Jobs growth as trading signal:
Employment growth-based trading signals would have added significant value to directional equity and FX trading strategies since 2000.
https://t.co/A169yKclNo 🇺🇦
The power of macro trends in rates markets:
Broad macroeconomic trends based on inflation and economic growth drive monetary policy. In the past, simple point-in-time macro trends have predicted fixed income returns with great accuracy. https://t.co/keD6YTofpZ 🇺🇦
Ten things investors should know about nowcasting
Investors benefit from understanding nowcasting models because they can do a lot more than just nowcasting.
https://t.co/4dp8CTsv31
Macro trends for trading models:
Standard econometric models are built with hindsight and cannot replicate perceived economic trends of the past. Machine learning can remedy this. A practical approach is "two-stage supervised learning". https://t.co/M31QqfP06U
Macro information waste and the quantamental solution: Financial markets are not macro information efficient, due to research costs, trading restrictions, and external effects. A practical remedy is the construction of quantamental indicators. https://t.co/CPM8EcfSxK
(1/2) Todays numbers from the @ONS of weekly deaths from all causes in England and Wales has come down (relative to previous weeks) and is now closer to the normal range over the last decade. However, the year-to-date number is a grim reminder of the last two months.
(1/2) I have been trying to visualise the difference between the date of death and date of registration for the @NHSEnglandStats data. Here are four different attempts.