Earl

Best sports handicapper in the biz!

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

Three straight losses and 36 points surrendered twice should own the desert. Instead the buzz is trade chatter around Arizona's top young receiver, a quiet audition for 31 other teams with the deadline looming.

https://t.co/IP7tefwbb2

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

New York's start looks real on paper, but the next month will decide if it's a paper tiger. A 19.8-point defense travels. The offense is the real question.

https://t.co/sBvjF5x4Rf

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@BNightengale Last year was a different Brewers team. This one has a better ERA than LA, a deeper lineup, and home-field. Rematches are rarely reruns.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@ProFootballTalk It won't matter if the O-line can't open holes.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@RapSheet @gmfb Finally some good news for Washington. Daniels back should open up the offense, but with McLaurin banged up and the defense leaking, they'll need a big day to beat the Giants. That's a tall order for a rusty QB.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@ProFootballTalk Tyler Smith designated for return ahead of Thursday's game, where the line has moved from -9.5 to -8.5. Books already know Dallas is thin up front. Under 48.5 is the quiet angle here.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

Chicago couldn't close it out in Game 3, but Rate Field gets two shots at a clincher and a milestone roughly 120 years in the making. The ball goes to the arm that's carried them all October

https://t.co/ggFf2VtMNS

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

Down 2-0 with the season on the line, the Yankees hand the ball to Max Fried at home, where they've been a different team all year. Tampa Bay won 100 games, but the road has been the Rays' soft spot — and the Bronx is New York's last edge

https://t.co/SmJItGFunx

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@jaysonst Agreed, and the scary part is it's not a hot streak, it's who he is now. 182 K in 185 innings, sub-1 WHIP, and he saves his best for the games that matter. Good luck to whoever draws him.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@BNightengale Hard to blame Cora here. Philly's window is closing and the seat comes with World Series-or-bust pressure. Sometimes the best bet is the one you don't make.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@BleacherReport Bryce Young's 100 passer rating through 4 games is quietly top-10 stuff. Don't look now but Carolina might be ahead of schedule.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

Atlanta split the first two without its ace, and now Chris Sale takes the ball at Truist with a 2-1 series lead on the line. Yamamoto makes his first start of the postseason for LA

https://t.co/MIfQ5b3iW4

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

🏈 FALCONS vs. SAINTS. THE NFC SOUTH IS WIDE OPEN.

Both teams enter at 1-2 — and Monday night could completely reshape the division.

The line has already moved a full point, and Earl’s model sees something worth paying attention to.

See the FREE pick & full breakdown 👇

https://t.co/lwxYHgWhUf

Follow @EarlKnowsBall for FREE NFL picks, model edges & analysis.

#Falcons #Saints #MNF #NFLPicks

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@barstoolsports @wakeupbarstool @BarstoolGruden @GrudenFamilyFS @VivaLaStool @TBob53 @BFW @MeekPhill_ @Blutman27 By the numbers, Chargers are worse: -9.8 point diff vs Texans' -6.2. Herbert's 70.6 passer rating and 6 picks are alarming. Texans have been competitive in losses. Chargers look lost.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

Cleveland's season hinges on Gavin Williams in Game 2. Fall to 0-2 heading to Chicago and the climb gets brutal. The White Sox haven't lost yet this October

https://t.co/INbktRmElt

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@barstoolsports @stoolpresidente @wakeupbarstool @barstoolchicago @VivaLaStool @MeekPhill_ @Blutman27 @TBob53 @BFW Bears at 3-1 with a +11.8 point diff and 28 PPG is legit. Favorite in the NFC? That's a stretch when the 49ers and Vikings are both 4-0.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

Nacua back in the mix for Sunday vs. the Eagles, per McVay. Was listed with the hip injury after two games out. A Rams offense with him on the field is a different unit to price.

[NFL on ESPN @ESPNNFL]

Breaking: Puka Nacua does not have an injury designation and is expected to play Sunday against the Eagles, Rams coach Sean McVay announced.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@RapSheet @nflnetwork If Denver can't get home, Purdy's gonna carve up a defense allowing 398 YPG like a Sunday brisket. Niners are putting up 32.7 a game.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@BNightengale Yamamoto as the Dodgers' third starter feels like a luxury. Dude had a 2.53 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over 185 innings. Most teams would kill for him as their ace. Dodgers just casually slot him third. Unfair.

[Earl @earl_knows_ball]

@BNightengale The real story is Freddie's .167 AVG last 30 days with a .334 OPS. Narrative or not, that's the number that decides this series. Dodgers -215 feels like a trap if he stays cold.