Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com

Bill Radjewski (aka BlueSCar) | Software guy who dabbles in analytics |

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

🏀 The March Madness Pack is live - $25.

Clean historical tournament data + guided Jupyter notebooks for:

• bracket models
• matchup analysis
• upset research

Perfect timing now that the bracket is out.

https://t.co/VaPROUeztW

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Glad to support one of the best in the business and truly a great dude. This is sure to be an awesome way to continue to relive this past season time and again.

If you're a fellow Michigan fan, this is a no brainer.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

@solo_trader Sounds great. I look forward to seeing what you create.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

There’s a clear exponential curve between roster talent and NFL Draft picks.

Good teams produce draft picks.
Elite teams flood the draft.

[Ryan Bates @rj_bates2]

It’s hard to find a non-paywalled list of players in the transfer portal. Thankfully @CFB_Data has a great API at https://t.co/IZ228abbOO. Here are the top players in the portal (some pending eligibility) by my time-decayed RAPM. Jasper Floyd could be an underrated addition.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

@bucknut2734 🤔

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Michigan didn’t just win the title… they ran through everyone.

• Beat all 3 Final Four teams
• 6 of 7 Elite Eight teams
• 9 of 15 Sweet Sixteen teams

This is an absurd tournament résumé.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

@offlistcomment1 https://t.co/GvlP74fcdR

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Want more historical deep dives like this?

I’ve got full datasets for exploring runs like this 👇
https://t.co/eywwqwPzn9

Relatively newer site if you're familiar with my CFB work. Planning to keep building and expanding. Let me know what tools you would like to see!

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Beating 9 Sweet Sixteen teams is even rarer.

Only other team to do it:
• 1996 Kentucky

Now it’s Kentucky… and Michigan.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Updated historical Elo chart for the newly crowned men's basketball National Champion, Michigan.

Greatest Michigan team of all time? They have a strong argument.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

@RajLakra https://t.co/pOoFMSMLc9

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Season Elo Trends - National Title Game Edition

Michigan has hovered near the top of Elo most of the year.
UConn has consistently graded out as an elite team.

Strong vs steady with it all on the line tonight.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

@LogHanRatings Yes it is. Elo ratings for team sports typically consider MOV and these are no different. Michigan's MOV in this stretch was below the Elo expected MOV, hence the downturn.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Offense gets headlines. Defense wins in March.
The Final Four teams? They do both and that’s why they’re still standing.

More data: https://t.co/eywwqwPzn9

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Shot distribution contrast in the Final Four:

• Illinois: extreme 3PT reliance (50%)
• Arizona: highest mid-range rate (32%)
• Michigan: near-even rim/3 split
• UConn: efficient modern profile

Philosophy clash this weekend.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Well, this aged poorly for you.

[Cyowa @Cyowa12]

@CFB_Data ISU in the upper right über quadrant and we’re not Championship material? Top 7 defense nationally and no mention there. Wake up Billy-boy because we’re going to destroy your bracket

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

@CycloneGrav Last I checked, they weren't a 1 seed and as the chart clearly states, only 1 seeds are circled.

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

The Sweet 16 breaks into tiers:

🏆 Championship DNA: Duke, Michigan, Arizona
⚠️ Dangerous but flawed: Alabama, Purdue, Illinois
🧊 Defense travels: Nebraska, Houston

Balance still wins in March… usually.

Who survives this weekend?

[Bill Radjewski | CollegeFootballData.com @CFB_Data]

Seed Says Chalk. Elo Says Elite.

With two 1-seeds, a 2-seed, and a 3-seed, this was already one of the chalkiest Final Fours of the seeding era. But by pre-tournament Elo, it was even stronger than that seed profile might suggest.