@nntaleb@IzzyDie@otrasenda_AC You mean if you found another way to starve yourself, would the results be identical to glp1?
I'd like to know, and also what the comparative side effects would be, glp1 vs other starvation methods.
The Cato Institute is a libertarian think tank.
It just published a 30-year study showing immigrants paid 14.5 trillion dollars more in taxes than they received in government benefits.
Every single year. For thirty years. Without exception.
The country was lied to.
Here is what the study found.๐งต
Research shows we procrastinate because of a bad relationship with our future selves.
You idealize your future self.
You vaguely picture them as having more energy, more focus, fewer distractions, more time.
They won't.
They'll be just as tired.
Just as distracted. Maybe more.
Scheduling the gym doesn't get you to exercise.
Noticing when life is already pushing you to exercise, does.
The tailwind is there.
Most people put too much faith in scheduled moments they ultimately ignore.
But life will push you to live your values.
What if you let it?
@TalebWisdom I don't understand how reputation could be an end in itself. What does that even mean? It seems to me that reputation is always a means to something: trust, opportunities, community.
200+ reps, a gallon of water, and a 20-min nap, every day for 2 years.
They all stick because they pass the PIE test:
Practical for your tired self.
Immediately impactful.
Enjoyable, at least a little bit.
Fail one of those, and the habit won't survive a month.
The Invisible Habit that outperforms cold showers, journaling, and meditation combined.
Awareness.
Simply being aware of how your body and mind feel.
It is the mother of all habits.
You might call it sensitivity, or mindfulness.
It's paying attention.
Most people don't.
The most popular habits carry status.
So people try them, they don't stick, and they conclude "I'm not that kind of person."
And that moment is more damaging than whatever benefits you gained from doing the habit for 3 days, or even 3 weeks.
@nntaleb how's this metaphor for a personal antifragile decision framework?
Life is all glass.
Some windows.
Some marbles.
Break your marbles fast and often.
Hold off on the windows until you have a replacement, or you can't hold off any longer.
@nntaleb how's this metaphor?
The personal antifragile decision framework:
Life is all glass.
Some decisions are windows, some are marbles.
Break the marbles fast and often.
Break the windows only when you have a replacement, or you can't hold off any longer.
Your habits are solving different problems than you expected.
Habits are always indirect. You can't predict the exact outcome.
Stop engineering outcomes.
Do something that gives you a bit of relief from the chaos of life right now.
And let the indirect benefits surprise you.
"I have a personal policy..."
The 4 words that save your willpower.
Decisions drain you.
Most people try to have "more willpower" or "discipline."
But that builds slowly.
The fast game: make fewer decisions.
What are your personal policies?
The Excuse Paradox:
Why being afraid of excuses is what makes you quit.
You're afraid that accepting your excuses will give you permission to quit.
So you don't listen to what they're telling you.
Your excuses are signals.
Update the habit to fit your real life.
The Capacity Rule: Habits fail because you're bad at predicting your future self's bandwidth.
You assign habits like a bad boss assigns tasks, without checking capacity.
"Future me will wake up at 5 AM and go to the gym!"
Future you: exhausted, work crisis, emotionally drained.
It took me 10 years to realize shame was paralyzing me.
I'll teach you to counter it in 1 minute.
Research shows shame literally shuts down decision-making. You feel paralyzed, can't think clearly.
The signal: Listen for "People will think I'm..." (stupid, selfish, bad, weak)