@andrijaivan1@fmeetsdata It is all clear in the post, Croatia will probably be eliminated if the lose agains Ghana and they will 100% qualify if they draw
@Samuel_07700@fmeetsdata They take 1/5 of national coefficient (Portugal sends 5 teams to Europe)... Otherwise, they would have 0... This is some sort of safe guard to make team strength more realistic
@fmeetsdata There were simulations where Bournemouth recovered 7 goals difference in one round, really? I am really suprised by that, I thought this could practically never happen based on their strengths and opponents
@Jonee13@fmeetsdata That is why they gave it 0.2%, and for me it was very interesting to see what needs to happen for this to become 100%... 1:500 is real probability IMO, and if you don't like this post you can just skip it, there are plenty "real" posts on this page...
@Jonee13@fmeetsdata Based on schedule, Rangers are sllight favorites, but Hearts still have hogh chance to win it... Celtic is underdog right know and I think that FMD got it right with title chances, but everything can change after next round!
@fmeetsdata 2 Spanish and 2 German teams in total to battle it out for that 2nd place in this season at almost identical points, can't wait for your top 2 chances analysis
@ToonGambit@fmeetsdata I don't see it like that... I see this post as suggestion that English teams cannot knock out PSG from UCL, these are the games that matter the most... 5/5 in kast 2 years is surely not coincidence, they are really big problem for English teams
@Tommygiri@Ildms0711@josemorgado Even then Sinner withdraw before QF match so technically, only Alcaraz was beaten then... If you ignore this one, I think we need to go back to 2023