Darren

[Darren @dsmith8323]

@Crinklebine @dampedspring We definitely breaking history! 😂

[Darren @dsmith8323]

@InvariantPersp1 This is so true, just retired from car biz. Banks are are not approving anyone but perfection.

[Not Jerome Powell @alifarhat79]

Trading this week

[Darren @dsmith8323]

@_ColesTrading @tradingview i thought i was the only one... this happens to often, Anyone have other platforms they reccomend that's don't have as many problems?

[The Long Investor @TheLongInvest]

$SPY in 2007

The market lost its 50 Weekly MA in November ‘07

It took until Sept ‘08 for Lehman Brothers to collapse

Which many believed was the start of the ‘08 GFC

The $SPY lost the 50 WMA last week

We are far from confirming a market correction or crash right now.

Any preconceived notions are purely speculative right now

You need to wait for confirmation and it will take some time.

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

🚨 $QQQ Chart for bulls eyes only! 🚨

Today marked the 4th largest volume day since October 2023.

What happened to the top 3 largest volume days?

All three marked THE bottom.

Extrapolate how you see fit.

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

Insiders buy for only one reason. $AMD

💰 https://t.co/J3HvTAQgNO

[J.C. Parets @JC_ParetsX]

As participation in this bull market continues to broaden, shorts are getting destroyed. Imagine not participating on the long side, but then adding to the problem by shorting the stocks going up. Here are the names where short sellers are most vulnerable https://t.co/Snbk07Ti8N

[Alex Jones @RealAlexJones]

America: Freedom to Fascism

This is a 2006 film by filmmaker and activist Aaron Russo, exposing a variety of subjects, including: the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), the income tax and the Federal Reserve System.

ᴡᴀᴛᴄʜ ʙʀᴇᴀᴋɪɴɢ ɴᴇᴡs: https://t.co/iRbKT1dcMY

[Steven Strazza @sstrazza]

Magnificent 7 Earnings Reaction | AAPL MSFT META TSLA https://t.co/a99gQEEwMM

[ThiccTeddy @ThiccTeddy]

WAKE UP FROM THOSE THANKGIVING HANGOVERS

Here are some screeners to help you guys find stocks to SWING TRADE and DAY TRADE

Watch all 4 of these👇👇

[Barchart @Barchart]

Goldman Sachs does it again! Incredible stuff 🫡

[Cheddar Flow @CheddarFlow]

The American Mind Cannot Comprehend This

[Barchart @Barchart]

America’s $20 Trillion Economy by State

[Cheddar Flow @CheddarFlow]

Here’s the Largest US Banks 👇

[Darren @dsmith8323]

@TradeSniperSara @ElaineBenes99 💗

[JustDario @DarioCpx]

🚨 $JPY INTERVENTION ALERT 🚨

Very very weird to see such a sharp move in early Japanese hours trading…

[Marty Chargin @MartyChargin]

Data...Data...Data... for what its worth...

[Trading Sunset @Trading_Sunset]

Those lost in AI hysteria will get... what they deserve.

[JustDario @DarioCpx]

Fintwit: "Spike in $SPY puts, crash incoming!" 😱🚨⚠️

CBOE: "Ehmm not really" 🙄

Let me tell you a secret, $SPY is currently weaker because of people hoarding puts, but guess what? This is exactly why the market won't crash right now 🤯

Now, imagine a house is already on fire. Do you expect there will be a queue of insurance companies willing to offer you protection against the risk of your house burning down? Of course not! 😆

Considering that the real nature of options existence is to be an instrument to get insurance against market risk, do you think there will be such an ample offer of them at "cheap" prices if brokers are standing next to you watching the house burn? Of course not! 🥹

In any single "crash", this is how the chain of events unfolds *every single time* with the "speed" only the big difference (super fast in 1987, slower during the Dot Com). Why such consistency? Because crashes are a consequence of human behavior when they "happen"! 🥲 Consequently:

👇🏻

Risk event > $SPY first leg down > Panic hedging > $SPY second leg down > Crowd acknowledges the Risk Event > $SPY Panic selling > Crash

👇🏻

March23 Risk Event: $SIVB bust

May23 Risk Event: $FRC bust

June23 Risk Event: US Debt Ceiling

July23:... crickets... 🤷🏻‍♂️

Aug23:... crickets... 🤷🏻‍♂️

👇🏻

Not surprisingly, looking at the CBOE total p/c ratio vs $SPX, we cannot really see anything out of the ordinary, can we? And I'll tell you one more thing, "somehow" crashes start when the CBOE total p/c spike begins when the ratio is below 0.8! However, if this indicator goes below 0.8 and then grinds higher (no panic), we have a rather orderly market sell-off like what happened in November 2021. Sorry to crush your dreams, but the ratio didn't dip below 0.8 in the current uptrend, hence there is at least one more leg up! 🤷🏻‍♂️

One more thing, every single time after 2008 we got to the "panic hedging" stage, the Fed and other central banks immediately stepped in to "defuse" the bomb. Guess why? Because they know how fragile the global financial system is, and not only have they never really fixed the problem, but it is now way bigger by many orders of magnitude than the GFC! 🥶

Bottom line: something too big to handle for central banks needs to happen to get them to "join" the market panic and then let the "panic selling" and "crash" stages unfold.