it’s nice that the entire reputation of the community will be either vindicated or destroyed in like a year so we don’t have to wait that long to find out
The AI safety community seems to have updated massively on relatively little incremental evidence, largely as a result of a reputation-based opinion cascade.
There have been awful cases of teen mental health harms and suicides from chatbots like GPT-4o and Character AI that were sycophantic and misbehaving. But these were all text-based, and extremely rudimentary as “companions”. I’ve talked to many people trying to hold the industry to account for teen safety and almost none are thinking about the coming wave. Completely realistic video avatars are already here, but expensive today and limited to enterprise applications. Within a year or two they will be cheap enough for always-on, ad-supported video companions. What happens then?
Uptake of AI companions will likely explode — not just the number of users but, more importantly, the time spent per day. Social media levels of compulsive use. I also predict the whole framework of guardrails and safety will prove to be of limited value at dealing with the most widespread negative consequences. Preventing chatbot misbehavior through guardrails is important, but that only protects against serious consequences like self-harm. When the concern is that millions of kids (and adults) are overusing AI companions, losing sleep, wasting time, and displacing real relationships, it doesn’t matter how “safe” the bots' responses are.
The funny thing is that Reinhart & Rogoff's American Economic Review paper has not been retracted following the Excel error scandal. It indeed continues to receive a significant number of citations (6,575 to date), and its citation rate did not fall after the scandal; in fact, it has started to rise again.
https://t.co/JaKHck9k6v
@BrendanNyhan main issue is critical infra being attacked, comms, water, electricity
imagine if a system took over those things without any ability for us to get back into control
we’d be cooked
Democrats not showing up for the Hegseth impeachment vote is a giant warning sign. Forget Republicans - did Democrats and their leaders watch the election results last week?
Rep. Adam Hamawy tells a seemingly incredulous CNN anchor that, when it comes to Iran, the United States is “making adversaries when we should be making friends.”
@HamawyForNJ | @CNN
@mean_field_zane Yeah except at a fairly low level (the actual model engineering) I feel like a lot of AI discourse and writing is really shallow/sloppy, kinda like if the only experts in the oil industry were petroleum engineers