Dkumar Sinha

Follow HG ARV & Relative value Investing Style || D-RVG style || Not a GAAP/Momentum/Value Investor || DYOR before investing.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

Dropping my top SME picks (where I'm loaded up!) by this weekend (Mar 29). Massive potential ahead—don't sleep on these! 🚀💥

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#OrianaPower 10.06.2026 concall updates.

part2.

Only Solar & Bess Play for FY 27.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

Dropping my top SME picks (where I'm loaded up!) by this weekend (Mar 29). Massive potential ahead—don't sleep on these! 🚀💥

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#4: Oriana Power

PE: 21
PB: 6.6
1y F PEG: 0.11
RV value: 1.2

ROE ≈ 48%, ROCE ≈ 43% (Strong profitability).

I follow HG ARP (High Growth At Reasonable Price) and RV (Relative Value) investing style.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#OrianaPower 10.06.2026 concall updates.

⛔Disappointed⛔

✓FY27 guidance cut from 100% to 40–50% CAGR (revenue & PAT)::
Likely due to GH2/electrolyser ramp uncertainty

✓Electrolyser (1-GW, $60M plant)
Not actively pursued –
China makes electrolysers at <50% of India’s cost.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#OrianaPower

10.06.2026

Added few more lot in OrianaPower on 10.06.2026.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#SUNITATOOLS

10.06.2026

Added few more lot in SunitaTools on 10.06.2026.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#9: SUNITATOOLS

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#15

#TECHERA

10.06.2026

Added few lots on 09.06.2026

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#15

#TECHERA

27.05.2026

Added to watchlist.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#AVPINFRA

02.06.2026

Part 2

Financial modelling:

Current P/E (TTM): 4.32x

1-Year F P/E (33% profit growth): 3.25x (72.80÷22.42)

1-Year F PEG (33% growth): 0.098 (3.25 ÷ 33)

Deal looks lucrative but business execution is key to watch in Fy27.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#12
#AVPINFRA

27.05.2026

Added Few lots in #AVPINFRA today.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#AVPINFRA

FY27 Official Guidance

02.06.2026

Part1

FY26 Revenue Guidance: ₹575–600 Cr (~121% YoY growth from ₹272 Cr in FY25)

FY27 Revenue Guidance: ₹700/750–800 Cr (~33–40% growth vs FY26 guidance)

Long-term Target: ₹1,000 Cr revenue within 2 years (nearly 2x of FY26)

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

@sdg7_20241 #AVPINFRA i may add more if it comes to 61.

My short term Tgt is 90/97/102.
On CMP; Risk to reward is 10: 20/30 point.
Timeframe:1 to3 months.
Medium Term Tgt: 102-119.
All depends on how broader market perform in upcoming month.

Will Trim my position if it comes near to my tgt

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#AVPInfra
01.06.2026

Part 3

#AVPINFRA may add more if if comes to 61.

My short term Target is 90/97/102.
On CMP; Risk to reward is 10: 20/30 point.
Timeframe: 1 to 3 months...

Medium Term Target: 103-119.

All depends on how broader market perform in upcoming month.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#AVPInfra
01.06.2026

Part 1

#AVPinfra FY27 outlook:

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCells

31.05.2026

#Premier Energies

Part 5

Financial modelling:

CMP: 1061
PE: 32

Forward PE (FY27) : 30.5
PEG Ratio (FY27): 3==> Overvalued

RV : 1.02 :==> Fairly valued

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCells

31.05.2026

#Premier Energies

The company operates in solar equipment manufacturing (PV cells and modules).

FY27 Capacity Outlook:

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCells

31.05.2026

#Premier Energies

Part 4

FY26 EBITDA and FY27 EBITDA Guidance::
EBITDA Margin Trend: 30% in Q4 FY26 (down 300 bps YoY, down 100 bps QoQ due to higher input costs, especially silver)

analysts project 33.5% EBITDA CAGR over FY26-28.

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCells

31.05.2026

#Premier Energies

Part 4.1

Key Drivers for FY27 EBITDA Growth:

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCells

31.05.2026

#Premier Energies

Part 3

Revenue Guidance for Premier Energies FY27::

✓FY27 Revenue Estimate: ₹13,270 crore
✓FY27 Growth: ~65% YoY growth from FY26 (₹802.6 crore)

Order Book Growth: ₹14,010 crore (+66% YoY increase)

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCells

31.05.2026

#Premier Energies

Part 2

The ORDERBOOK has grown steadily from ₹10,000+ crore (Aug 2025) to ₹14,010 crore (May 2026).

✓Q3 FY26 Fresh Orders: ₹2,307 crore
✓Q4 FY26 Fresh Orders: ₹2,577 crore for 1.6 GW

ExecutionTimeline: FY27–FY28

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCell

#BESS
#Alpex #Waaree

31.05.2026

Once AlpexSolar's 2.2GW TOPCon cell facility commissions(within90 days from May26), their cost to produce 1kWh will drp to approximately ₹2.20–₹2.80/kWh (down from ₹2.50–₹3.50/kWh), representing 15–20% cost reductn

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Solarmodule #SolarCell

#BESS
#Alpex #Waaree

Cost to Produce 1 kWh Electricity (India, 2026)

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Alpexsolar
31.05.2026
Part 9.1
Peer comparison with #WaareeEnergies

#Waaree margin squeeze in Q4 FY26 (down to 18.6% from 23%) was driven by elevated commodity prices and import costs; the ingot/wafer integration directly addresses this by internalizing upstream production

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Alpexsolar
31.05.2026
Part 9
Peer comparison with #WaareeEnergies

🟨How #Waaree fy27 ingot/wafers commising will improve its ebidta margin?

FY27 ingot/wafer commising (the 10GW integrated facility in Nagpur, ₹6.2K–6.5KCr capex) will improv EBITDA margins thru following:

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#Alpexsolar
31.05.2026
Part 9
Peer comparison with #WaareeEnergies

🟨How #Waaree fy27 ingot/wafers commising will improve its ebidta margin?

FY27 ingot/wafer commising (the 10GW integrated facility in Nagpur, ₹6.2K–6.5KCr capex) will improv EBITDA margins thru following:

[Dkumar Sinha @dkumar_sinha]

#2: Alpex solar

PE: 10.6
PB: 4.2
1y F PEG: 0.26
RV value: 1.4

ROE ≈ 45–50%, ROCE ≈ 50% (Strong profitability).

I follow HG ARP (High Growth At Reasonable Price) and RV (Relative Value) investing style.