岚

期待每一个清晨

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@Rocky_Bitcoin 这确实头大，这样以前借日元套利的要提前还了

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@travladd i wish kas

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@J3Charts 已经不错了，看了你最近的推，仓位已经调整了。谢谢。只是不是很甘心就这样结束了

[nemo小莫 @nemoyue0607]

8.3 交易总结：低吸了 memecoin，起因是之前观察的聪明地址又开始加仓，我就蹭车了。
但今天我想重点分享的是一个 超简单、但超实用 的挖掘聪明钱包的方法（适合新手，0门槛，有手就会）

工具仅需两个：solscan和gmgn
原理很简单：把几个拉盘凶猛的币的 Top1000 地址拉出来，找出重复地址，再筛选出盈利能力强的钱包，加关注！

比如这次我想找以下几个币的“共同聪明钱”：$labubu，$AI，$bluetrip 为啥选它们？因为都经历过强力拉盘，很可能有内鬼/聪明钱包在其中反复活跃。要找出top1000钱包，咋一听，你觉得有点麻烦是吗？

下面手把手实例教学：

第一步，复制$labubu, $AI, $bluetrip的地址。打开 solscan，搜索币名，找到合约地址 → 点进去 → 选择【Holders】→ 点击右上角 Export CSV，下载 Top 1000 地址。

第二步，重复上面动作，把 $labubu, $AI, $bluetrip 的 CSV 全都下载下来。你会得到每个币的 Top 持仓地址 + 持仓比例。这里是持有人地址，因此这个方法早点做比较好哦，因为这个时候聪明钱包大概率还在车上。

第三步，把三个币的地址数据合并，查找交集（即重复地址）。这一步我写了个 excel 工具，一键筛选出重合地址（技术小白也能照做）。

第四步，将3个币的重合的地址找出来，放去gmgn查看，看交易历史和盈亏情况。聪明的话就赶紧加关注啦。

我把这几个地址放到gmgn看钱包过往表现。找到3个真正厉害的聪明钱包（我感觉他们有内幕的吧，bonk系好几个都是拉盘前买入）。自己看了挺久的，为了节省宝子们的时间，特此分享出来送给大家。

聪明地址1： 2HCaiPHxWFb4WjdqZKbjVa7Y8TDa1pjF4XadKNmSQcXz，$AOL 10倍利润，$useless和$ai 5倍利润。

聪明地址2：2oiwGxRzbRW3XjNqnRvmJXvsquxyS7sZBnArfQegpXHz，GP利润200k，uranus利润100k。

聪明地址3：2xjcLTToHRWgAdqA4QXoFLuFAa52juJhJx3tFQADZk53，$useless9倍利润100k，$uranus利润100k, $gp利润7倍200k

有用的话请点赞关注评论转发，等你挖到第一个 alpha 钱包的时候再来感谢我。想要excel小工具的也可以私我。

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@justinsuntron 牛

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@CryptoGFishere $BTC

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@CryptoDevinL 在你第一条买进收益都不错

[看不懂的SOL @DtDt666]

一位A9成功交易员把“均线做波段”说透了
从未失手，堪称一绝
均线是最简单的一个指标，但它是最经典的，它表示的是N个周期的平均价，反映了当前市场的平均价格，也能反映出当前的位置是偏多还是偏空。

一、什么是均线？
均线：又称移动平均线，是把最近N天的股价（或者币价）收盘价求平均值，然后连起来就是一条均线。

均线的本质在于：反映一段时间内市场的平均持仓成本和股价走势。

常用的均线有：

MA5日均线：近一周的平均成本

MA10日均线：近两周的平均成本

MA20日均线：近一个月的平均成本

MA60日均线：近一个季度的平均成本

MA120日均线：近半年的平均成本

MA250日均线：近一年的平均成本

其中：MA5日均线、MA10日均线，为短期均线；MA20日均线、MA60日均线，为中期均线；MA120日均线、MA250日均线，为长期均线。

日常，我们常提到的名词：

周线——MA5日均线

月线——MA20日均线

半年线——MA120日均线

年线——MA250日均线

二、均线的3大核心用法
1、判断股价（币价）走向和趋势强度

①均线向上：意味着市场的平均成本在抬高，多头占优势，代表趋势向上。适合持股观望或者找机会逢低买入。

②均线向下：意味着市场的平均成本在降低，空头占优，代表趋势向下。需谨慎入场，已经持股的要收紧止盈止损，警惕下跌。

③均线走平：代表着趋势走平，股价在一个箱体内窄幅震荡，多空力量均衡。适合观望或者高抛低吸。

至于趋势强度，则需多根均线结合判断：

强势上涨：均线由短期到长期，从上到下，呈多头趋势排列。

例如：MA5日均线＞MA10日均线＞MA20日均线＞MA60日均线

强势下跌：均线由长期到短期，从上到下，呈空头趋势排列。

例如：MA60日均线＞MA20日均线＞MA10日均线＞MA5日均线

震荡趋势：长、短期均线在一个区间内混乱交叉，没有明确向上或向下的方向。

总结：

均线多头向上排列，多方强劲，适合持股观望或者回踩均线附近逢低买进。

均线空头向下排列，空头占优，适合离场观望或者反弹减仓。

均线走平窄幅震荡，趋势不明，可空仓观望，也可小仓位做T，高抛低吸，等待趋势明了。

2、观察支撑和阻力

支撑作用：当股价下跌到某根均线附近，出现止跌，开始反弹上涨，那这根均线就对股价起到了支撑作用。

之所以如此，是因为均线是平均成本，比如20日均线代表近20天的市场平均持仓成本，当股价跌到20日均线附近时，到了大家的成本线。

从心理角度分析，大家都还没赚到钱，不愿意卖，然后场外观望的人，又觉得这个价格比较合适，开始抄底买入，股价就在这里形成了支撑，开始出现反弹。

阻力作用：当股价上涨到某根均线附近，涨不动了，开始回落下跌，那这根均线对股价就起到了压制作用。

就比如，股价上涨到20日均线附近，到了大家的成本区，很多人担心股价再次下跌，就赶紧保本卖出，然后场外观望的人看到抛压太大，也不敢进场接盘，导致股价上攻无力，只好调头向下。

这里只是以20日均线举例，至于均线的选择，就要看你具体是什么类型的选手：

超短选手，可参考5日、10日均线；

波段选手，可参考20日、60日均线；

长线选手，可参考半年线、年线。

逻辑则是，当股价站上对应的均线，并且回踩不破，形成支撑，可以买入，跌破则卖出。

这里要注意，不要迷恋单一均线，最好是多根均线相结合，比如短期均线和中长期均线都呈多头排列，意味着市场形成合力，上攻势头强劲，等回踩止跌企稳，就可以逢低布局。

对于新手而言，尽量避免参与下跌趋势的个股，因为操作难度大，且反弹难以把控。

如图，上升趋势一旦形成，短期内很难改变，每次回踩支撑位布局，对新手比较友好。

3、利用均线金叉/死叉找买点和卖点

金叉：是指短期均线上穿长期均线，形成的交叉点称为金叉。代表大家短期看好，买入的欲望比较高，拉动平均成本上移。

如图，5日均线上穿20日均线，形成金叉，成交量温和放大，股价开启一波上涨，适合在金叉附近买入。

死叉：是指短期均线下穿长期均线，形成死叉，代表着短期看空的人多，都在卖出，把股价往下砸，导致短期的平均成本低于长期的平均成本，趋势可能转为下跌或者震荡。

利用金叉/死叉找买点和卖点需要注意这几点：

1、首选股价整体走上升趋势的金叉，信号更可靠。

2、结合成交量验证有效或无效金叉/死叉。

★成交量温和放大时，出现的金叉信号更靠谱，证明有真金白银进场。

★成交量持续缩量时，出现金叉可能是假突破，警惕主力诱多出货。

★成交量在高位放巨量，股价却不涨，出现死叉时，信号更可靠，意味资金恐高，在大量出逃。

★成交量缩量时，出现死叉，可能是上涨中继，主力诱空把浮筹甩下车好进一步拉升。

三、使用均线的注意事项
1、均线具有滞后性，需结合量价、KDJ等指标进行综合分析。

2、要结合自己的交易风格选择匹配的均线周期。

3、结合不同的市场环境选用均线。

单边趋势明显：尽量选择中长期均线作为参考，避免被短期的信号干扰。

震荡行情：选短期均线作为参考，收紧止盈止损，快进快出，高抛低吸。

4、均线不是越多越好，一般2-3根均线搭配使用即可，参考太多，容易信号混乱。

5、尽量只参与上升趋势的个股，回避下跌趋势，尤其是新手，与趋势为伍才是明智的选择。

6、交易纪律大于一切，不管是用单一均线还是双均线组合战法，止损永远放在第一位，这是所有交易系统里最核心的一环，没有止损的交易系统将毫无意义。

写在最后
交易不是越复杂越好，反而越简单越长久。

有人建立了复杂的交易系统，参考各种指标也难以实现稳定盈利；有人却靠均线就能实现复利增收。

其核心不在于系统，而在于纪律。

再好的系统，没有交易纪律，一切都是枉然。

均线不是制胜法宝，它的核心意义在于，给你提供参考，让你看到大趋势，并借助支撑和阻力进行动态仓位管理，给你一个执行纪律的标准。

但是具体怎么使用，在于个人，在于你的情绪和心理。——来之一位A9兄弟分享！

共勉！

[JH @oneforonehaha]

Recent discussion around @KaspaCurrency seems to be more about staying decentralized and faceless. I do want to point out that sometimes the materials are problematic and low quality.

I don't want to pretend this is just an issue of #Kaspa ideology or culture. The issue was not CENTRAL MARKETING (as @michaelsuttonil says), it was BAD MARKETING. Yes, it does some good, but is also highly problematic and can be a net negative for #Kaspa.

I will use @Kaspa_Commons recent piece published on https://t.co/lexvRUJa34 as an example. The title is "Why Kaspa Succeeds Where Millions of Crypto Projects Have Failed" (May 21, 2025). In response to the @coingecko statistical analysis of “failed” projects, this article listed contributive factors to success/failure and happily concluded that #Kaspa always succeeds.

To me, this is a very representative piece that shows how a lot of #Kaspa bullist posts/articles are mere combinations of self-defeating Co-opium, selective mutism, and Yakety-yak of hard-to-understand tech terms to bluff on the #Kaspa technology to make things look better than they are. The last reason, I think, is the major cause on a private level why @hashdag and core devs who write codes are uncomfortable–these false hopes are somehow converted into their “responsibility” after being entrenched by others a thousand times on X and other media.

(1) This piece is about success/failure. However, it had no discussion of what defines a failure or a success (and why such standards are appropriate). It seems to take the definition of failure by CoinGecko’s piece as granted: a crypto project "failed" when it is no longer actively traded.

Firstly, the activeness of trading is hard to tell and is vague to define. Secondly, this is a very problematic definition by itself. It’s almost like our life: does the fact that in the end, our hearts stop beating after 100 years necessarily mean that we all failed in life? A project may have had its peak time of glory and faded out later as better technology (such as #Kaspa) emerged.

Why would we accept this standard? I think because $KAS is more or less actively traded today. So taking this standard is advantageous or simply makes us feel good and comfortable enough so that we don’t need to think a step further if this is a good standard to begin with.

My observation is many #Kaspa pieces were written in a similar way before: no standard, nor any justification of any standard, just take whichever part that sounds good for #Kaspa.

Though I am not sure it is a good way to define “crypto failures”, let’s still move to the next part: “Common Factors Leading to Cryptocurrency Failures.”

(2) A valid and sound argument in formal logic is “If P, then Q” + P is true. You can easily see these arguments are poorly organized with this in mind.

If “lack of utility or purpose”, then "crypto failure"? What is the utility of $DOGE (by definition, it is still actively traded and therefore not a crypto failure)? What is the utility of $TRUMP? Or even, what is the already delivered use case of the utility of #Kaspa?

If “regulatory and legal challenges” then failure? ETH and PoS are all legally challenged by the SEC once as they may be seen as investment contracts. Are they all failed projects? Aren't PoW activties also subject to regulatory challenges?

It is also weird to me to say @pumpdotfun is a failure - I doubt anyone else in crypto will say that. I know, the argument is “https://t.co/cQiufpVn5B makes launching tokens easier and therefore you see more failures.” This is even worse: most technology makes something in our life easier, and yes more attempts/incidents will result in more failures. Does that mean we should say no to new techs that make our life easier?

My observation is these are all co-pium arguments and quickly turn to be self-defeating when you realize these are not #kaspa exclusive advantages. Such posts refuse to take the landscape but ground their claims with highly selective examples (usually minor and marginal ones in the crypto world).

Unfortunately, these are just common factors that most crypto projects (incl. #Kaspa) have and may lead to both failure and (undefined) success. Let’s now move on to “Common Traits of Successful Cryptocurrencies.”

(3) Now you should quickly see: the #Kaspa maximalists (i guess incl. KaspaCommons itself) most hated meme projects may have the strongest community engagement+grassroots community and brand building. Clear use cases – a lot of times still a marketing problem as you just need to invent some use cases to be delivered in the next 50 years.

Yes, they may lose out a bit on “robust technology”, but look at the example quoted here in the article: Firo, a coin with ~$2,000 trading depth on exchange if you check by yourself. By definition, that is a “crypto failure”, and following the logic pattern of this piece, “robust technology” should be a factor for failures.

(4) Moving on to “Marketing Traits in Failed Projects”: Overhyped, Under-Delivered [“BTC is KAS testnet] “tried to capitalize on buzzwords” [solving trilemma].

The funniest part included both “Expensive Ad Buys and Paid PRs” and “No Post-Launch Marketing Plan”. So either way, you will be found traits of failure. You should have a marketing plan, but no paid marketing should be part of that plan.

Putting (3)(4) together, my observation is #Kaspa posts are often written with failures and contradictory statements. Yet everyone seems to just ignore these. Interestingly, these days the community is much more critical (i.e. of the Forbes piece we saw today) compared to just post $KAS bullish comments everywhere.

(5) Then somehow, we come to the asserted “Kaspa’s Success” section. For me, I am not even sure if these are all “successes.”

The VERY sarcastic thing is that now precisely the developers are not pleased by the way of communication adopted by @KaspaCurrency when “Transparent, Developer-Led Communication” is put as the No.1 reason for success.

#Kaspa did advertise on narratives. In early 2024, @DesheShai already spoke everywhere of 10BPS, which is just delivered 3 weeks ago. Before crescendo, it was all "narratives."

The emission schedule is somewhat radical and can cause problems as well. Of course, in this article, it is always a “sound economic model.”

(6) “Kaspa’s continued success is attributed to its commitment to technological excellence, transparent governance, community engagement, sound economics, and real-world utility.”

It sounds like whatever Kaspa does, not only technology but also governance/marketing/branding/community/tokenomics, is always succeeding. Doesn’t that by itself sound like an artificial hype overstatement?

(7) Throughout this article, you can smell that it is almost allergic to the MONEY MARKET. No paid advertisements/PRs though almost all companies in the world (not just crypto ones) do the same. No mention of the price movement, which in my opinion is almost hypocritical and scoundrelly: how can $KAS, an asset, avoid talking about its own prices? Ask yourself, aren't you here, at least partly, due to the fact that $KAS = 0.0002 in June 2022 and got 100x in 2 years time? Why we are so reluctant to admit that we care about the prices? Why always tell us not to care about prices/hypes/being popular in the crypto world? Is it really possible to skip the cryptoland and jump directly to mass adoption by non-crypto players?

------
Now restate my opinion: I don't want to pretend this is just an issue of #Kaspa ideology or culture. The issue was not CENTRAL MARKETING, it was BAD MARKETING.

To me, @KaspaCurrency had the same problem of (7). In the past, it implicitly sets a “KaspaWay” that isolates itself from hot money, shall it be from crypto gamblers, investors and the capital market. What makes things worse is regardless of results, it tries to say whatever follows this KaspaWay is succeeding and refuses criticism.

For Core Devs (a group I can't represent neither), I guess maybe they feel disappointed when they are misrepresented by someone who doesn't write code, nor understand crypto and is occasionally an expressive political commentator. When that voice no longer passes knowledge to the community based on facts and science but adds its own fantasties and imagaintations and pretend the work is a belonging of its, that can be VERY VERY annoying.

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@travladd gogogo

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@Cryptochunshui 水子不准唬人

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@LeonidasNFT @wallet Still holding Runestones \

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@laofeiyyds 没中过😁

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@Kris7146 关注了 有意思

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@zcm800 5fRtnSfWEpbXWtCA1bb1AaeAYB5tegMZAKjTFSLfZSBF格局拉满

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

CA：DT5J2qQexuLS29ZhthnzMphJ7GkB34r5vP5Bubv5pump明牌 牛x

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@zcm800 @LLegendf66168 5fRtnSfWEpbXWtCA1bb1AaeAYB5tegMZAKjTFSLfZSBF

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@LLegendf66168 @zcm800 我要5fRtnSfWEpbXWtCA1bb1AaeAYB5tegMZAKjTFSLfZSBF

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@LLegendf66168 有意思 等后续

[岚 @eeoeefish1001]

@LLegendf66168 5fRtnSfWEpbXWtCA1bb1AaeAYB5tegMZAKjTFSLfZSBF