Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️

Data Guy | Aspiring DJ | Sports analytics hobbyist | Novice sneaker head | @UT_Dallas MS Stats | @SimpsonCollege Math | Cornhusker #GBR | Pastor’s spouse

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

Shoutout @p_lo and @IAMSU. This quarantine got me in a mixing mood

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@mikelsevere *Taps the sign*

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@HuskGuys @TroyDannen @CoachMattRhule Mark Whipple been unemployed for a minute

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@BarstoolHusker Mark Whipple was fun

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

Week 10 output for the #Heisman predictor

Carr rises with a win, and Mensah maintains top spot for QBs despite the loss

Sheppard looking impressive for RBs

Injury of Malachi Toney plus downward trend of Ohio St, may have swung this season back to a QB award

#HeismanWatch #CFB

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

W L T
Went for 2 │ 4 35 0 (10.3% win, n=39)
Kicked XP │ 16 107 3 (12.7% win, n=126)

If you're into stats, that’s not a significant difference.

Want to win more games? Don't be down 14 in the 4th quarter.

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

I feel like I’ve seen lots of analytics discussions around going for 2 down 8, in the past couple weeks.

Decided to take a look at the NFL data myself, for 2016-2026 regular season + playoffs 🧵

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@JackMitchellLNK LLMs are too verbose. I like diagrams

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

The UAB Blazers scored 23 points against Illinois

[Nebraska Football @HuskerFootball]

FINAL | Nebraska 13, Illinois 24

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@austin_oerman @benbbaldwin It’s a probability thing

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@HerbelEssences I’ve always found a flow chart digestible in this discourse

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@TomFornelli

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@AlexWach @TimVerghese FWIW it’s based off NFL league average

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

10 minutes to go maybe too early for the go for 2 down 8 strategy

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@TimVerghese https://t.co/Vph9fgZgsD

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

@FanaticsSports

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

Update to the Elo Ratings Monte Carlo simulations for the 2026 #Huskers

The most likely outcome being 6 wins with a probability of 44.15%

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

Ran another 100,000 Monte Carlo simulation for the remainder of the #Huskers 2026 football season with Elo Ratings from @CFB_Data

The highest probability being 8 wins with a probability of 35.64%

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

Week 9 output for the #Heisman predictor

Darian Mensah maintains the top spot amongst QBs, while Devon Dampier moves up to number 2.

Similar levels of stability for RBs too, with Wayshawn Parker holding onto the top spot there

#HeismanWatch #CFB

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

Correction on this btw. Washington State scored 10

[Erik Hall 🏴‍☠️ @DjDataScience]

Every one of Washington’s opponents scored 14+ points against them except Nebraska. Eastern Washington and Utah State put up more points than Nebraska. Holgerson era might need to be over