@stocksandreales And if you think I’m joking, just watch my wallet after close.
My overall read on the path of least resistance as it stands → https://t.co/BduKwU9gZx
@stocksandreales And yes, I’m asking because my 401(k) just did a backflip off a cliff.
My current view of the overall tape midday → https://t.co/Oj8bYmt527
Hot take: your emergency fund isn't wasted money. It's what keeps you from cashing out your big wins at the worst moment. Having options is a gain in itself. Don't sleep on that.
In yesterday's stream, I dove into whether the Fed is losing trust—something you hear a lot lately. I'm not buying it. Check the long-term yields: they went up mainly due to real yields, not breakeven inflation. https://t.co/hlS69xH6xg
Short sellers are going all in against SpaceX right before its first earnings report.
As of July 29, short interest in SpaceX (SPCX) jumped to 219.3 million shares—that's about 34% of the public float, up big from just 23.3 million shares back on June 16.
The U.S. national debt is set to hit about 500% of GDP by 2100, per the Fiscal Service. That's a fivefold jump in the debt load over the next 75 years.
Say the average interest rate across the yield curve sits at 5% the whole time.
The math is pretty straightforward.
At
The usual cycle 😅
Yen strengthens
↓
Foreign investors take profits (end of Aug quarterly earnings)
↓
Japanese stocks drop
↓
Yen weakens
↓
Foreign investors buy back in
Bill Miller breaking down batting vs. slugging average.
"People don't really separate frequency from magnitude - how often you're right or wrong vs. how much you gain when right and lose when wrong."
Got a melon 🍈 from a friend up in Hokkaido. It's so big it doesn't even fit in the fridge, so I cut it in half to store it. Arrived yesterday around lunch, and I've already polished off one and a half. First time having one in a while, but man, this was good. Big thanks to that
Restaurant chains are firing execs, cutting dividends, getting roasted on CNBC—but stock prices aren't falling.
Semis and hardware? Still full of fanboys, but they stopped climbing.
Stage 1 vs. Stage 3.