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CFBD Model Pick'em Week 7 Update
Congrats to reddit user u/hypercube42342 for taking the top spot this week!
Here were the rest of the overall leaders on the week.
We had four different subcategory winners this week: @max1me, reddit user u/ZenithAnalytics, u/hypercube42342, and @air_raid_lytics.
Congrats to all weekly leaders!
🛡️ Now flip it to defense.
Texas, Wisconsin, and LSU stand out for limiting success on both standard and passing downs.
Oklahoma is especially stingy on standard downs, while UCLA leads the way on passing downs.
Which defense would you trust to get a stop?
📊 Opponent-adjusted offensive success rates through Week 7
Houston, LSU, and USC are among the teams thriving in both passing and standard down situations.
Who’s staying on schedule, and who’s digging out of holes?
Where does your team land? 👀
Who's been the most efficient QB through Week 7? 📊
The top 3 in opponent-adjusted EPA per Dropback:
🥇 Jayden Maiava (USC) — 0.43
🥈 Darian Mensah (Miami) — 0.42
🥉 Josh Hoover (Indiana) — 0.40
Who's standing out to you?
CORE stands for Context & Opponent-Relative Efficiency.
It uses play-level EPA, adjusted for game situation and opponent strength, to rate offense and defense.
How CORE works: https://t.co/ulFDRNrR9N
CORE offense vs. defense through Week 7.
➡️ Right = better offense
⬆️ Up = better defense
🎯 Top right = strong on both sides
Where does your team land?
Coffee now. College football chaos at noon. ☕🏈
Today's CORE watchlist starts with Ohio State–Indiana (95.6), rolls into Penn State–Michigan (81.9), and features Wisconsin–UCLA (92.9) in primetime.
What's your game plan today? One screen or multiview? 📺
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Your Week 7 college football viewing guide is here! 📺🏈
Ohio State-Indiana (95.6) tops the CORE Watchability Index, followed by Wisconsin-UCLA (92.9) and Mississippi State-LSU (91.6).
Penn State-Michigan checks in at #6.
Which game are you circling? 👀
💀 And then there's the other side of the coin...
LSU leads the unlucky list with 4 wins against 5.1 expected. TCU is next at -1.0.
Ohio State also makes the bottom 10 at -0.8.
Which team is due for a reversal of fortune? 👀
🍀 Who's been living right in 2026?
Iowa leads the country in wins above expected through Week 7, sitting at 5 wins against just 3.5 expected.
Marshall and Ole Miss aren't far behind at +1.2.
Here are the 10 luckiest teams in college football. 👇
The race for college football's most valuable kicker is razor-thin. 🦵
Texas A&M's David Olano leads the nation in Points Added Above Replacement (PAAR) at 9.17, just 0.01 ahead of UAB's Jonah Delange.
Olano has done it on 7 fewer attempts.
🏈 Top 15 through Week 6 ⬇️
Who's getting the most out of their recruiting talent? 📊
Through Week 6, Boise State, USC, and Notre Dame are outperforming the offensive talent trend. Oregon, Colorado, and Washington State are falling short.
Here's a focused look at just Wins Above Bubble, the "most deserving" part of the playoff debate. Seems to do a nice job of sorting teams despite different W-L records and conference affiliations.
HT @PDawg206@CFB_Data