Mesoscale Discussion for eastern OH, western PA, northern WV & Others. Thunderstorms may expand and intensify late AM/afternoon with damaging wind potential. Be ready to take shelter if storms approach.
11:03am: This line of storms in NW Ohio is strong but not severe and moving ESE at 45 mph. The most intense part of the line will track mainly south of Rt. 30. After it clears the area in the 2pm hour, we'll wait for spotty, possibly severe storms to fire by late afternoon.
Saturday 8:30am Update: Tricky business today. This cluster of storms over northern Indiana has the potential to intensify as it comes east. If it does, it may produce an early afternoon wind threat in our area. Many weather models WEAKEN it as it comes east.
Stay weather aware Saturday, as there can be a few heavy, gusty storms capable of producing severe weather...mainly between 4-7pm. A nice afternoon Sunday, and another winner Monday. Unsettled and steamy after that....muggy!
Saturday Storm Timing: 2 district "rounds" of showers and storms will be possible. The first, at midday, could bring strong winds....but confidence that the midday round even occurs is on the lower end.
Both traditional forecasting techniques and machine learning suggest about a 2% chance of a tornado and a 30% chance of a damaging wind gust within 25 miles of any given location Saturday.
Another fine summer day Friday with even warmer afternoon temperatures. While Saturday could start with a shower, gusty storms capable of producing severe weather will become increasingly likely in the afternoon. Fog, then sunshine and lower humidity Sunday.
@EricWFMJ Didn’t see the northern lights yet, but Jupiter and Venus are closing in on their conjunction on June 9th, sitting just below the “twins” of Gemini, Castor and Pollux. Mercury will be joining the group next week as well.
Small chance of seeing the Northern Lights tonight, especially between about 10:15pm (when it is completely dark) and say 3:00am. If you can't see anything on the northern horizon with your eyes, try a camera as they can sometimes "see" the aurora when we can't.
Saturday's thunderstorm chance will come with a severe weather risk as well. Storms will be capable of producing strong winds and hail, mainly late in the afternoon.