@ahsbfbfovinwnsn@BryceLottos NBA playoffs is also a great example. The books are STUBBORN with how they set lines in NBA playoffs. A team will simply be at home and be favored. The lines that bookmakers set do NOT imply win probability lmao markets are shaped based on PERCEPTION
@ahsbfbfovinwnsn@BryceLottos Dawg it is a market at the end of the day. Markets are not gospel and are not always rational. That -7000 odds will change in 2 seconds on 1 pitch. Do u remember when spurs series price was -3000 on fanduel vs t wolves? And how minutes later new info came out, then they were-800?
@ahsbfbfovinwnsn@BryceLottos Absolutely not lmao. This is a juiced live market with insane vig, it’s practically a 1-way market. It’s not a line that’s been shaped by bettors over days. Unless he’s originating with accuracy, and even then, buddy is picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.
@BryceLottos And u think line shopping rec books’ live odds for a ~1.5% return is +EV lol. You will get blown up one day buddy like you already did with khamzat
@Rishibets@BrandonMH1@landonjake24 Well every single thing in our humans lives on planet earth can be made into a cute fun thought experiment if you hyperbolize things equivalent to a billion. And, rules being set in place never deterred anyone from bending them or finding a workaround
@Rishibets@BrandonMH1@landonjake24 Bruh u answered ur own weird hypothetical here. It’s 2026 inflation is at an all a time high, 10k is nothing. Circa sports exists I’m sure if u reach out to them u can place a hedge bet on a lien. Most bonus bets are valid for 7 days u can fly to a legal circa state if needed
@BrandonMH1@landonjake24 This is getting ridiculous. Obviously everyone agrees that if your bankroll doesn't support using it on a longshot straight, you should try to hedge.
That's not what we're talking about here.
@BrandonMH1@PlusEVAnalytics In theory I agree but no casual has 20k or 30k in cash laying around for a hedge bet. Since 75% conversions require a really big hedge bet at -300 odds or worse
@Kmishjr@punt_school@FiddlesPicks Dude you are legit extremely stupid it’s insane. You think you have some edge because you’re just betting on trends lmao. You should be a millionaire then goofy, we all should if that were the case. U lose on trend bets and still think they were good bets - the books need you
If anyone on this app needs more P2 accounts, hit me up. Starting school full-time this August 2026. I have an account for every major rec book. All are aged from 2020-2021
@BeholdPaleH0rse@finalnotice99 Lol you make it seem like it’s impossible for books to pay out a -200. If that were the case we would all be millionaires (you especially) cuz you’d just blindly fade every chalky play. Yankees winning by 1 doesn’t mean shit we’re talking about ML here not spread. You’re hedging
@johnnyvegasss@Walladonk You can make orders or take orders. Taking orders has higher fees around 3.5%. Making orders is where u can get partially filled. I think benefits to kalshi are the 3k annual income deduction if u lose and the 3% interest u gain holding funds in there (if u bet on futures)