David Bailey

Embedded software for hard realtime control systems, cybersecurity, international relations and geopolitics, philosophy

[Will Thiel 🇦🇺🇺🇦 @willthiel]

Check my reporting around June through July ‘24 to see the last “rash” of depot strikes by 🇺🇦

[Will Thiel 🇦🇺🇺🇦 @willthiel]

What’s interesting here is that this is not a big facility. It maybe holds 4000 m3 of fuel products, so the point isn’t the volume but rather the location. The last time we saw 🇺🇦 destroying such small depots close to the TOT, it was to slow the 🇷🇺 offensive on Kharkiv.

[Beefeater @Beefeater_Fella]

UK Intelligence Explains Why Russian Forces Are Dropping Bombs on Their Own Territory

Recent incidents in which Russian forces have released glide bombs over Russian territory and temporarily occupied areas of Ukraine point to ongoing shortcomings in Moscow’s ability to accurately deploy its munitions.

Intelligence analysts, referencing the Russian independent outlet Astra, state that since the start of this year Russian forces have accidentally dropped 25 glide bombs on Russian territory and occupied regions of Ukraine. There were 143 similar incidents recorded in 2025 and 165 in 2024.

[Joni Askola @joni_askola]

The proxy war narrative is finally dead.

The US cut off military aid 18 months ago and demanded a soft surrender, but Ukraine is still fighting.

Trump's pathetic second term has proven that Ukraine answers to no one but themselves.

Ever since the full-scale invasion began, anti-Ukraine voices have claimed that Kyiv is just a proxy for Western interests. The actions of the US government over the last year and a half have completely disproven this theory.

Calling this a proxy war oversimplifies the entire war and robs both Russia and Ukraine of their agency. Russia started this unprovoked war for its own purposes (imperialism), not on behalf of anyone else. Ukraine is fighting an existential defensive war to avoid becoming a demilitarized and russified puppet state, not to do a favor for the West.

The history of Western support also refutes the proxy label. The West was completely unprepared for this type of warfare, and our aid has always been hesitant and insufficient. If the West were running a real proxy campaign, we would have supplied the necessary tools for victory and been at least somewhat ready from the very beginning.

For 18 months, Washington has cut off all military aid and pushed Ukraine toward a non-existant and bad forced peace deal. In a textbook proxy setup, the principal agent decides when the war stops. The US cannot force a stop because Ukraine has its own independent will and continues to resist the genocide it faces.

Ukraine is not a proxy. Calling this unprovoked war and genocide a proxy war is just intellectually lazy

[Natalka @NatalkaKyiv]

Putin announced the relocation of state companies to the regions to ‘boost business’ there.

Might Ukrainian drones have something to do with that… or is Moscow simply embracing spontaneous regional development? 🧐

[April Huggett @AprilHuggett]

A few days ago, I had the opportunity to be interviewed by Channel 24 and share my story:
https://t.co/s6qxY0M9W2

Why I came to Ukraine, why I chose to stay, and why I continue to fight for the people and country I love.

I spoke about my boys. The soldiers I serve alongside every day. The men who endure endless shelling, sleepless nights, mud, cold, heat, and danger without complaint.

Men who continue showing up for each other and for Ukraine, no matter the cost.

People often ask me why I do this. The answer is simple: because these soldiers have become my family.

Because freedom is worth defending.

Because when you witness the strength, sacrifice, and courage of those on the front lines, walking away is no longer an option.

But the reality is that courage alone is not enough.

Right now, our unit urgently needs equipment to continue operating effectively and safely. Every drone, every power station, every tablet, every piece of gear helps us complete missions and bring our soldiers home alive.

The war is still happening. The need is still real. And today, we need your help more than ever.

https://t.co/UgFJA2h86l

If you've supported us before, thank you. If you've been thinking about helping, now is the time.

Stand with my boys.

#StandWithUkraine

[Shaun Pinner @ShaunPinnerUA]

It’s over. Absolutely over.

He promised Russia greatness, security, and prosperity. Instead, he delivered isolation, economic strain, staggering losses, and a war that has consumed hundreds of thousands of his own countrymen.

Far from strengthening Russia, he has weakened it beyond belief.

Vladimir Putin may go down as the man who sacrificed not only a generation of Russians, but Russia itself.

My article for LLB

[NSTRIKE @NSTRIKE1231]

🇺🇦🛳️ Ukrainian drones carried out a strike last night on two Russian transport ships in the Taganrog Bay of the Sea of Azov — the “Natra” and the “Tsirkon”. As a result, 5 sailors were killed on the spot.
🔹 Both vessels were operated by private crews, including Azerbaijani contractors. The ships were sailing under a foreign flag and were heading to the Russian port of Taganrog to load grain.

This attack demonstrates Ukraine’s growing reach and effectiveness in the Sea of Azov. Striking transport ships involved in grain logistics further complicates Russian efforts to sustain economic activity in the region and shows that even vessels under foreign flags are not immune when operating in support of Russia’s war economy.

Video is generated by grok AI

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

Residents of Russian occupied Crimea now spend their days searching for gasoline, going from station to station, joining waitlists, paying premiums for government fuel coupons that may or not be fake, awaiting news that a fuel tanker was able to break Ukraine's drone blockade.

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

After Ukraine's strikes last week, Russian occupational authorities in Crimea now say that the Dzhankoy railway station is shut down for rail traffic, euphemistically saying that it will now be a "technical station".

This was the main rail logistics hub of the penninsula.

[Chris Lancaster @ChrisLancasterX]

This Caolan dude doesn't let up. He doesn't just mention a story and then move on. He puts in the work and does a full investigation. Our American media could learn a thing or two from him.
This is an update to the story about Irish Aluminum going to Russia.
-----

[Kate from Kharkiv @BohuslavskaKate]

FREDERIKSEN: We have learned a lot from Ukraine. You're able to produce faster, cheaper, and smarter than the rest of us, even though we're not at war. That's quite impressive, and quite embarrassing for the rest of Europe.

Europe still spends lot of time on lengthy processes, decision-making, and debating what is right and which capabilities we should buy in five or ten years. You simply get it done.

For me, defending Europe now means including Ukraine in Europe. Europe will not be able to do what needs to be done without Ukraine. In the beginning of the war, we were helping you. Now we depend on each other.

[Augustinas Šemelis @a_semelis]

Rep. McCaul was one of 18 Republicans who voted for Ukraine Support Act in the House, defying GOP leadership. "This is the time to standup", he tells me. "And I wish my own party could put the bill on the floor"

[Vatnik Soup @P_Kallioniemi]

"Selling Irish alumina to Russia's war machine is necessary for Irish economy."

Yeah, about that...

[Jake Broe @RealJakeBroe]

Ukraine is well on its way to hunting down and destroying all of Russia's supply trucks in the occupied territories.

[Mike Levin @MikeLevin]

Last night, the House chose to stand with Ukraine, and I was proud to cast my vote.

We passed military and reconstruction aid for Ukraine, plus hard new sanctions on Russia.

We did it over the objections of Mike Johnson and Republican leadership, who spent over a year trying to keep this bill from ever hitting the floor.

Eighteen Republicans crossed the aisle and did the right thing.

Why does this matter?

Because when a giant authoritarian state invades a smaller democracy, there is no gray area. There is no “both sides.”

Vladimir Putin is a thug. He started an unprovoked war. He flattened cities. He stole children from their families. Helping Ukraine isn’t charity. It’s the test of whether we still mean a single word we say about freedom.

I heard every excuse. The war’s winding down, they said, so let’s wait and see. Nonsense. You don’t strengthen a democracy by going wobbly the second things get hard. You don’t stop the next invasion by telling the world American resolve comes with an expiration date. Putin is watching. So is every dictator who dreams of taking what isn’t his by force.

This bill still has to clear the Senate and survive a presidential signature. The odds are long. But the House did its job. And we said it plainly: no country gets swallowed whole just because a tyrant wants it.

I’ll keep fighting to see this through. Ukraine’s fight is our fight, and we do not abandon our friends.
https://t.co/16OTeNW1dD

[WW3finalboss @WW3finalboss]

🇫🇮🇺🇦🇷🇺 STUBB PUTS RUSSIA’S FAILURE IN ONE BRUTAL COMPARISON

"Russia failed on every front. Ukraine became European, NATO gained Finland and Sweden. In WWII, the Soviets marched 1,600 km in 4 years. Russia has moved 60 km in 4 years now. They won't test Article 5, they'll hit us below it. That's already happening." - Alexander Stubb 🇫🇮

That is the uncomfortable reality Europe has to take seriously. Russia has not won the war it started, but it has not stopped attacking the West either.

The battlefield is only one layer. Sabotage, intimidation, cyberattacks, disinformation and pressure below the NATO threshold are already part of Moscow’s strategy. Europe cannot afford to notice this too late again.

[Caolan @CaolanReports]

1. Conor from the Irish Times is literally referenced in my report.

2. When I say there has been “almost no journalism” on Aughinish, I mean people like you who haven't mentioned this issue once.

3. The issue is not that good journalists don’t exist in Ireland. They do. The issue is that far too many comfortable media figures like yourself ignored a Russian-owned refinery in Ireland while its supply chain kept running toward Russia.

So spare me the lecture.

I’ll keep investigating. You can keep posting on X from your office in Dublin.

[David Bailey @djbaileyDTC]

https://t.co/4XaxAGgD5Z

[MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA]

🇺🇦🇪🇺❗️After successful ballistic tests (interceptor) FP-7, Fire Point co-owner Shtilerman called on Europe to accelerate the implementation of the Freyja project

🔹One interception of a ballistic missile by the Patriot system costs at least $6 million. Stillerman sets a target goal of investing less than $1 million, and ideally up to $500 thousand. A launcher for four missiles, according to the developer, will cost about $150 thousand.

Any buyer, any country that purchases it, will be sure that neither the manufacturer nor the country-seller will ever be able to disable this system, - Shtillerman emphasized the advantages of the system.