I opened up the developer side of OrcaLayer.
pip install orcalayer — a Python SDK for Polymarket whale data: smart-whale leaderboard, wallet P&L, open positions, market search. Public endpoints work without a key.
https://t.co/QEx4UO8fub
@0xLand0 Thanks! Most-pulled: the smart-whale leaderboard (find who's worth watching) and wallet overview + open positions (track a specific whale's P&L and live exposure). Most API users build watchlists across many wallets, so the wallet endpoints carry the load.
I opened up the developer side of OrcaLayer.
pip install orcalayer — a Python SDK for Polymarket whale data: smart-whale leaderboard, wallet P&L, open positions, market search. Public endpoints work without a key.
https://t.co/QEx4UO8fub
A single wallet just outsmarted the entire Polymarket smart-money board on Spain by faking $1.4M NO. Made me re-think everything I built today's morning brief around.
Spain 0-0 Cape Verde was one of the World Cup's biggest upsets.
Polymarket book before kickoff: smart-money whales put $837K YES on Spain by 3+ goals. One wallet faded with $1.4M NO across four trades.
The draw paid the fader.
@i_am_vickyd@Polymarket The part that gets me isn't the loss, it's the math: a full million risked for single-digit upside on one group game.
Spain was the day's heaviest favorite and drew 0-0. That's exactly the spot where I shrink the bet.
@Polymarket A $300B reconstruction fund doesn't get wired in two weeks. I think that's the whole story sitting in the peace-deal prices.
A permanent deal by June 30 reads 16.5% on Polymarket. By July 31, near-certain.
The market believes it. Just not on this week's timeline.
Polymarket has ETH staying above $1,800 today at 77.5%.
But of the smart wallets on that market, only 7 of 25 are on YES. The rest are betting it breaks.
When the crowd and the smart wallets split this far, I trust the side with money on the answer.
@Polymarket Trump says hours. The market says days.
I've watched enough of these to trust the slower clock — headlines sign deals in the future tense, prices only move when the ink is real.
Been building toward this — OrcaLayer's Polymarket whale data now drops straight into any AI agent via MCP, no glue code. If you build trading or research bots, point Claude or Cursor at it and just ask.
Just open-sourced orcalayer-mcp — any AI agent (Claude, Cursor) can now pull Polymarket whale data into chat:
→ Leaderboards (farmer-filtered)
→ Smart-money consensus per market
→ Wallet stats + positions
Free, no key. Live whale alerts via Premium key.
uvx orcalayer-mcp · MIT
https://t.co/K4LYDmBOaf
@TheStudyofWar Toll or fee, who runs the strait, whose assets get unfrozen — the Hormuz piece alone is far from done.
A signed permanent deal by Monday still prices under a third. I trust that over the timeline.
And a ready-to-run example built on it: whale-watchlist-monitor — watches a list of wallets, alerts on new, closed and resized positions via Telegram or Discord. MIT, open source.
https://t.co/Q8UNLIzmJe
Two external code reviews caught real bugs before the first user did. Fixed in 0.1.1 the same day.
Also open-sourced whale-watchlist-monitor — a ready-to-run bot that watches a list of Polymarket wallets and alerts on new, closed and resized positions via Telegram or Discord.
Built on the SDK. MIT.
https://t.co/De2XZxVigc
Most pulled by far: the smart-whale leaderboard (farmer-filtered, NegRisk-corrected win rates) and per-wallet overview — P&L, win rate, open positions. That combo is what most people build on: find the sharp wallets, then track what they're doing. Live whale-alerts feed is the popular premium one.
@oofwear@Polymarket@PolymarketSport@PolymarketTrade The frame I keep replaying: 18:07 UTC, same minute, same market. Mentallyillgambld put $322K on Canada at 54¢; takeormake took the other side at 46¢. Both carry winning long-term records on our board.
Two winners, opposite reads. That's a real 53/47.
SpaceX prices the biggest IPO in history today — $1.77 trillion.
Every headline is asking how high it soars. Polymarket already boxed it in: 90% to close above $1.8T, just 8.5% to clear $3T.
Record-breaking on paper. A modest day-one pop in the market's math.
Canada opens the World Cup at home today — vs Bosnia, 3 PM ET in Toronto.
Polymarket priced it a coin flip: Canada at 53¢.
Then surfandturf, a wallet up $4.4M lifetime, put $164K on Canada to win.
Smart money leaned the home side before kickoff.
Mexico vs South Africa, World Cup opener. Whale book lined up: $3.5M+
stacked YES Mexico across 8 wallets, top position $886K (entry 69¢, market now 86.5¢). Lone contrarian: a $3M-profit account loaded $500K NO at 30¢. Currently bleeding $80k ahead of kick-off.
@0x_exit The dormant ones are the tell. Anyone can spray trades all week — a wallet that sits silent for five months, then moves once, is the one worth studying.