Provider of unofficial up to date scoring for Directors’ Cup. Not affiliated with Learfield or NACDA. Score: M&W Bball, Vball, Baseball + up to 15 other sports.
This chart will get smaller with each outcome. Only 1 chart in play after softball and we lose either 1 row or 5 after the super regionals.
I'll post updates as we go!
I’ve received a lot of questions about Texas' and Stanford's percent chance of winning the Directors’ Cup at this point.
It’s a hard question to answer and the best I can do right now is give an idea of the likely outcomes prior to including Texas T&F results.
A thread 🧵…
This chart shows the possible outcomes with a Runner-up finish by Texas Softball.
Each section has the percentage likelihood for that particular outcome and the results needed by Texas Track to win the Directors' Cup.
Confused? Be sure to read the entire thread or ask away!
This is what it takes for a school with 21 athletic programs to win the Directors’ Cup. 1/2 your teams in the top 5 and 2/3 in the top 10.
In 2022, the record year noted, Texas won its 2nd Directors’ Cup with 1449.5 points.
WE’RE NOT DONE YET, but Texas currently has solidified 1️⃣0️⃣ Top-5 NCAA Championship team finishes and 1️⃣3️⃣ Top-10s, both tied for the SECOND-most in a season in Longhorn history.
Our best-ever campaign in those rankings came in 2021-22 when we posted 12 Top-5s & 14 Top-10s🤘🏻
@billy_the_kid58 I agree. Those would be the two I would add next if it were up to me.
No indication I’m aware of, the change to w soccer came out of the blue two years ago.
So what does Texas need to do to surpass Stanford's max of 1284.5?
Texas has scored 1226 points so far. They need to add 59 points. Let's assume Softball and Baseball add no additional points. Mens and Women's track would need to score the 59 points
M Golf is complete for Texas and Stanford.
Stanford has scored 1263.5 points at this time. Only W Track remains and is not expected to add points but they could (if they win all 4 events entered in) finish as high as 3rd place - adding 21 points for a final total of 1284.5.
What if Stanford W T&F adds 0 pts and Stanford scores 1263.5?
Texas would need 38 pts. Softball and Baseball could combine to add that, but let's assume they add 0 points.
Texas track would need to either have 1 team score 38 or more pts or both teams combine to score 65 pts.
So what does Texas need to do to surpass Stanford's max of 1284.5?
Texas has scored 1226 points so far. They need to add 59 points. Let's assume Softball and Baseball add no additional points. Mens and Women's track would need to score the 59 points
@RonFries Yep. It’s match play, so 4 teams lost in the quarterfinal round. They are all tied for 5th. The standings in the website are sometimes are bit wonky.
M Golf is complete for Texas and Stanford.
Stanford has scored 1263.5 points at this time. Only W Track remains and is not expected to add points but they could (if they win all 4 events entered in) finish as high as 3rd place - adding 21 points for a final total of 1284.5.
@StaceyDunbar For sure, especially the women. But the men only have a few athletes ranked high enough to score so if disaster strikes they could miss out too
@kingslazer05 Yep. Stanford adding points is not very likely, especially 6+ points.
Texas has chances to add points in baseball and softball, and even if they don’t, there is a good chance track could get the needed points themselves.
There are 2 ways this could happen. One of the track teams scores 59 points or both teams combine to score 86 points, increasing the team score by 59 points -because the 27 points from M CC would be dropped in that situation.
Baseball and Softball can decrease the points needed.