Seasonal effects on #stockmarket: In long-term series regressions with widespread geographical research, it is found that Halloween effect is significant in 19 out of 73 markets. The data shows that abnormal returns could be realised in strategies starting in Oct, Nov and Dec.
EIA Weekly Update: U.S. gasoline supplied hit seasonal record 9.88M b/d
U.S. distillate stocks fell to lowest seasonal level since 2008
U.S. distillate stocks -22M bbl below seasonal average
U.S. refineries processed seasonal record 17.5M b/d
#crudeoil#oilprice#oil
According to the CME Group, #investors estimate the probability that by September #interestrates will be raised twice more, at 74%. With the growth of interest rates, the price of #gold is falling. Also, the cost of its acquisition and storage is growing. Overall not so bullish.
Share buybacks at record high. U.S. companies continued a shopping spree for their own shares in May, making $173.6 billion in buyback announcements, the highest monthly total ever, according to a research report.
This graph shows job openings (yellow line), hires (purple),Layoff, Discharges and other (red column), and Quits (light blue column).
Jobs openings increased in Mar to 6.5M from 6.07M in Feb.
The number of job openings (yellow) were up 16.8% YoY, and Quits were up 6.3% YoY #jolts
Fair Value #Investment Method: #Investing in the most underpriced stocks relative to the average ratio of price to fundamental value in a country is the key to achieving superior risk-adjusted returns. #valueinvesting
According to Morningstar, the market is actually UNDERVALUED right now. $SPX $DJIA
If that fact blows your mind, here’s a list of other must-see events: https://t.co/t5ZhT6rYLU
Rethinking Investment: Hardly anyone seems to be an #investor these days including some financial experts. Everybody knows about the benefits of long term #investing but due to change in personal or professional circumstances they all become #speculators.
#personalfinance
If you want to invest, invest. If you want to trade, trade. But don't confuse the two. You should have a min inv time horizon of at least 2 years, preferably 5+. Your edge is that nobody does this anymore.
Secretary of the Treasury of Australia, John Fraser mentioned that the #economy is gaining momentum. Nevertheless, market participants believe that the #RBA will refrain from raising #interestrates until the end of 2019, making the bulls to stay away from #AUD. #AUDUSD#Forex#FX
#USD showing its value against the 6 major currencies, reached its new yearly high just shy of 95.00 on Tuesday, despite falling yields on #US government #bonds. The US central bank left the rates unchanged last time but the market expects a rate rise in the next meeting. #dollar
#GBP is under pressure amid uncertainties about Brexit. It is expected that in 2018 the UK economy will grow more slowly than most developed economies, as the uncertainty of the EU’s exit conditions puts pressure on activity and investment.#GBPUSD#UKeconomy#Forex#investing
Costco ($COST), a good value investing stock, reported Q3 EPS of $1.70, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $1.69. Revenue for the quarter came in at $31.62 billion versus the consensus estimate of $31.84 billion. #ValueInvesting#investing#equities#bluechip
@gentifx We take a long term view on the currency. 1.12-1.13 possible. Recent rise in CPI Flash estimate but rising unemployment rate is never a good sign. Speculators added 6.6K new long positions and 12K ( twice more) short positions. These are strong bearish signals