NIFTY 23000. Is 22471 is the EST bottom ?.
LONG TERM scenario will be +Ve till NIFTY not violating 21820. Real threat will be only below 21820 irrespective of world scenario.
NOTE: ONLY FOR MY PERSONAL STUDY. Not an
Investment/Trading Idea.
Appx 12-15 % return on the screen in just two trading sessions.
#Morepen now ₹92
New entrant CDMO + API great businesses = multibaggers opportunities.
&
See the volume. 🔥🔥
Let’s wait & watch. 🙏
#NotReco
NIFTY 23523 . Great. In my view ,ST correction over.
Validity: Break of 23132 SL
NOTE: ONLY FOR MY PERSONAL STUDY and Follow up. Not an Investment/Trading idea.
NIFTY 23360. Break of 23517 on or before 18/6/26 could end this ST correction.
Break of 23132 negates this view.
NOTE: ONLY FOR MY PERSONAL STUDY and Follow up.
Not an Investment/Trading idea.
How to Study Stock Financial. ✍️
A Detailed Analysis. 🙏
Studying a stock’s financials involves analyzing key financial metrics, understanding the company’s business model, and assessing its growth potential and risks.
Here’s a step-by-step guide to help you evaluate a stock’s financials effectively:
1. Understand the Business and Industry✅
Before diving into numbers, grasp what the company does, its role in the industry, and the sector’s outlook (e.g., defense in India, with initiatives like Aatmanirbhar Bharat driving growth).
Check⏱️: What products/services does the company offer? Who are its customers (government, private, exports)? For defense stocks, look at government contracts, export potential, and order book size.
Sources⏱️: Company website, annual reports, investor presentations, and industry news on platforms like Moneycontrol or BSE India.
2. Access Financial Statements
Financial statements are the backbone of analysis. You’ll find them in the company’s annual report, quarterly results or BSE/NSE websites.✅
Key Documents:
Balance Sheet: Shows assets, liabilities, and equity.
Profit & Loss (P&L) Statement⏱️: Details revenue, expenses, and profits.
Cash Flow Statement⏱️: Tracks cash inflows and outflows.
3. Analyze Key Financial Metrics
Focus on these metrics to assess the company’s health and growth potential:✅
➡️ Revenue and Revenue Growth
What to Check: Look at the company’s topline (total revenue) over the past 3–5 years. Is it growing steadily? For defense stocks, check if revenue is tied to order execution or new contracts.
➡️Formula: Revenue Growth (%) = [(Current Year Revenue - Previous Year Revenue) / Previous Year Revenue] × 100
➡️Example: Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) reported ₹30,381 Cr revenue in FY24, up ~11% from FY23. Consistent growth signals strong demand.
➡️Profitability
Net Profit Margin: Measures how much profit is generated from revenue.
➡️Formula: Net Profit Margin (%) = (Net Profit / Revenue) × 100
Example: HAL’s margin is ~23%, high for defense, showing efficiency.
Operating Margin: Operating Profit / Revenue. Higher margins indicate better cost control.
Check Trends✍️: Are margins improving or declining? Defense firms often have high margins due to government contracts.
➡️Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS shows profit per share, indicating how much money shareholders earn.
Formula: EPS = Net Profit / Number of Shares
Look for consistent EPS growth over 3–5 years. For example, Bharat Electronics (BEL) has shown steady EPS growth due to strong order execution.
➡️Return on Equity (ROE)
ROE measures how well a company uses shareholders’ money.
Formula: ROE (%) = (Net Profit / Shareholders’ Equity) × 100
A good ROE is >15%. Defense stocks like Mazagon Dock often have high ROE due to asset-light models and large orders.
➡️Debt Levels
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Total Debt / Shareholders’ Equity. Lower is better (<1 is ideal).
Defense companies often have low debt due to government-backed contracts, but check for any borrowing spikes.
Example: HAL and BEL typically have negligible debt, a positive sign.
➡️ Order Book
For defense stocks, the order book is critical. A large, executable order book (e.g., HAL’s ₹94,000 Cr) ensures revenue visibility for years.
Check: Order book-to-sales ratio (higher ratio = longer revenue runway). Also, assess new orders and execution timelines.
➡️Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow: Positive and growing cash flow shows the company generates cash from its core business.
Free Cash Flow (FCF): Cash left after capital expenditure. Strong FCF supports dividends and reinvestment.
Formula: FCF = Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditure
Defense firms with large capex (e.g., shipbuilders like Mazagon Dock) may have lower FCF temporarily.
#Learning
#Continued ⏭️⏭️⏭️⏭️⏭️
@s_badrinath Yes. After nearly 3 years ,CSK got a WK who is capable of playing 20 overs,capable of scoring 100, capable of giving confidence to CSK that we are playing with 11 fit players.
NIFTY immediate level to KAE is 22950 [56.25% FR of last decline]. Should be able to move above and sustain above for any strength ?
NOTE: ONLY FOR MY PERSONAL STUDY and not an INVESTMENT /TRADING idea.
NIFTY 22900 . Will nifty move above 23466 before tomorrow 3.30 PM ?.
As posted on 24/3/26 , Crucial level is 21820. Now require faster FR of last down leg.
NOTE: ONLY FOR MY PERSONAL STUDY and not
an INVESTMENT /TRADING idea.