Matt Savoca

Football, games, and data. R truther. Reformed spreadsheet warrior, mediocre crossworder. Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding.

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Favorite Opto based CPT/MVPs: Mahomes, Worthy, Pachecho

Favorite Vibes based CPT/MVPs: Herbert, Hampton/Harris, Pacheco

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Quick Hits for Friday Night Football (Chargers vs. Chiefs)

Was a bit surprised to see both squads played faster and passed more than average in neutral game scripts in 24. Even with a run-oriented identity, Harbaugh trusts Herbert when game's in reach. KC happy to lean pass/fast

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Primary questions worth answering when building lineups/props:

- What's the RB market share breakdown between Hampton and Harris? (my guess: 60/40 OH, Harris getting GL work and OH in 2MD).

- Is Ladd ready to be a true WR1 or does someone else (QJ, KLS, or Keenan) step up?

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Top opto-based CPTs/MVPs (early runs): Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, DeVonta Smith, Javonte Wiliams

Top vibes-based CPTs/MVPs: Saquon, A.J. Brown

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Quick Hits for Week 1 Thursday Night Football (DAL @ PHI):

Expecting plenty of passing. Obviously Dallas is built around airing it out, but Philly's not afraid to either, and passed more often than expected in neutral game scripts. Last year DAL Defense was #30 in Yd/Pass Att🧵

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Questions to consider when lineup and prop building: Is the DAL running game at all viable? PHI Def capable of overpowering an offense this talented? Does Saquon just dominate for 60min?

[4for4 Fantasy Football @4for4football]

Breakout Receiver Model: Week 11

🍀 "We'll use this to identify players who may be over- or underperforming the value of their opportunity, whether that be due to luck, skill, or a variety of the two."

@draftaholic looks at potential Week 11 breakouts:

https://t.co/mlusRM1QQp

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

✌️ -> 🦋

[4for4 Fantasy Football @4for4football]

Week 10 Monday Night Football DFS: Dolphins vs. Rams

@draftaholic breaks down the MNF single-game slate, highlighting his favorite plays:

https://t.co/X9EOTmhmio

[Fantasy Footballers @TheFFBallers]

Players Who POP: Regression and Bounce-Back Candidates for Week 8 by @draftaholic

https://t.co/OT7PBSRh7t

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

ICYMI, check out my latest 'Players Who POP' analysis for:

✅ Bounce-back players
✅ Regression candidates
✅ Sneaky trade options

https://t.co/YlzjbIxrGA

[Fantasy Footballers @TheFFBallers]

Players Who POP: Regression and Bounce-Back Candidates for Week 7 by @draftaholic

https://t.co/ylmzZciyUj

[4for4 Fantasy Football @4for4football]

Week 7 Thursday Night Football DFS: Broncos @ Saints

@draftaholic breaks down the TNF single-game slate, highlighting his favorite plays:

https://t.co/Gqu7WG5kuG

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Davante Adams' team WR1 (in Yards per Game), first 9 seasons*:

• Year 1 - Jordy Nelson
• Year 2 - James Jones
• Year 3 - Adams
• Year 4 - Adams (PB)
• Year 5 - Adams (PB)
• Year 6 - Adams (PB)
• Year 7 - Adams (PB, AP1)
• Year 8 - Adams (PB, AP1)
• Year 9 - Adams (PB, AP1)

*This is a JSN tweet

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

Jets are offering *way* too much for Davante Adams as we speak.

[Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL]

Aaron Rodgers completions in 1st quarter:

To Jets: 3
To Vikings: 2

[4for4 Fantasy Football @4for4football]

One 4for4 DFS sub turned $14 ➡️ $1,500 this weekend!

@playerqDFS & @draftaholic continue to crush 🤝

Get a 4for4 sub for as low as $10: https://t.co/13BhmZP9i0

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

@TheFFBallers And at @4for4football:

Week 4 Breakout Receiver Model ($): https://t.co/zuFo6bO7B8

SNF Showdown Breakdown ($): https://t.co/bsdBgPuFaC

LIVE 12PM ET Sunday - DFS Q&A ($): https://t.co/y77mGKXjkl

[Matt Savoca @draftaholic]

All my analysis for Week 4 of the NFL season:

Over at @theffballers:

Top FanDuel Cash Plays ($): https://t.co/PrtHRWdrrH

Players Who POP - Regression/Bounce-Back Candidates 🆓: https://t.co/CJrS2Iobu4