Dharmesh Vala

Director Nayan M Vala Securities Pvt Ltd. CA by qualification. “Stock markets”.... full of opportunities. Views personal

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

#Sox is now 80% away from the moving avg. last seen in 1999-2000 just before the #dotcom bust . Will history repeat .

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

@_prashantnair @CNBCTV18Live Use past as a reference

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

#India investing community is only talking of underperformance of #NIFTY V/S #WORLD .

1. Check % OF #INDIAMARKETCAP TO WORLD Mkt CAP which is flat from 2007. Only excesses since 2023 that corrected.
2. returns of NIFTY v/s Emerging Market suggest catchup by Emerging Market

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Just to ensure I am not misunderstood. There are selective stocks reasonable and there are selective stocks which can still slide incrementally by 50%.

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Though categorically bearish since pre Sep 24, and mkt obliging as 85% listed stocks down , with some down 90%+ too & •60% down by 30% , it’s still not Cheap cheap. But reasonable . Comfort much higher

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

@SamitVartak Hence not the correct way to look .

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

@SamitVartak Some one forwarded me this message so replying . Since the constituents of the Midcap 100 are not constant. Post LATEST GUIDELINES TOP 100 AFTER NIFTY50 ARE MIDCAP100. SO ONLY WINNERS INCLUDED. Losing stocks go below. NOT THE CASE WITH NIFTY

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Now #Dxy above 100. Will the metals collapse ?

#hindaco #nalco

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

End of capital mkt plays for short term
#bse #mcx and others

Mehnat karo . Khaali satta nai

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

#Gold #Silver upmove very similar to the upmove of 1980. Will it lose lustre the way it did then ??

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Today #BRENT #CRUDE has given a breakout .

India curency #USDINR at the lowest and the 2 imports namely #Gold up 5 times . And now CRUDE breakout

Not good

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

IS THE #BRENT #Crude heading for a breakout ???

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

While every one is quoting #Lenskart ipo for expensive valuations there are 160-165 stocks with market cap to Sales of 10 plus and P/E of 100 plus . Attached is 3000cr above from the above list . https://t.co/bIPDJvhDrC

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

observe that the #CRBCOMMOITY INDEX is at lowest when measured with #gold currency .

if every one is worried of #inflation / paper #currency losing its value then why should commodities / metals be left behind.

Must note the RSI, Last seen only during 2008 financial crises

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Understanding FROTH & BARGAIN KEY

Everybody now bearish because of Trump tarriff. DAMAGE ALREADY STARTED 1 yr back

Understand intensity. Popular names ABB,Siemens .Tata Mot, Trent ,Bharat For,REC ,Angel one , TCS, INFY, ONGC etc all down in the region of 25% to 40%.

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Ek ANDE ki keemat aap kya jaanoge Babuji . https://t.co/TmJlHrngjC

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Are US markets forming a bubble again .

1. #Robinhood moves past the highs of 2021
2. #Russel2000 fails to scale new highs but… #S&P500 scales new highs

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

In 2019 there was no war, nor was there any anticipation of a War. #Defence Stocks were cheap & reasonable.

Come 2025 there are so many wars that prompts maximum interest in defence stocks which result in RICH multiples

Despite new orders stocks fail to make new highs.

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

Despite the euphoria and the highest order book for #DEFENCE companies , worth understanding is that most if not all did not make a new high, infact most are lower .

Look at that the price is telling you and ignore he noise

[Dharmesh Vala @dharmeshnvala]

#Bse in past had peaked whenever the Mkt cap / Sales ratio went above 30x . Also when it issues bonus . This time too has the same happened ?