So you know better than college degreed staticians hired by media and can't grasp that the majority of independents vote either Rep or Dem?
Your internal bias has made you so stupid, that you can't even understand this very simple concept that even if you call yourself an independent, you still choose Republican or Democrat at the General Election?
You think Independents all write in or vote Libertarian or what? Some do, but that is 4%.m
That's too hard for you to grasp? Your conclusion of narrative is so warped that you can't even make a simple matatic equation.
That is sad.
There is no Independent voters in modeling dork.. You don't know what your talking about 96% of people even if they consider themselves "Independent" at election time of 2018 and 2022 (what modeling is based on) settled on R or D.
That is why you don't see 'Imdependence'
This is pretty basic stuff.. Even for a Democrat..
@Seonbae79@GuntherEagleman No, we don't, but modeling can pick apart what districts inside of counties by % are R/D and using historical references and a strong computing, you can figure out within a 5-7% range of how things are looking.
In the election world, that is called Modeling..
Yes, saw that to..
The way this works is they get an email of places they want to focus on, get 10 Texas influencers to push the Ft. Worth narrative. GOP really pushing areas they are concerned about..
Earlier in the week it was Montgomery County and Bo (God love him, I voted for him) made a tiktok that "turnout was low'..
The idea here is to push up numbers, scare people a little for more vote in certain areas they want more turnout in.. the thing is, it works..
So they kinda get some walking orders, they push the narrative, get a few hundred bucks for their time.
The left does it to, just politics in this new world.
I understand it, but when they all do it at once, it makes people tend to not believe them..
Dana, for God's sake most everyone I know lives in Tarrant county.. I live here, Republican districts are around the corner.. People are voting their asses off.. I see it, everyone sees it and it shows in the modeling data..
I get trying to get people to come out and vote, but it's nowhere this bad, visually it's not, the energy is with the GOP here.
Yes, Republicans make sure and vote, but estimates are a firewall between 320,000-400,000.. Its not 2022 like numbers no, but it's still enough for Pax to win by 4-8 points easy..
Your alarmist is getting old.. I live just 20 miles from Tarrant County, I've had friend sit in Republic districts for nearly an hour this week.. The election judge here in Hood County said this has been a higher turnout than 2024 and we make up 86% Republican voters..
So chill out.. Paxton is in great shape, stop freaking people out, we have an estimated 355,000 firewall as of yesterday, I get it, scare people into voting and all that, but seriously, the alarmism here is getting so old..
I live here..
And that just isn't the case at all..
We hold around a 355,000 firewall according to most modeling.
And even NBC is reversing course and Republicans are now leading Dems 47-44%..
Bell weather counties are showing high Republican turnout, as high if not higher than 2024 Presidential.
I get it, scare voters and all that, but at the moment it looks like Paxton by 4-8% and now looking on the higher end.. I stand by my 6%..
Barack Obama: "There's a decency we should expect out of our public officials. I don't know what's happened where the standards of behavior have gotten so low. Because character matters."