arthur hayes publicly bet $100k that HYPE outperforms top 10 cryptos through year end. three days later his wallet deposited $18m in HYPE to an exchange and sold 247k tokens. price dropped 4% instantly. grayscale launched the HYPE ETF on june 1st and the token dumped 25% in 72 hours. $20m+ weekly revenue. $3.22b open interest ATH. $173m ETF AUM with zero outflow days on bitwise even through the crash. the ETF was supposed to be the buy catalyst. instead authorized participants arbed it into a liquidity exit. every metric at ATH except price. hayes selling into his own public bet is the cherry on top
BTC Update
Everything still looks good (for shorts).
Closed the options position around BE a few days ago — not ruling out a longer consolidation in the $67K–$71K range.
$AUDUSD Positions Update
Main short target finally hit.
Position from late last week closed at TP +2.9%.
Took a continuation short on Tuesday — got stopped.
Also traded today off OF with 1:1 RR — hit TP.
BTC Update
Everything still looks good (for shorts).
Closed the options position around BE a few days ago — not ruling out a longer consolidation in the $67K–$71K range.
$AUDUSD - positions
19.03.2026
stop -1%
20.03.2026
live
Holding the current position for now, but closer to market close I’ll consider closing if we end near my entry.
$AUDUSD - positions
19.03.2026
stop -1%
20.03.2026
live
Holding the current position for now, but closer to market close I’ll consider closing if we end near my entry.
BTC Update
Got a re-sweep of the daily fractal.
No short factors yet.
Wouldn’t rule out a move to sweep $79K and look for shorts from there.
For now staying flat. Waiting.
Took two $NQ positions today.
First one got stopped out.
Second was closed at BE.
After the main target was hit — the fractal sweep in the premium of the daily short impulse and a test of the daily short POI — the stop was moved to breakeven.
BTC Update
Got a re-sweep of the daily fractal.
No short factors yet.
Wouldn’t rule out a move to sweep $79K and look for shorts from there.
For now staying flat. Waiting.
Test of the weekly POI+internal liquidity sweep gave a short reaction with a daily engulfing. From the discount of the last daily long impulse, test of the MO, we got a bounce to the premium. Don't like untouched weekly short premium — a re-sweep of the daily fractal is possible.
$SPX / $NQ — still waiting for a sweep of the formed compression and a test of at least the nearest 4H POI.
$AUDUSD — this long setup got executed today.