95% of altcoins will never see ATH again.
Here’s a list of coins that are already dead or dying.
APT – pure VC exit liquidity
SEI – fake hype, zero adoption
TIA – insiders dumping every unlock
WLD – worst tokenomics of the cycle
BLUR – airdrop farmers paradise
PYTH – oracle narrative is dead
STRK – L2s don’t need tokens
DYM – modular hype already fading
JTO – no real revenue
MANTA – ghost chain
AEVO – ponzinomics casino
SAGA – infinite inflation
ZETA – zero organic demand
PORTAL – gaming vaporware
BEAM – recycled narrative
This cycle won’t forgive bad picks.
Only real money + real usage will survive.
Here are 5 trading techniques that feel illegal but aren’t (bookmark this):
1. Wait for liquidity grabs before entering (Most traders enter where the market wants them to… you enter after the sweep)
2. Trade only the first clean setup of the session (Fewer trades = fewer mistakes. Pros don’t spam entries)
3. Use alerts instead of staring at charts (Notifications = precision. Staring at screens for 8 hours = tilt)
4. Enter on the second retest, not the breakout (Confirmation pays better than adrenaline)
5. Skip the trade if the RR isn’t at least 1:2 (No FOMO when your rules are stronger than your emotions)
Fab start to Q4 personally - been a pleasure to express my views and takes, which thankfully have worked out well.
Will tone it down a touch
But as always….
Wishing you all a blessed and beautiful weekend ahead…
Cheers
@eliz883 Sir, you taught us that trading isn’t luck — it’s discipline, growth, and mindset. Been following you for like 5 years now with active notifications and still can‘t believe how accurate your entry points are (even for stocks). Forever grateful❤️ TFe4ffBQLkuTMNfUeEtq22fxSRiipmkEPz
Each time I’ve shorted alts or stepped back from longing them, open interest has been a key factor in that decision, not the only one of course.
The positioning unwinds can be brutal for some participants - eg solana.
It’s always worth monitoring, especially for traders looking to take over-leveraged positions on the long side when the market turns frothy.
Other than that, heading into month end I'm not rushing into any new positions - nothing quite setting up yet with it being Friday.
The beginning of Q4 next week - and I dont believe it to be as straight forward as many tout.
Wishing you all a fab weekend ahead.
Cheers
Something I’ve picked up from Mastering the Mindset by Steven Goldstein is the Tightrope Analogy.
Walking a rope at 2 feet and at 100 feet involves the same technique, but the stakes feel completely different. At low heights, you can focus calmly on balance, foot placement, and rhythm. At great heights, even with the same skill, fear, anxiety, and heightened emotions creep in.
Your body tenses, your mind races, and your focus narrows to pure survival. In trading, it’s the same when real money and risk are on the line, ego can hijack decision making.
A proven strategy, combined with solid risk management, gives you the confidence to trust your process. But if variance is too high especially in the form of deep drawdowns you’ll eventually take a large loss, which from experience dents your mental state.
Recovering from that is the hardest part, as the fear of losing starts to dominate and you then lack the confidence to size up on your A+ setups.
How to evolve:
Subjective, but personally journaling and truly understanding the game has given me the confidence to scale up certain strategies, while others I’m still refining.
You can’t scale randomness with high levels of variance. My priority now is keeping daily, weekly, and maximum account drawdowns within set thresholds, if you have an edge aka positive expectancy, then the rest should take care of itself.
Cheers
Momentum based trading:
Very good structural setups forming across a number of alts, multi-month ranges and bases now well established.
If conditions remain favorable into Q4, the focus will be on momentum trades.
When these markets move, they trend fast and that’s where a well-designed set of filters and scanners becomes invaluable for catching the moves early.
Filter examples:
1. Structural & Technical Filters
Scan for alts that have spent 3+ months consolidating in tight ranges with compressed volatility, now breaking above multi-week/month highs on expanding ATR, while holding above rising 20/50 EMAs stacked bullishly.
2. Momentum & Volume Filters
Scan for alts showing relative strength vs BTC/ETH, breaking out on 2–3x their 20-day average volume, good daily liquidity (e.g. $10M+), rising spot/perp turnover that signals real demand, and expanding ATR confirming momentum.
3. Sector rotations
Fairly obvious
Many complain about the lack of activity on alts but theres always opportunity, you need a good filter / scanner that cuts through the noise and flags the best potential momentum based setups on your screen, for which you should have a strategy and know how to structure the trade.
Breakeven trader?
Stuck in elo hell?
You don’t need new indicators.
You don't need a new system.
You need to make fewer unforced errors.
Error reduction is the fastest route to profitability.
--
Let's begin with a little honest self reflection.
Write down everything that you're bad at as a trader.
Every error. All of them.
Because that’s the only way you can figure out what you’re not completely shit at.
And I promise you, even if you're on full tilt, you still have a thing or two that you can do well.
I use a lot of tennis metaphors when I teach on stream, so here's another one:
Amateurs play a Loser’s Game → most matches are won simply by missing less than your opponent. Legit nothing fancy. You win by simply screwing up less.
Just put the damn ball in the court.
Pros play a Winner’s Game → most matches are won by out playing your opponent. You have to out think them, problem solve on the fly and aggressively close points.
Markets are the same.
Once you're a proven winner -> press size, use LTF or flow to snipe entries, execute when someone makes a mistake, apply game theory and out think your competition.
But if you're struggling, just put the ball in the damn court.
Chances are if you're still reading, you're not consistently profitable.
You may run up briefly, but you can't keep it.
You're not a pro.
You're an amateur.
So play like an amateur.
Have one setup that intuitively comes to mind as your favorite? It's probably your favorite bc it makes you more money than the rest of the shit you take.
Gather some stats.
I bet you that you're over 50% win rate with it.
If so...
Take that one stupid setup again and again... and again.
Display the discipline to avoid the rest.
You shouldn't care about getting better at them yet; they're -EV for you.
By adding more setups all you're doing is lowering your win expectancy once you understand what your strength is.
Think of it like a video game: You don’t split points equally across every skill tree. You focus on one and build around it.
Is there one coin you trade better?
> Stick to it. Remove the rest from the watchlist.
Better at trading ranges?
> Stop trading trends.
Trade better on H1?
> Stop yourself from trading other timeframes.
The more variance your remove from the equation, the better.
TL;DR;
Your desire to learn it all and participate in everything has prevented you from consistently doing the one thing you can probably already do well.
If you're an amateur.
Leave the ego at the door and play like an amateur.
Put the ball in the damn court.
$BTC
Beauty of a move - covered how Id play this scenario - what where why and how. 🎯
1 - Got the rejection earlier in the week from 114.7s☑️
2 - Took out the lows below with signs of absorption ☑️
3 - Offers lifted - shorts unwind - traded 115s ☑️
4 - Took a chunk off at 115s - 3.5R on half the position
Next stream in Sept
Have a fab and blessed week all - cheers