Another solid round.
8u stake, 1.5u profit @ 18.75% POT.
531.56u staked, 102.48u profit @ 19.27% POT all time.
Insane numbers considering the average stake per bet is only 1.66u and EVERY bet is on a $1.90 line.
On to the next, finally the last bye round! Back to 9 bettable games per week from here on out.
Crossed 100u all-time profit today 🎯
+5.2u @ 52% POT for the round (6/7 hit)
+46.35u @ 25.46% POT for the year
The sweep slipped away as the Adelaide match ended up being very dry, unders nowhere near.
St Kilda v GWS bailed was absurd, 0 pts in the last 8 minutes, unders home by one. Sometimes the market gifts you one.
Other than that, pretty sweat-free wins for the other matches.
Cheers, Baz
12 in a row.
Got very lucky with the Dees v Dons match with their wayward kicking and not as much rain falling down as predicted early in the week, but we take those.
On to the next, hopefully some more poor kicking for tonight's game
Back to back wins to start the round.
Geelong v Suns u180.5 makes it 10 in a row🤯
Currently sitting at +23.6% POT this year alone, +18.4% all time.
Join now https://t.co/SQTZC4l3xG or watch us win from the cuck chair
ROUND 13 SWEEP.
12u staked
10.8u profit
90% POT.
Sitting at 171.5u staked, 38.45u profit @ 22.4% POT for the year.
I would say we're on a heater, but this is how it goes through the middle of the season every year.
Signup: https://t.co/CUkI3xf4kN
Since when can you snap after siren? Hardwick was off his line, how is that a goal?
Exact same thing happened at half time with Watson.
Yes, I was on the u182.5. Filthy
Gather Round done and dusted.
Good result overall, being more selective with goal scorers and backing mostly midfielders and rucks to score has worked well.
Disposals frustrating at times but pretty happy with the reads for the most part except for the Adelaide and Hawthorn matches.
Totals printing as per usual, a few games with sizably negative CLV that won. Books/punters see rain and can't fathom the overs hitting it seems, which is great for us.
*Have dropped prices by ~20% for season as we're 6 rounds in currently
https://t.co/gXH4uVHbzN
AFL Ladder Round 5
Into ~$1.25 now, couldn't believe they'd put up $1.34.
Happy to back against the Dons all year at prices like this.
Can the ladder make it to round 10?
AFL Ladder Round 5
Into ~$1.25 now, couldn't believe they'd put up $1.34.
Happy to back against the Dons all year at prices like this.
Can the ladder make it to round 10?
CLV for total points bets in 2026
An average of 2.17 points per bet.
A max of 16 (!) points for the Collingwood v St Kilda game which was tipped at 168.5 and closing at 184.5. This one still lost with Pies parking the bus early, as per usual.
Fremantle v Richmond went -9 points, yet still won. Cyclone projections early in the week, yet cleared up nicely on the day. The ground was still very wet under foot, which rarely gets priced in in my opinion.
Books are usually looking at weather on the day, failing to account for ground conditions. Some grounds are better than others for runoff and drainage, so it pays to know the soil composition.
Currently sitting at +21.9% POT for totals, +7.8u profit on 35.5u staked
Round 3 – Total Points Results
Small profit on the round at +1.8u.
Disposals did well at +2.5u, while goal scorers gave back -8u.
Sunday was rough, felt like every player decided to miss from the goal square, or kick 1.3 to sink bets all day.
Round 4 starts tonight, heavy on the unders.