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🔥 PROP OF THE DAY
D Fox O 15.5 points (-101)
We like De’Aaron Fox over 15.5 points tonight because the spot feels really solid for him. The numbers support it too, he’s hit this in 63% of comparable games, the matchup against Minnesota looks pretty neutral rather than tough, and the game environment should be average enough for him to get his usual workload. Fox is also expected to be in a stable starting role, and when you combine that with the fact that he’s averaging 15 field goal attempts per game this season, it feels like a spot where he can get to 16+ without needing anything crazy. Not a must-force play, but definitely one that looks playable at the current price.
📈 +43% EV | 72% win probability 📊 Season hit rate: 60% 🔥 Last 10 games: 90%
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🔥 PROP OF THE DAY
Julius Randle O 5.5 rebounds (-167)
He’s been clearing this at a strong rate in comparable games, and the matchup with San Antonio doesn’t really scare us from a rebounding standpoint. Randle should have a steady starter workload, and with Minnesota expected to play a pretty normal pace, there’s enough opportunity here for him to pile up boards. The projection is also backed by his season-long rebounding chances, which makes this feel like a pretty clean value play rather than just a random lean. I’m definitely okay backing this one.
📈 +29% EV | 81% win probability 📊 Season hit rate: 69% 🔥 Last 10 games: 80%
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X Contest
💸 3-PLAY GIVEAWAY
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👇 Plays
🏀 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander U 0.5 blocks (1.86)
🏀 Isiah Hartstein O 0.5 steals (1.45 )
🏀 Duncan Robinson O 3 assists (2.72)
Let’s ride 🤝
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💸 3-PLAY GIVEAWAY
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👇 Plays
🏀 Paolo Banchero O 5.5 assists (+108)
🏀 Donovan Mitchell O 4.5 rebounds(+122)
🏀 Jarret Allen O 2 blocks (+150)
Let’s ride 🤝
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*(Choosing one winner per giveaway)
💸 3-PLAY GIVEAWAY
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👇 Plays
🏀 Sengun U 1.5 blocks (-192)
🏀 Duren U 0.5 steals (+130)
🏀 Donovan Mitchell O 5 rebounds (+114)
Let’s ride 🤝
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*(Choosing one winner per giveaway)