@gfc4 What do you make of the moment in ROASO where the author has a gut feeling about something bad happening and goes massively short the market...right before the SF 1906 earthquake?
@HolySmokas short. thanks for reminding me.
macro thesis: stagflation (rising prices, falling incomes) = discretionary spending for premium branding is going to fall, plus tarrif issues and oil is an input cost into the shoes as well as actually transporting them...
@jordanfogel nothing prepares you for seeing unrealized losses of 10-20% (or more) of your account selling credit spreads.
the reason most engineers won't take this step is they are in the E quadrant (which hates risk), not the I quadrant (which loves risk).