone can trigger it :
> 1% of the harvest goes to whoever triggers it
> The remaining 99% goes back into the buyback/burn mechanism
And importantly, this flywheel isn’t just theoretical anymore.
The first Harvest has already been completed
According to the team’s update :
> Around 660K $PACK was bought back
> It was fed back into liquidity
> Around 0.44% of the total supply was burned
For me, that’s a much more interesting datapoint than simply saying, “this token has a buyback mechanism”
The mechanics are already running
+ Fifth : the founder is pretty interesting too
$PACK was created by @gribbly_fire
He’s one of the co-founders of $COQ, a token that previously reached a pretty serious market cap
Obviously that doesn’t guarantee $PACK will succeed, but at least this isn’t just some completely anonymous dev who appeared today and could disappear tomorrow
I also like the way he talks about $PACK
He isn’t trying to sell it as some “revolutionary DeFi protocol” or force a bunch of fake utility onto it
Instead, he literally describes it as :
“An experiment, and volatile on purpose
60% future, 40% fuck it”
And honestly, that describes $PACK pretty well
+ Sixth : why does the chart look so weird?
There are 10 pools operating at the same time
That means you have arbitrage between different pools and much more complicated routing than a normal meme with one liquidity pair
The founder has even said that the fact it can look a little “ugly” is intentional
So I wouldn’t look at $PACK like a normal memecoin where it’s simply :
CA => liquidity pool => buy/sell
It feels more like a liquidity experiment wrapped inside a meme
And that’s exactly what makes it interesting to me
+ Now for the important part : the risks
Don’t let a good thesis make you forget that this is still an extremely new memecoin
Right now, $PACK depends heavily on two things :
attention + volume
The mechanics work beautifully while volume is high, but the reverse is also true
If people stop trading, fees decline. Lower fees mean weaker buybacks/burns, slower liquidity growth, and one of the most attractive parts of the $PACK thesis becomes much less powerful
The 10-pool structure also means liquidity is fragmented, making charting and valuation more complicated than usual
And most importantly :
$PACK is not an official Robinhood token
It’s making clever use of the “Two Wolves” narrative and the tokenized stocks/meme ecosystem, but we shouldn’t turn a narrative connection into a partnership that doesn’t currently exist
+ So how am I looking at $PACK?
If I only look at the chart, I honestly don’t like it
It has basically been UP ONLY 😂
It ran from below $1M straight into the $7–8M range and even wicked to around $9M
I have zero interest in chasing that move here
But if I ignore the chart for a second and just research the concept, I have to admit :
The $PACK narrative is pretty unique
It doesn’t simply meme the “Two Wolves” concept
It turns Two Wolves into the actual structure of the token :
6 stock pools + 4 meme pools
→ 10 permanently locked pools
→ no native ETH/USD pair
→ volume generates fees
→ fees feed buybacks/burns + liquidity
→ permissionless Harvest
→ immutable experiment
That’s basically everything that makes $PACK “different” packed into one design
So I’m not chasing it at current levels
If the market gives us a proper dip, the area I’d be interested in watching is around $4M MC
If the thesis completely fails and market cap drops below $1.5M, that would be my invalidation and I’d cut the position
So overall :
I don’t like the chart
But I genuinely like the narrative + mechanics
$PACK can obviously fail like any other experimental meme, but at least this is one of the few recent plays that actually made me sit down and research it because it’s trying something genuinely different
Now I understand why so many of you have been DM me about this one
0x0145AcbcceFbEd6F303C420bEeaaAc72E905430b
Quite a few people have been asking me about $PLUMBER because the volume on this thing is absolutely insane right now
I spent some time looking into it, and there are definitely a few things I like here, but also some pretty obvious risks
So let’s break it down
1. First, where did the whole “plumber” narrative come from?
It basically started with a post from @FrankDeGods :
“crypto oldheads were trading against plumbers”
Threadguy then pushed the discussion even further, basically arguing that some of the legendary traders from the 2017–2019 era were playing against much weaker competition , regular retail, newbies, or, as the meme puts it, “plumbers”
Obviously, the oldheads weren’t going to let that slide
Ansem jumped into the debate too, arguing that those days weren’t easy at all. There were rugs everywhere, scams, leverage wipes, and countless alts that eventually went close to zero
And somehow, what started as a random joke turned into an actual CT debate :
Oldheads vs Plumbers
That’s where things started getting interesting
2. Then someone did what CT always does: tokenize the attention
$PLUMBER didn’t create this meme.
The dev simply saw the “oldheads vs plumbers” debate heating up and deployed a token right in the middle of it
And honestly, the timing was pretty good
Instead of launching a random token and then desperately trying to build some lore around it, the dev jumped on a narrative that already had attention
So the sequence was basically :
Frank starts the joke => Threadguy pushes the debate => Ansem/oldheads respond => CT starts talking about plumbers => dev deploys $PLUMBER => community/KOLs pick it up => volume explodes
Then “let’s plumb” started getting spammed across GCs and CT, which naturally tied the token even closer to the meme
And now $PLUMBER has also been listed on Moonshot, giving it another distribution channel while the narrative is still hot
But this is also where I think people need to separate the meme from the token
The dev was good at catching the trend, but so far they haven’t proven that they can actually create another reason for people to hold $PLUMBER once the initial attention fades
And that leads into the next part
3. Right now, attention is doing almost all the heavy lifting
The volume is ridiculous and, more importantly, the community still doesn’t seem to be cooling down
What I find interesting is that the narrative is now spreading far beyond the original Frank / Threadguy / Ansem debate
@cobie has been posting funny plumber memes, and even @Raydium is starting to pay attention to the trend
And it’s not just people making memes anymore
Some pretty big KOLs like @traderpow and @ResellCalendar have actually bought into $PLUMBER as well
I think there’s an important distinction here
Cobie and Raydium interacting with the plumber meme doesn’t necessarily mean they’re endorsing $PLUMBER itself
But when the meme is getting attention from recognizable CT accounts while other large KOLs are actually putting money into the token, you start getting both sides of the attention loop :
social attention => KOL exposure => capital flows in => volume increases => token gets more visibility => more people discover the meme
And the chart reflects that pretty well
$PLUMBER is only around 19 hours old, yet it already ran from below $1M to above $5M MC before pulling back and still managing to hold in the multi-million range instead of completely roundtripping
Add the recent Moonshot listing on top of that, and distribution is clearly expanding while the narrative is still hot
So for now, the loop is still working :
meme keeps spreading => CT keeps engaging => KOLs start buying => volume stays high => distribution expands => even more attention comes in
This is probably the strongest part of the $PLUMBER thesis right now
4. But that strength is also its biggest weakness
Because at the end of the day, $PLUMBER is still a pure memecoin
There’s no real second thesis yet
No buyback/burn mechanism
No revenue flywheel
No holder rewards
Nothing that gives people an additional reason to stay once the plumber meme itself starts losing attention
That’s probably the main reason I don’t have huge conviction yet
If the team eventually cooks something like fee burns, holder airdrops/rewards, or some other mechanism that creates an additional flywheel around the token, I’d like the setup a lot more
Their X account was also just created, so it’s still way too early to know what the team actually plans to do
Maybe they’re cooking something
Maybe they aren’t
For now, I’d rather watch what they actually deliver than speculate too much
5. And there’s another risk I don’t want to ignore: the bundle
The bundle is currently around 60%
That’s definitely not a number I like
For a token this dependent on momentum, the worst combination would be the narrative cooling down while supply starts hitting the market at the same time
That can turn a strong chart into a completely different setup very quickly
So despite how crazy the volume looks right now, I personally don’t want to chase after such a large move
6. So where would I actually gamble?
The first area I’d start paying attention to is around $2M MC
That feels much more reasonable to me after the move it has already made
If we get a deeper flush, somewhere around $1.5M MC becomes even more interesting
But if it loses $1M MC, I’d cut
At that point, both the structure and momentum would have weakened enough that I wouldn’t want to keep betting purely on the narrative coming back
7. And if you’re trading this, don’t just stare at the chart
This is probably the most important part
$PLUMBER lives on attention
As long as CT keeps debating plumbers, making memes about plumbers, and big accounts keep interacting with the narrative, there’s still fuel for the trade
And if more KOLs start buying or talking about $PLUMBER while the meme keeps spreading, that attention loop can obviously continue for longer
But the opposite is also true
Once CT finds the next shiny thing and stops talking about plumbers, $PLUMBER could lose its biggest catalyst very quickly
So if you’re trading this one, don’t just keep Dexscreener open
Keep X open too
For $PLUMBER right now, I’d argue the social chart matters just as much as the price chart
Overall, I like the setup because the meme came first and the token managed to capture that attention at exactly the right time
meme starts => CT turns it into a debate => token catches the narrative => KOLs/capital come in => community forms => distribution expands => volume follows
But I’m also not going to pretend it’s anything more than what it currently is : an attention trade
The attention is very strong right now, but I still want to see what the team actually cooks before I have stronger conviction
GCa9TZMK9Q3VUSkhZgX76YAQBjqQd1dPxkBnZojFpump
It looks like $STONKBROKER still isn’t showing any signs of slowing down
But what stands out to me most isn’t the chart
In a very short period of time, almost every part of the ecosystem has continued to make progress: Broker NFTs keep getting stronger, rewards are approaching $500K, the network continues to expand, and the team keeps shipping new products
And especially the founder @OxSimpleFarmer , I have to give him credit, he’s been building like crazy
There are quite a few updates worth looking at
+ First, Broker NFTs are still going pretty crazy
In my previous post, the Broker NFT floor was only around 3.9 ETH
Since then :
> 3.9 ETH => 6.5 ETH
> Then it broke above 9 ETH
> And now the floor is sitting around 12.5–13 ETH
> Unique owners have also grown to more than 600 wallets
To me, this is still one of the strongest datapoints across the entire ecosystem
If the demand were purely driven by speculation, I would’ve expected the floor to drop hard after the initial run
But the opposite has happened
While the token has continued to move higher, demand for Broker NFTs has grown alongside it. And that becomes even more interesting when you consider that Broker NFTs aren’t simply PFPs , they’re directly integrated into the StonkBrokers flywheel and receive rewards generated from ecosystem activity
+ Second, the flywheel isn’t just working , it’s continuing to scale
This is still the part I care about the most
In my previous update, more than $211K worth of tokenized stocks had been distributed to Broker NFTs
Now, lifetime rewards distributed to Broker wallets have reached nearly $495K, putting them very close to the $500K milestone
Put simply :
Volume => Fees => Rewards => Broker NFT demand => Ecosystem growth
What I wanted to see from the beginning wasn’t just a nice revenue number for a few days
I wanted to see whether value would continue flowing back into the ecosystem as activity increased
And so far, that’s exactly what’s happening
Previously, my question was :
“Can this flywheel actually work?”
I think that question has largely been answered
The more interesting question now is :
“How far can this flywheel scale?”
+ Third, the network around StonkBrokers continues to grow
One of the bigger recent updates is Adam Weitsman officially becoming a partner of StonkBrokers + Clutch Labs.
There are also some notable relationships and integrations around the ecosystem :
> UnVault - involved with infrastructure and reward distribution.
> Rialto - an integration that brings stock tokens to the StonkBrokers Swap Desk
I really like the direction the team is taking here
Instead of simply trying to generate attention around the token, they’re adding partners, infrastructure, and pieces that can actually be used across the ecosystem
These things might not immediately create a huge candle, but I think they matter a lot more over the long run
+ Fourth, the Launchpad is finally starting to get real projects
Previously, the Launchpad was mostly something sitting on the roadmap
Now, even though it isn’t fully open yet, we’re already starting to see the first projects appear
> $CannaCat is expected to launch on Tuesday
> $SLEUTH has been confirmed as a special project
> $SLEUTH will have a 5% allocation for the StonkBrokers community
> There will also be a direct LP pool with $STONKBROKER
This is where the Launchpad starts becoming genuinely interesting to me
Because simply launching a Launchpad isn’t enough
It needs to bring in projects => generate volume => generate fees => send value back into the ecosystem
If the team can consistently onboard new projects and generate real activity, the flywheel will have another engine to scale from
+ Fifth, I’m still really impressed by how hard the founder is building
This is probably one of my favorite things about $STONKBROKER so far
The founder has been building like crazy
Almost every time I check back on the project, there’s some new product progress, integration, or update
In a relatively short period of time, we’ve already seen :
> Marketplace
> AMM
> Swap Desk
> Broker Box
> Launchpad
> And next up, vDEX + Covered Call Options, currently scheduled for August 29 at 8PM EST
What I like is that the founder spends far more time talking about what the team is building than constantly talking about the chart or token price
Even as I’m writing this update, he’s teasing another “Big announcement”
We don’t know exactly what it is yet, so I don’t want to speculate ahead of time
But regardless of what the announcement turns out to be, the pace at which the founder and team have been building over the past few weeks is genuinely hard to ignore
In crypto, getting attention isn’t that difficult
Keeping that attention by continuously shipping is the hard part
And so far, the team has been doing a pretty good job of that
+ Sixth, the market is repricing $STONKBROKER very quickly
In my previous update, $STONKBROKER’s ATH was only around $50M MC
Now it has already pushed past $80M MC
But I don’t think the most interesting part is simply how much the token has gone up
During the same period :
> NFT floor => 12.5–13 ETH
> Lifetime rewards => ~$495K
> Partners/integrations => continuing to expand
> Products => continuously being shipped
> Launchpad => first projects starting to appear
So it’s not just the price going up
The underlying ecosystem metrics are moving with it
And that’s what I find most interesting
The market no longer seems to be purely speculating on the idea of StonkBrokers. It’s starting to price in how quickly the ecosystem itself is actually growing
+ Finally, the risks are still there
Being more bullish than before doesn’t mean I think everything has been fully proven
The Launchpad still needs to prove that it can generate sustainable volume
vDEX and Options aren’t live yet
The flywheel still depends heavily on ecosystem volume and activity
And after such a strong run, market expectations for the team are obviously much higher than before
The higher the valuation gets, the more the team needs to ship in order to justify it
But at least for now, what I wanted to see is still happening :
Ship => Activity => Revenue => Value flows back into the ecosystem => Keep building
Previously, the biggest question was :
“Can this flywheel actually work?”
Now the question has become :
“How far can this flywheel scale?”
And with the pace at which the founder is building, alongside the ecosystem metrics continuing to grow, I think we’re starting to get an answer
For now, I still don’t see any reason to change my thesis on $STONKBROKER
0xe934e36a439c94017b64a3fece66af12099abf50
Quite a few people have been asking me about $BOT
And honestly, I get why
The volume has been pretty insane, and at one point there were over 1K people watching it on https://t.co/MDT1D8rHCr
I spent some time digging into it, and the narrative is actually pretty simple
A new X account, @bot, showed up with an official affiliation badge linked to SpaceX/SpaceXAI
And that badge is basically where all the FOMO is coming from
There’s been a lot of speculation that @bot could be related to an AI, AI agent, or some kind of product from @SpaceX
Nobody really knows what it is yet
But this is memecoins. Sometimes the market doesn’t even need to know
The SpaceX name alone is enough to bring in volume
This kind of narrative isn’t exactly new. We’ve seen similar setups before with tokens like $WORLD, and more recently $bstocks over on BSC
The common pattern is that when information is still vague, speculation tends to be at its highest, and that’s usually when the craziest volume comes in
But what makes $BOT more interesting is one level deeper :
SpaceX => Elon Musk
If @bot actually starts posting, or even better, gets followed or mentioned by @elonmusk, that could be the real catalyst for the market to reprice this narrative
And I think that’s exactly what a lot of people are betting on right now
Of course, for now, this is still pure speculation
For this thesis to keep running, I want to see the chart hold its structure over the next 1–2 days. If attention fades before any new catalyst appears, the narrative could die just as quickly
On the KOL side, I haven’t seen many Tier 1 names involved yet. Most of the attention seems to be coming from Tier 2 KOLs
So I definitely wouldn’t chase the big green candles here
The dip zone I’d be watching is around $350K–$450K MC
My invalidation would be below $200K MC
High risk, high speculation
DYOR
$TOAD is probably one of the most surprising launches I’ve seen on Solana today
The token was deployed only around 3 hours ago, yet it already ran straight past $10M MC, briefly touching close to $12M
At first, I thought this was just another frog/Pepe derivative catching the right meta
But the deeper I looked into it, the more interesting the story became
And more importantly, I don’t think lore alone explains this move
A lot happened at the same time during those first 3 hours
Let me break it down
1. First, what exactly is $TOAD?
$TOAD is The Toad Pepe, a memecoin launched on https://t.co/MDT1D8rHCr
The whole narrative revolves around El Sapo Pepe, a well-known children’s character from Argentina
The interesting part?
El Sapo Pepe dates all the way back to 1988
Pepe the Frog by Matt Furie came much later
So naturally, CT started digging into it and asking :
“Wait... is this actually the OG Pepe?”
And that’s basically where the whole “Pepe before Pepe” narrative started
Obviously, I’m not saying Matt Furie copied this character or that there’s any proven connection between the two
But for a memecoin, the fact that this story even exists is enough to get people talking
Everyone already knows $PEPE
Now suddenly there’s this green toad from 1988 that’s also called Pepe
Pretty easy story to make viral
2. The interesting part is that the dev didn’t just make this lore up
This is probably what caught my attention the most
El Sapo Pepe is actually real
The character has been part of Argentine children’s culture since the late 1980s and later became extremely popular across Spanish-speaking communities
The character itself is also incredibly memeable :
A green toad
No tail
Jumping around the garden
There’s even a famous children’s song about El Sapo Pepe, with later versions pulling massive numbers on YouTube
So the team didn’t really need to invent any new lore.
They just had to rediscover something that had already existed for decades and connect it back to Pepe
And suddenly you have:
1988 : El Sapo Pepe
=> Pepe the Frog comes years later
=> $PEPE becomes one of the biggest memecoins ever
=> CT rediscovers the “Pepe before Pepe”
=> $TOAD
Whether there’s any actual historical connection between the two is a different question
But purely as a meme, I can see why people like it
It’s simple, a little ridiculous, and incredibly easy to remember
Sometimes that’s all a memecoin needs
3. But good lore alone doesn’t take you to $10M in 3 hours
This is where things get more interesting
There are thousands of memecoins with decent lore
99% of them still die
From what I found, $TOAD wasn’t even the first coin to try using the El Sapo Pepe story
Others had tried similar narratives before
They went nowhere
So why did this particular one go from basically zero to $10M?
I think the answer starts with who showed up extremely early
A thread about the history of El Sapo Pepe started getting attention
The dev then used that narrative in the token description and launched $TOAD
If the story ended there, I probably wouldn’t care that much
But then people started digging on-chain
And that’s where things got interesting
4. Then Mike Dudas showed up
For me, this might be the biggest catalyst behind the entire move.
Community members started tracing wallets and found that the dev had accumulated a significant amount of supply very early
Part of that supply was then reportedly transferred to a wallet believed to belong to Mike Dudas.
And it didn’t stop there
According to the on-chain analysis being shared around CT, Dudas also bought more $TOAD himself when the token was still around $46K MC
That’s when things started getting crazy
Because Dudas isn’t some random wallet aping https://t.co/MDT1D8rHCr launches
He’s an investor at 6th Man Ventures, which is also an investor in https://t.co/MDT1D8rHCr
So naturally, people started asking :
“Why is someone like this here this early?”
And suddenly $TOAD went from being just another frog coin to having another narrative attached to it :
smart money / connected money
Anyone who has traded memes knows how powerful that can be
There aren’t many things that create FOMO faster than seeing a recognizable wallet buy at $46K while you’re staring at the chart several million dollars later
People immediately start wondering :
“Does this guy know something we don’t?”
And that’s when more money starts flowing in
That said, I’d still treat the wallet connections as community/on-chain analysis rather than assuming every attribution is 100% confirmed
5. But $TOAD’s structure is also the part that makes me a little nervous
Once you dig deeper, things aren’t completely clean
According to the on-chain analysis currently being shared, the dev initially bought around 20% of the supply
Roughly 18% was then reportedly transferred to the wallet believed to be connected to Dudas
There are also several wallets that bought around launch and have been flagged by some researchers as possible bundlers
This could be both part of the reason $TOAD moved so hard and one of its biggest risks
If a large chunk of supply is sitting in early wallets that aren’t selling, the actual floating supply available to the market becomes much smaller
Demand suddenly explodes?
Price can reprice very quickly
But the other side of that is obvious :
If that inventory starts getting distributed, everything changes very quickly
Another crazy part is the creator fees
According to numbers being shared by the community, the dev has already made around 500 SOL in creator fees from the insane volume $TOAD generated
If accurate, the dev doesn’t necessarily need to dump tokens to monetize the launch
That sounds bullish on the surface
But I wouldn’t look at it from only one side
When a token generates this much volume within a few hours, I also want to know how much of that is genuinely new buyers and how much is activity coming from early wallets
That’s something I’d rather keep watching than simply see a huge volume number and automatically become bullish
6. Then CT started doing what CT does best
Chart goes up
Wallets get exposed
Mike Dudas starts getting mentioned
Lore starts spreading
And everyone jumps in
The official $TOAD account was created quickly and started amplifying content around the token
Jeremy posted about it
Several Solana callers and alpha accounts started sharing it from lower caps and posting their PnLs
On-chain accounts started digging even deeper into the dev, Dudas and possible bundlers
At this point, every group was basically creating another reason for the next group to FOMO
Meme people saw :
“Original Pepe”
Degens saw :
“This thing is sending”
Smart-money hunters saw :
“Dudas bought early”
Retail saw :
“Wtf, this thing just went from $50K to millions?”
Then they all ended up buying the same chart
And volume exploded again
7. This is basically how I think $TOAD went from zero to $10M in 3 hours
Put everything together and the flywheel becomes pretty simple
$TOAD had good lore, appeared at the perfect time for the frog/Pepe meta, and then Mike Dudas showed up extremely early. On-chain guys noticed it, CT started talking about it, callers jumped in, volume increased, and naturally the price started moving even faster
Then came the PnL screenshots and the FOMO
And from that point, the cycle basically started feeding itself
At some point, the original lore wasn’t even the biggest catalyst anymore. The fact that $TOAD was pumping became a catalyst itself
A token going from $50K to $100K? Nobody really cares
$50K to $1M? People start looking
$1M to $5M in no time? Now CT starts asking :
“What the fuck is $TOAD?”
And when it reaches $10M roughly 3 hours after launch, everyone sitting on the sidelines starts feeling like they’re missing something
That’s where the reflexivity really kicks in
Price creates attention, attention brings more buyers, and those buyers push the price even higher
And the cycle keeps repeating
8. So what do I think about $TOAD here?
I completely understand why it ran
The more I researched it, the more I thought this was actually a pretty interesting memecoin case study
It has :
Strong lore
An incredibly easy story to spread
Good timing
Interesting early money
The Mike Dudas narrative
KOL distribution
And most importantly, insane momentum during its first few hours
But don’t forget one thing :
It just went from basically zero to more than $10M in around 3 hours
This is still a https://t.co/MDT1D8rHCr memecoin
And the structure of those early wallets is something I’d be watching very closely
Personally, I wouldn’t want to FOMO into a vertical candle just because everything looks bullish right now
What I want to see next is how $TOAD behaves once the initial hype cools down
If volume holds...
Early wallets don’t start heavily distributing...
The community keeps building the meme...
And the “Pepe before Pepe” narrative starts spreading beyond just a bunch of degens on CT...
Then things could get a lot more interesting
For now?
$10M in 3 hours is already insane
I’m keeping an eye on this toad
A13oRB9FFaiUjfi6LdCg6p9ka1u8SfGkUFs4SKvPpump
Still think $FRONG has one of the cleanest narratives on Robinhood
The biggest catalyst hasn’t even happened yet
Worth keeping on your watchlist
0x6245e67affA44a23077f0Ea7f981a8DC743a0c47
Yesterday I shared my thesis on $FRONG
In less than 24 hours, quite a few things have changed
To me, the interesting part isn't how much the price has gone up
It's what's happening around https://t.co/XXIMOk13Qc, and why the market continues to price in this narrative
Here's my updated view
+ First, https://t.co/XXIMOk13Qc still hasn't officially launched
I've seen quite a few people assume FRONG pumped because https://t.co/XXIMOk13Qc went live
But that's not actually the case
The launch has been delayed
Ironically, I think that's what makes the recent move even more interesting
It shows that the market is still pricing in expectations, even though the biggest catalyst is still ahead
+ Second, attention is expanding across the entire https://t.co/XXIMOk13Qc ecosystem
This is no longer just a FRONG story
The official @TradePools X account has gone live and quickly attracted over 12,000 followers in a very short period of time
Many of its early followers include founders, builders, researchers, and well-known CT KOLs
At the same time, $POOLS has been attracting significant attention and has seen a strong move of its own
To me, that's a sign that the market is starting to FOMO into the broader https://t.co/XXIMOk13Qc narrative, not just FRONG itself
And that's one of the reasons FRONG continues to benefit from the growing attention around the ecosystem
+ Third, the original thesis still hasn't been invalidated
As of today, there's still no official confirmation from Uniswap or Zack Labadie that FRONG is the official mascot or token
At the same time, nothing has happened to disprove the narrative the community has built
As long as that remains the case, I think the market will continue trading based on expectations rather than waiting for official confirmation
+ That said, the risks are much higher now
After the recent move, a lot of optimism has already been priced in
If https://t.co/XXIMOk13Qc gets delayed again, or eventually launches without adding anything that strengthens the current FRONG narrative, I think a sharp correction is entirely possible
We've seen this pattern play out many times in crypto
The market usually prices in expectations first, then reacts to the actual event afterward
+ My current view
I still like the FRONG narrative, and I still believe the biggest catalyst is ahead rather than behind us
That said, after a move like this, I'd personally take my initial capital off the table and let the profits run
If the thesis continues to play out, I'm still exposed to the upside
If the market pulls back, I've already reduced my risk
To me, that's the most sensible way to manage the position from here
0x6245e67affa44a23077f0ea7f981a8dc743a0c47