EquiHive Insights

I decode markets with AI/ML. Tracking Institutional Flows & Trading Telemetry daily. 0-bloat. Pure Data → Alpha 📊. Curated Insights for serious market minds.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

This NVIDIA of Taiwan - TSMC - has single‑handedly propelled the TAIEX (Taiwan Weighted) Index into the sky over the last 18 months. It’s been a phenomenal run, accounting for ~42% of the index’s market capitalization.

Take a look at the relative performance chart of TAIEX — it outpaces gold by a mile, which says a lot considering how well gold has performed as an alternate asset class.

I’ve added global macro events (primarily shocks) as vertical timeline markers. India’s Nifty, the S&P 500, and TAIEX all converged around the same cumulative‑returns level when tariff shocks rattled Asian economies. Soon after, TAIEX picked up pace, it surged 50% higher than S&P500 and 100 % higher than Nifty, only to hit the brakes during the US–Iran conflict and the resulting crude‑oil spike.

Following the first ceasefire announcement, TAIEX added another parabolic 100 % relative gain in less than three months — before the breakdown of that ceasefire erased over 50 % of those returns. Yet, remarkably, it has now climbed back to the same level.

Extraordinary run so far, but it all depends on the AI gold rush. Let’s hope this momentum continues for a while — at least until other industries find their feet and learn to survive alongside what is fast becoming the revolution of the century, a.k.a. AI.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Accenture $ACN is having a great run today with monstrous ~23% spike, after Q4 earnings beat. Now settled around ~18% so far. Massive...

Reported a 15.3% gross margin for Q4, up 370 bps, and a 15.4% margin for the year, up 70 bps YoY.
Good guidance too - Management forecasts profits to grow 6% to 9%.

Infosys and Wipro ADR tracks this and now up 6% - 7%.

Let's see if this really translates to meaningful appreciation on Monday when the market opens here!

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Added a couple of relative performance charts.

Added US CPI to the mix. It looks a bit like spaghetti, but it visually maps the macro regime. You can clearly understand what, how, when and why. Refer to the vertical markers for key events/shocks for better context.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Check out my new post!

Why is Gold underperforming this year despite surging inflation?

Here is a quick analysis of how the US-Iran war, skyrocketing oil prices, and a crashing bond market trapped the ultimate safe-haven asset --- and why this suppression is only temporary.

https://t.co/STd7WDCQK0

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Check out my new post!

Why is Gold underperforming this year despite surging inflation?

Here is a quick analysis of how the US-Iran war, skyrocketing oil prices, and a crashing bond market trapped the ultimate safe-haven asset --- and why this suppression is only temporary.

https://t.co/STd7WDCQK0

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

@CNBCTV18Live Free falling market.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Nifty Losing Streak - Macro Analysis of Nifty's performance https://t.co/IUjy524gQr

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Nifty Losing Streak - Macro Analysis of Nifty's performance https://t.co/IUjy524gQr

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

🌐 MARKET PULSE - LIVE SNAPSHOT:

Crude prices surging (+2-3%), Brent hovering near $100. UST 10Y is up @ > 5.3%, no respite yet as elevated yields weigh across markets.

Nikkei outperformed all asian markets with 3.13% gains. Taiex: Up 0.86%, Kospi: Up ~2%, Hang Seng (Closed today, Holiday).

Sea of red across all sectoral / broader market indices in India, with Auto being the worst hit ~3.6% fall.

Nifty staged some recovery, now down by about ~0.8%, Wondering when it will reverse as you never know for sure these days.

$BNO #Nikkei

(Note: There might be delayed ticks for some symbols).

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Bloodbath in the market, over 400 points fall, now a bit of recovery (just very minor pullback but can be sold into anytime), selloff across the board, FIIs continue to exit.

There is no visible support for Nifty as it broke all key levels. There must be some strong global or regional triggers for any reversal going forward, which seems remote looking at daily price action. Oversold might say oversold, not sure for how long.

India VIX up ~14%. Though the VIX fall and range doesn't conform to COVID levels, there are many days of 300 points fall recently and the relative feeling is worse than COVID.

The overall sentiment in the Indian market is gloom and doom.

#Nifty

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

You were boasting of a deal and coining all insignificant news together as random breaking news. You were hyping up every tiny piece of gossip like it was groundbreaking news, and now you're talking about a bloodbath?!

Hope you finally realized the blunder of your rumour-mongering and your faint attempt at market manipulation. So, did you buy your puts and make some money today in this crash? Give it a rest already!

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Bloodbath in the market, over 400 points fall, now a bit of recovery (just very minor pullback but can be sold into anytime), selloff across the board, FIIs continue to exit.

There is no visible support for Nifty as it broke all key levels. There must be some strong global or regional triggers for any reversal going forward, which seems remote looking at daily price action. Oversold might say oversold, not sure for how long.

India VIX up ~14%. Though the VIX fall and range doesn't conform to COVID levels, there are many days of 300 points fall recently and the relative feeling is worse than COVID.

The overall sentiment in the Indian market is gloom and doom.

#Nifty

[Gurmeet Chadha @connectgurmeet]

Markets punish arrogance n ego.. we became too arrogant that india has no alternative , FIIs may come and go..

Taxed capital gains ,dividends, buybacks , STT

This is not oil & bond yields alone ..this is largely self induced flight of capital

Let’s bounce back & course correct

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

UST 10Y is going up by almost 1%, now at 5.36%.
Brent crossed 100$, rises by 2%.

US Futures are sliding and European markets are down.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

The engagement is missing and no interest to even discuss anything tangible for the capital market. The Govt celebrated openly when the market was at its peak and self-attested it as a reflection of India's growth story. How, then, do we interpret the current massive underperformance? The playbook: simply dismiss it as a geopolitical impact, with disdain.

https://t.co/yBliBfpIBo

A persistent communication gap has been the core issue throughout this tenure. For eg - The tariff issue could have been handled better from the start. Remaining silent is not always a sign of strength; speaking out clearly when it matters most is what truly counts.

Indeed, there're many issues beyond our control, but we must do what we can, and what we should, if the will is there.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Do we really have someone in the government who observes what is happening on a daily basis? There should be daily updates and discussions among cabinet ministers and the PM -- not as a mere formality, but in a true sense, similar to how a project is run. It seems that 3rd tenure at the helm has made this govt completely disassociated from public feedback. All we see are empty, meaningless words and time-wasting discussions without substance.

The PM should regularly engage with the media and answer questions comfortably. We shouldn't have to wait for an election rally to hear the PM address the public. While we copy many nonsensical things from the US, there're also good practices we could follow. All we ask is for the government to listen, engage, and think constructively. I wonder why there is no direct engagement with the press; it should not be a one-way broadcast all the time.

The Govt can't continue to ignore the capital market if we're serious about attracting more investments -- especially given today's precarious geopolitical situation.

And I'm sure it's another waste of time writing but couldn't resist raising it. Let's hope for some sanity from both - the govt and the market.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Yields should retreat to a comfortable level, at least to < 5% and then to < ~4.75% as a first step.

The persistent inflation necessitated a sudden change of policy stance, triggering a surprise rate hike in the middle of a rate cut cycle, which further worked against Gold.

Precious metals lose their relevance in such market conditions due to lack of yield or utility other than serving as safe asset, especially as the opportunity cost spikes (with rate hike).

However this is only temporary and Gold will soon be back to limelight as real rates peak and geopolitical risks persist. Further, if these aggressive hikes continue, even if justified, they'll heighten recession risks.
Ultimately, Gold will be Gold again.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

@WSJ The best way to package a suspected hijack into a pretty lame bar brawl - the art of deception by the WSJ. Hiring a bad bunch of journalists just to take journalism down the drain. You stay true to your colors in every publication.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

https://t.co/KMxLw5xbuQ

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Infosys and ABN Amro Extend Strategic Collaboration to Simplify IT Landscape and Accelerate AI-Driven Transformation

Leveraging Infosys Topaz, the collaboration will help ABN AMRO drive operational efficiency, scalability, and innovation

Source: Infosys Official Press Release.

This is the reason for INFY, after many days or even weeks of decline, stays in green, for now. Not sure for how long with whole Indian IT structurally weak.
$INFY

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

@ETMarkets Not required for premium subscription to read publicly available information.

https://t.co/pN56g6BoYg

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Infosys and ABN Amro Extend Strategic Collaboration to Simplify IT Landscape and Accelerate AI-Driven Transformation

Leveraging Infosys Topaz, the collaboration will help ABN AMRO drive operational efficiency, scalability, and innovation

Source: Infosys Official Press Release.

This is the reason for INFY, after many days or even weeks of decline, stays in green, for now. Not sure for how long with whole Indian IT structurally weak.
$INFY

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Yields should retreat to a comfortable level, at least to < 5% and then to < ~4.75% as a first step.

The persistent inflation necessitated a sudden change of policy stance, triggering a surprise rate hike in the middle of a rate cut cycle, which further worked against Gold.

Precious metals lose their relevance in such market conditions due to lack of yield or utility other than serving as safe asset, especially as the opportunity cost spikes (with rate hike).

However this is only temporary and Gold will soon be back to limelight as real rates peak and geopolitical risks persist. Further, if these aggressive hikes continue, even if justified, they'll heighten recession risks.
Ultimately, Gold will be Gold again.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Do we really have someone in the government who observes what is happening on a daily basis? There should be daily updates and discussions among cabinet ministers and the PM -- not as a mere formality, but in a true sense, similar to how a project is run. It seems that 3rd tenure at the helm has made this govt completely disassociated from public feedback. All we see are empty, meaningless words and time-wasting discussions without substance.

The PM should regularly engage with the media and answer questions comfortably. We shouldn't have to wait for an election rally to hear the PM address the public. While we copy many nonsensical things from the US, there're also good practices we could follow. All we ask is for the government to listen, engage, and think constructively. I wonder why there is no direct engagement with the press; it should not be a one-way broadcast all the time.

The Govt can't continue to ignore the capital market if we're serious about attracting more investments -- especially given today's precarious geopolitical situation.

And I'm sure it's another waste of time writing but couldn't resist raising it. Let's hope for some sanity from both - the govt and the market.

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

As expected, Nifty gave away all the moderate gains and went down by 0.4%, so a total of 0.7% intraday fall from the day's high.

A mild uptick in crude prices, triggering reversal.
Only hangseng holding onto gains for now, Taiwan & Japan markets closed for the day, so they ended in green with good 1-2% rise.

Nifty is on track to create the record of 8-week losing streak, With just 1 more trading day for this week (Friday being holiday for Indian market), Nifty is almost certain to register it!

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

🌐 MARKET PULSE - LIVE SNAPSHOT:

Crude Oil starts correcting. Bond yields too are falling after long time, though it still stays above 5.2.

Nikkei outperformed all asian markets with 2.37% gains. Nifty 50, Taiex and Hangseng are staying in green with less than 0.5% appreciation. Kospi is trading with negative bias with around -0.5% fall.

Except Pharma and Metal, other sectoral and broader markets performing okay in India, with Bank and Auto leading the charge, > 1% gains.

Nifty has gone up by about 65 points or ~0.3% up. Wondering when it will reverse as you never know for sure these days.

#Nifty #Nikkei

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

🌐 MARKET PULSE - LIVE SNAPSHOT:

Crude Oil starts correcting. Bond yields too are falling after long time, though it still stays above 5.2.

Nikkei outperformed all asian markets with 2.37% gains. Nifty 50, Taiex and Hangseng are staying in green with less than 0.5% appreciation. Kospi is trading with negative bias with around -0.5% fall.

Except Pharma and Metal, other sectoral and broader markets performing okay in India, with Bank and Auto leading the charge, > 1% gains.

Nifty has gone up by about 65 points or ~0.3% up. Wondering when it will reverse as you never know for sure these days.

#Nifty #Nikkei

[EquiHive Insights @EquiHive]

Wouldn't you have said otherwise if the US had stayed? Or why do you think the US doesn't have the right to decide for itself without requiring your journalistic wisdom? You have anti-establishment reporters pushing biased narratives on every issue.

I wonder why you post less about Wall Street than any other street in the world, yet you are named after it.