Darren Skudder

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

The World Cup kicks off tonight. I pointed my model at it

Tonight: Mexico 71% to beat South Africa

The whole tournament:
Spain 16.6%
Argentina 12.7%
France 11.0%
England 9.9%
Brazil 7.0%.

Probabilities, not predictions
👇
https://t.co/51NBSar1LZ

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

@ReadySetBrian @bcherny I’ve turned this off on the chat. I find it makes it worse

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

@bcherny @ReadySetBrian Yes I am feeling similar sense to this. 4.6 Opus on Extended was delivering simple & quality outputs I trusted. 4.7 only gets close on Max & rattles around going back & forth then off on a tangent not explaining what it’s doing. I feel like I have to check the output more now

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

@BBCLondonSport @KeirBrad

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

Long shot but that Ipswich vs Saints game is huge.

Wondering more who we could end up with in the playoffs.

#claude

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

Modelled every Championship run-in fixtures to see what the probabilities are of #Millwall claiming second. We have the best fixtures on paper & ideally need 4/4 but with 3/4 wins we might just make it.
#EFL #Playoffs

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

@Karl_Bates I agree with all this. Honestly incredible to still be where we are at this point in the season when you look at the teams around us.

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

Championship financial comparison: revenue, wage ratio and staff costs.
Lowest revenue bracket. Mid-table on costs. Miles away from the 180%+ wage ratios that are sinking other clubs.
#Millwall #Championship

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

Millwall released their 2024/25 accounts.
Pre-tax losses: down from £19.1m to just £0.3m.
We sit 3rd in the Championship. In the automatic promotion places. This is genuinely uncharted territory for this football club.
Here's the financial story behind it. 🧵

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

3rd in the Championship. Near-breakeven financially. Record squad and infrastructure investment. No reckless debt.
Develop smartly, sell at the right time, reinvest wisely, keep the books clean. That's how you build something lasting.
Come on you Lions!🦁
#Millwall #Lions #EFL

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

@philclarke0170 He’s been brilliant recently and this level of commitment shows just how much of a winner he is

[Darren Skudder @dskudder]

@HenshawAnalysis Streamlit should only ever truly be used for internal development. I’ve learnt this the hard way too. I use Claude to help move things to Vercel. The UX is 1million times better and you have so much more control. None of this would have been possible without Claude for me.