@DPJHodges Here it is, John’s tweet was 10’days ago but now I see the poll was earlier, the same time as other polls showing a clear Starmer lead, so 🤷🏻
@DPJHodges they know voters don’t care what Vance says, but they figure every time a Labour figure publicly disagrees with Vance, a few more voters will think “hmmm they’re not on my side”.
@MrTCHarris As I understand it there was no way they could have saved him, even if an ambulance had arrived at the same time.
If that weren’t the case this story would be magnified a hundredfold.
This, from @matthewsyed.
If you think it’s difficult for the BBC, Sky & ITV (full to overflowing with Oxbridge graduates) to tread the line when facing a thousand daily accusations of bias, imagine for one moment being a policeman, faced with the same problem.
"It is outrageous this idea that you cannot be English or British because of your ethnicity."
Sunday Times columnist Matthew Syed, who won a gold medal for England, tells #Newsnight that he finds the idea "profoundly divisive".
Even if Reform keep their lead, one wonders how many seats they can win in a GE if Restore take 20% of their vote and the other parties tactically coalesce. Particularly if LD & Labour voters can bring themselves to vote Tory in the shires.
Makerfield By-Election Update:
https://t.co/1qzdOOW1SO
Survation conducted a new poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between 26th May and 1st June 2026. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Methodology Statement
Population Sampled: All residents aged 18+ living in the Makerfield parliamentary constituency.
Total Sample Size: 518
Data Collection Method: Telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.
Fieldwork Dates: 26th May – 1st June 2026
Data Weighting: Data were weighted to the profile of all adults in Makerfield constituency aged 18+. Data were weighted by age, sex, ward and 2024 General Election vote.
Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and the results of the 2024 UK General Election.
Margin of Error: Because only a sample of the full population was interviewed, all results are subject to a margin of error. For example, in a question where 50% gave a particular answer, with a sample of 518 it is 95% certain that the “true” value would fall within 4.8 percentage points of the sample result.
Headline by-election voting intention - Table V2 (likelihood-weighted, undecided/refused removed, no squeeze):
Candidate / Party / Vote share
Andy Burnham - Labour 49%
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK 39%
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain 8%
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party 2%
Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat 1%
Michael Winstanley - Conservative 1%
Another party <1%
Base: likely voters, factored by likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused voters removed
Data tables are available here: https://t.co/mAcxDeCGIQ