Connoisseur

These are just a few of my incredible thoughts. Hello to all potential employers!

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

Wikipedia after I once again do not donate.

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@fahdananta turf lawn?

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@fahdananta A whole fund could be dedicated to these kinds of deals. Hard to find things more important than food infrastructure imo.

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@MiningCatalyst No you can’t?

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@AlpacaAurelius This is a nonsensical experiment. Yellen was not a scientist but a theologian. Her numbers are pulled out of this air. I’ve read the study.
I only wear natural fibres, but do your due diligence…

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@paulsaladinomd Poll selection bias

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@abysstoabyss SapSucker

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@juniorminingpro I agree with the dude above. Licks was cheeks.

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@juniorminingpro @DVSignals @AllStreetsWolf @MLPotash If they are well on their way on the Lassonde Curve would that not imply that we should buy the dip on MLP?

[Rickie Fowler Tracker @Rickie_Tracker]

🚨 UPDATED RANKINGS 🚨

🌎 OWGR: 5️⃣6️⃣ (⬆️ 7)

🏆 FedExCup: 3️⃣6️⃣ (⬆️ 9)

Reminder for Majors:

PGA: Qualified

US Open: Top 60 OWGR after PGA

The Open: Top 50 OWGR after Byron Nelson

2 more no cut signature events leading into a major. Plenty of opportunities to grab some valuable points!

#RickieFowler

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@AllStreetsWolf The account is satire

[DeepValue Signals @DVSignals]

$SILVER: probably the single most important chart analysis to read this weekend.

If you want a balanced read, keep reading...

This is exactly why I push back on the simplistic “trendline break = fresh breakout” view

On silver, I see many drawing a very straightforward line across the highs on a linear/log chart, pointing to the recent move through it, and calling it confirmation. That is far too simplistic. A break of one line, by itself, does not imply a fresh impulsive breakout. It needs far more rigorous analysis, cross-checking structure, momentum, Fibonacci, relative strength, miner confirmation, and broader context.

For those who have followed me for a while: you know I am generally NOT an Elliott Wave guy. But on this specific chart, I do think it offers a useful framework to explain both the structure and the psychology. Not because it is some perfect science, but because it can help simplify what the market may be doing here.

The basic idea is straightforward: wave 1 down, wave 2 bounce, wave 3 down, wave 4 bounce, wave 5 down.

And right now, what silver appears to be doing is behaving much more like a wave 4 than the start of some powerful new leg higher.

That matters, because wave 3 is usually the brutal recognition phase. That is when the market starts to accept that the prior uptrend is damaged. The move gets sharper, confidence gets hit, and price starts doing real technical damage. We saw that.

Then comes wave 4, the false-hope phase.. It tends to be choppy, overlapping, frustrating, and just constructive enough to pull people back in. It often looks better on surface-level analysis than it really is. That fits very well with what I think we are seeing now: a recovery that looks encouraging to many, but structurally still carries bear-flag / corrective bounce characteristics.

That is also very similar to the earlier phase (wave 2) where I said: be careful. Same near 89. That got pushback too. Yet those caution calls mattered. And this broader framework is also part of how I was able to lean constructive again closer to 61...

Now look at where we are: this bounce has pushed into the 0.618 Fibonacci retrace, and we are now bear flagging. On the more zoomed-in charts, silver actually looks vulnerable, not strong, contrary to popular belief. Miners are not really confirming in the way I would want to see for a genuine breakout. And the recent move in GSR still looks more like a fake move than a resolved shift.

So my primary view, until proven otherwise, remains that this is still a corrective advance inside a damaged structure.

For that to change, I would want to see a clean push above 80, with the current bear-pattern break sitting closer to 81.50, and real acceptance there not just a wick through it. Friday’s breakdown was severe enough that one brief poke higher does not suddenly repair the chart..

So, long story short: I am not dismissing the possibility that silver can recover further. But I am also not going to pretend that a simple line break on a basic chart suddenly means the all-clear has been given. Right now, the wave 4 psychology fits: enough bounce to create hope, not enough evidence yet to prove that the broader bearish structure is gone.

And if this really is wave 4, then wave 5; the final flush, the final disappointment, the move that catches late bulls leaning the wrong way, may still be missing.

RT and share if this gave you value. These free posts take enormous amounts of time to produce...

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@duediligenceguy This is why I follow you. I wake up and feel like another day of being defensive is punished. You remind me to check my shopping list for the natural gas name I wanted…
Thanks Lobo!

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

This account must’ve really popped off recently.

[TankerTrackers.com, Inc. @TankerTrackers]

BREAKING; VISUAL CONFIRMATION: IRAN HAS SHIPPED OUT NINE MILLION BARRELS OF CRUDE OIL FROM FLOATING STORAGE IN THE GULF OF OMAN SINCE THE US BLOCKADE WENT INTO EFFECT ON 2026-04-13 AT 14:00 UTC

ANOTHER TWO MILLION BARRELS DEPARTED ON 2026-04-12

#OOTT #IranWar #Tankers

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@juniorminingpro Considering Bamboroughs track record, and the with current performance of HG it is neither irresponsible or unfair. No misleading, just shared excitement.

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@juniorminingpro @DVSignals @AllStreetsWolf @MLPotash If they are well on their way on the Lassonde Curve would that not imply that we should buy the dip on MLP?

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

Plenty to contemplate

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Canadian unemployment rate has hit 6.7%, per Bloomberg.

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@GoldForecast Short cruise ships, it’s more fun.

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@Quest4Great @AlpacaAurelius Try Paredon Guatemala.

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

@DVSignals Can't win em all DV

[Connoisseur @DunbarsCritic]

Donald “The Shredder” Trump

[Acyn @Acyn]

Trump: I hang out with losers because it makes be feel better. I hate guys that are very, very successful and you have to listen to their success stories. I like people that like to listen to my success.