Eric Rice WX

@psumeteo ‘21. Weather Risk Management. Chester County, PA

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

And here is the snow squall I’ve been waiting for! I also stitched in a small part of the radar loop (tried to get the timing correct) and i was very happy with how it turned out @NWSStateCollege @weatherchannel @accuweather

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Looks like Barnsdall, OK is taking a direct hit. Prayers to the people of Barnsdall, hoping they all got to their tornado shelters.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Cloud cover seemed to split right at the path of totality until it hit the Buffalo area. Certainly made for great viewing across the US. #Eclipse2024

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Look how far this lightning is from the storm in the Nashville metro. Should be a reminder to go indoors when you hear thunder

[NWS Storm Prediction Center @NWSSPC]

1:02pm CDT #SPC Day2 Outlook Moderate Risk: across a large portion of Ohio, and including adjacent parts of southeastern Indiana, northern Kentucky, and western West Virginia https://t.co/Y1WiOd8TQQ

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

@NWS_MountHolly 7” measured at 9:45am ET in Glenmoore, PA

[NWS Mount Holly @NWS_MountHolly]

Significant changes to the forecast from the overnight package, particularly with respect to increasing snowfall amounts. The Tuesday morning commute is looking *rough*, particularly I-78 & I-80 corridors, but I-95 northwest will need to be cautious. https://t.co/mMnIx09PUq

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

There is a notable trend in the operational GFS for Tuesday afternoon if you love snow. I don't necessarily buy this yet, I'm leaning more towards the EURO output. Euro shows more warm air advection to I-95, resulting in less snow.

Excited to see how this progresses next.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

The threat of snow is lingering as we see the GFS ensembles trending stronger for Sunday into Monday.

Situation on the EPS looks similar, showing a slower and stronger system around 00z Monday

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Not much change from the overnight models. Snow is expected starting Friday morning into the night. Looks like it will be a very similar system to what we just had Mon/Tues.

I personally like a 2-4" range for southeast PA once again.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Eyes are on Friday's system for the northeast. GFS trough is starting to trend a bit more negative, good news if you like snow. I would like to see this trough dig a bit more.

Will be interesting to see how models play out.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

This can be seen as the ASOS at KPHL is reporting freezing rain.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

The 0°C isotherm at 850mb has moved a bit NW of PHL, resulting in mixed precip for the city. Also sitting essentially at 0°C at 925mb.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Snow storm potential for Tuesday continues to quickly decrease for the Mid-Atlantic on global models. Looking a lot more likely that the Mid-Atlantic sees some flurries, maybe an inch of snow.

GFS (first) vs ECMWF (second) at 18z Tuesday

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

00z GFS says death to Mid-Atlantic snow for Tuesday

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

GFS is trending snowier for the I-95 corridor for Tuesday. One of the better setups we have had if you enjoy snow.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

In addition, arctic air is being pulled down from Canada, resulting in frigid temperatures for majority of the US this weekend into next week.

Not to mention...possible Monday snow for the Mid-Atlantic...👀

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Wind, rain, and flooding returns Friday night. River flooding will occur easily because of yesterday's storm.

Key differences w this system for SE PA: slightly less rain and wind. However, still could see gusts up to 45mph similar to last night. Have a plan if power goes out.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Eyes on Friday as a very similar system moves in. Wind & rain in the Mid-Atlantic, blizzard like conditions in the Midwest, and severe storms in the Deep South

A key difference in this system compared to yesterday is the negatively tilted trough, aiding severe weather growth

[NWS Storm Prediction Center @NWSSPC]

A line of strong/severe thunderstorms is expected to move across the Southeast today bringing damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. Strong tornadoes will be most likely this morning across southwest GA and the FL Panhandle and then this afternoon/evening in the eastern Carolinas.

[Eric Rice WX @ericrice_wx]

Power storm system to move through Tuesday that will certainly bring strong winds and significant amounts of rain. Coastal flooding is a major concern.

If you lose electricity easily or live somewhere that floods often, have a plan prepared.