Edo Navot

Sociologist @UF & economist @USDOL 🤷‍♂️. Discrimination, inequality, labor, stratification. One foot in heterodox econ. Dad of 4. Personal account.

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

@narosenblum +1

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

@GianmarcoSoresi Tell your 95K followers to meet you over at the skies are blue app

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

@JamesRobichaux Sure this is one hypothesis and easy to see ppl feeling betrayed by Dems but a little hard to explain why voters distrust Dems but do trust Trump.

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

Why do a majority of voters consistently support progressive policies, even in conservative states, but elect the politicians that will fight against those policies?

[Pavlina R Tcherneva @ptcherneva]

🧵The ballot measures last night say a few things about voters’ feelings about the economy.
Here is how they played out.

PAID SICK LEAVE
All three measures requiring employers to provide paid sick leave PASSED (AK, MO, NE)
All 3 states went to Trump

1/x

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

@ProfessaJay @Bilalbay +1 for azure site. Lots have moved over recently and the place feels more alive than ever.

Would love to see your thoughts there.

[Matías Vernengo @NakedKeynes]

This is in fact the wrong lesson, since inflation came down without needing higher unemployment and was not caused by the fiscal packages

[Laura Marsh @lmlauramarsh]

@karpmj FWIW if you look at the numbers for Sunset Park, only about a hundred more people there voted for Trump this time around.
The increase in his *share* of the vote is because thousands declined to vote for Harris:

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

One year from now in the NBER digest:

“We are the first to explore the idea that standard economic measures like inflation rates and GDP growth are not salient for voter preferences, and individual experiences of macro economic conditions diverge from these measures…”

[Isabella M Weber @IsabellaMWeber]

Big lesson from both the U.S. and Germany: when economists tell you the economy is great (“Not Even a Recession” 🇩🇪, just a “Vibecession” 🇺🇸) but the people are saying this economy isn’t working for us, democrats have to listen instead of saying people just don’t get it.

[Isabella M Weber @IsabellaMWeber]

Big lesson from both the U.S. and Germany: when economists tell you the economy is great (“Not Even a Recession” 🇩🇪, just a “Vibecession” 🇺🇸) but the people are saying this economy isn’t working for us, democrats have to listen instead of saying people just don’t get it.

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

@brian_callaci So the question is only about the efficacy of the policy, not about what, if any, difference it might have made in election? If yes, I think I would be just speculating; I honestly don’t know but I’m skeptical.

[Olivier Godechot @OlivierGodechot]

I have the impression that there's some polarization going on out there. It's political, economic, social, geographic. It's in the votes, labor market, residence... Not sure we can fix. But you can study it.
AxPo is recruiting two postdocs on this topic:
https://t.co/S2EuKEA6gY

[Jake M. Grumbach @JakeMGrumbach]

All the “we have to hear the pain of the working class” rhetoric from Dems now is optimal pragmatism. But also this working class that hates inflation just voted for the 20% tariffs guy, and economic attitudes in surveys don’t predict vote choice whereas racial resentment does

[Asjad Naqvi @AsjadNaqvi]

🚀 The #DiD Winter 2024 update is here!

❄ All the #Stata code has been rechecked and updated.

Honest evaluation:
➕ the established Difference-in-Difference packages are very stable in terms of outputs.
➕Newer versions of old packages are now much faster.
➕New packages have built-in graph options for event studies.
➖ Packages written by non-dedicated teams have terrible documentation and sloppy coding. These are either pre/post-docs writing packages, or authors who want to release some code with a theory paper.
➖ Meta information is missing some packages, so version control is not really possible.
➖ Some packages do not store estimates. At the very least beta and var-cov matrices should be recoverable for post-estimation work.

❄ I have also reorganized the information so one can now see when the code was checked and for which version. So please do version controls when comparing outputs.

❄ I have also populated sections for #Python and #Julia, and fixed minor #R package infos with whatever little information I have.

❄ If you find bugs/errors, have suggestions, or want to contribute then (a) do a PR, or (b) open an issue. Please do this especially if you are a package owner.

More info here:
https://t.co/VofPkXf4jY

Don't forget to ⭐ the repository!

[Edo Navot @edo_navot]

@ProfessaJay Trump has always been the president of Big Virus

[Annie Waldman @AnnieWaldman]

Calgary stopped adding fluoride to its water in 2011.

What happened?

"The need for intravenous antibiotic therapy by children to avoid death by infection rose 700% at the Alberta Children’s Hospital." - Dr. James Dickinson @ University of Calgary

https://t.co/UVRewk3ggy

[Noah Garfinkel @NoahGarfinkel]

Many people will continue struggling to come to terms with the election results, but there’s still a lot you can do:

1) Be irritable at work
2) Withdraw from people who love you/need you
3) Make an impulsive and self destructive major life decision

[Boze Herrington, Library Owl 😴🧙‍♀️ @SketchesbyBoze]

in retrospect, strange women lying in ponds distributing swords really might've been a better basis for a system of government.

[Brian Callaci @brian_callaci]

I, for one, did not fully appreciate this